DFS Plays of the Day – September 9

Ryan Amore previews Thursday's DFS slate.

Thursday night brings us another five-game slate and four on FanDuel, as they are omitting the 6:40 PM EST game between the Mets and Marlins. For a short slate, there are quite a few pitching options that you could make a case for.

 

Tonight’s Pitching

 

 

 

Bats and Stacks

 

  • ATL (6.1) vs WSN Erick Fedde (RHP) 12.3% K-BB, .335 xwOBA, 1.48 WHIP, 4.90 xERA: Atlanta gets the top billing with their implied total of just over six runs. As far as splits go, Fedde has been pretty close to neutral this year, although his K rate does dip to just 18.9% against lefties. Freddie Freeman is in contention for the top bat on the slate. Jorge Soler has really flipped the switch since the trade to Atlanta, where he has put up a .911 OPS, compared to just .658 with the Royals earlier this year. The other side of this game is interesting from a tournament perspective. Ynoa should be a popular option, which might make the Nationals bats a little off the radar. Juan Soto (.426 xwOBA) seems like a good tournament swerve in the outfield off Bryce Harper in that price range. 

 

  • PHI (5.0) vs COL Antonio Senzatela (RHP) 11.2% K-BB, .324 xwOBA, 1.31 WHIP, 4.55 xERA: Senzatela is a curious case in that he’s actually fared worse on the road as opposed to Coors Field. For his career, he has a 4.96 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 255.2 IP. At home, he has a 4.66 and 1.36 in 299.1 IP. Go figure. Bryce Harper will get a lot of attention tonight across all formats and rightfully so. On paper, it’s safe to ignore the Rockies, as Suárez has pitched well. For tournaments though, considering a bat like C.J. Cron as a contrarian option could pay off.

 

  • TOR at NYY (4.8)  Néstor Cortes (LHP) 18.4% K-BB, .262 xwOBA, 1.08 WHIP, 2.90 xERA: Through nine starts, Cortes has been fantastic for the Yankees. But so have the Jays, whose .337 team wOBA leads baseball. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.almost had a quiet game last night. Thank goodness for Aroldis Chapman. Speaking of which, this Yankee pen is in tatters right now, adding to the incentive for stacking the Jays. Alejandro Kirk is an affordable option at catcher who has shown some upside. And the Yankees? They’ve been dreadful lately, but there is upside in tournaments. At least, I think there is. Playing the splits for Berríos, he has allowed a .337 xwOBA to LHB, as opposed to just a .297 mark against RHB going back to last year. 

 

  • NYM (4.3) at MIA Jesús Luzardo (LHP) 10.5% K-BB, .353 xwOBA, 1.65 WHIP, 5.53 xERA: As mentioned earlier, Luzardo’s numbers on the year are an eyesore but he might be set up for a strong finish, considering his waning fastball usage in recent starts. RHB have touched up Luzardo for a .368 xwOBA, so there is your incentive to consider Pete AlonsoOtherwise, there doesn’t seem to be a standout option here. J.D. Davis could be a punt option at $2,200 on DraftKings if the Mets decide to dust him off. On the other side of this game, Stroman has been notably worse against LHB, adding some potential with Jesús Sánchez as a punt option and Jazz Chisholm as an option at 2B/SS from the leadoff spot.

 

  • BAL (4.9) vs Carlos Hernández (RHP) 13.1% K-BB, .294 xwOBA, 1.22 WHIP, 3.68 xERA: It’s Camden Yards so there have to be runs scored, right? The Orioles are the marginal favorite there tonight (-115) but Hernández has pitched very well so far this year, so I’m not sure there’s a play here that really sticks out. Anthony Santander is cheap on DraftKings. Cedric Mullins, however, has easily been the most productive bat here. The other side of this game features another very capable pitcher in John Means, who has been effective, with just a 4.4% walk rate while limiting hitters to just a .302 xwOBA.

 

Value Bats

 

Design by J.R. Caines (@JRCainesDesign on Twitter and @caines_design on Instagram)

Ryan Amore

Writer for PL, artist, DFS enthusiast, and occasional Yankee fan. Once won a GPP with Henderson Alvarez. A proprietor of the Ketel Marte Fan Club. Appreciates walks but only of the base on ball variety.

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