DFS Plays of the Day – September 16

Rich Holman previews the top DFS plays for September 16th's slate.

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Hump day! We get nine-game main slates on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Keep an eye on the status of the Giants/Mariners game as last night’s affair was postponed due to the air quality in the stadium. As always, make sure you check FTN’s Lineups Page once lineups are out. They’ve also added a Projected Ownership page to help you get different with your lineups!

 

Top SP: Jacob deGrom, NYM ($10,400 DK, $11,700 FD) at PHI

 

Before I jump into why Jacob deGrom is good at pitching, I wanted to drop a link to FTN’s Slate Preview. Adam Pfeifer dives into every game, so go check it out.

deGrom’s the GOAT, so it should come as no surprise that I’m all about playing him today. But this Phillies lineup should be without J.T. Realmuto and Rhys Hoskins which makes the matchup even juicier. The Phillies offense was hot about a week and a half ago but it has fallen off a cliff. Over the last 14 days, they’ve posted a team wOBA of just .291. With no Coors on the slate – thank you day game – I’m looking to pay up for my SP1 and we’ll find a cheap 3-man mini stack to make the rest of our lineup work.

Honorable Mentions: Gerrit Cole, NYY ($9,900 DK, $11,500 FD) vs. TOR; Lucas Giolito, CHW ($10,200 DK, $9,600 FD) vs. MIN; Dylan Bundy, LAA ($9,100 DK, $9,800 FD) vs. ARI

 

Value SP: Brady Singer, KC ($6,200 DK, $8,000 FD) at DET

 

In my cash lineups, Brady Singer is the first player I’m locking in. In GPPs, I’d want to see what the ownership is expected to be and then pivot off Singer if it’s too high.

Over the last month, Singer had a pretty rough stretch, allowing 21 earned runs in 30.1 IP. However, the matchups he faced in that time was against the Cubs, the Twins three times, and the White Sox twice. That’s a brutal stretch. In his last time out, Singer saw the Indians and threw eight shutout innings, striking out eight and allowing just three baserunners. And now he gets a matchup with the Tigers. Over the last 14 days, the Tigers offense has posted a .239 wOBA against right-handed pitchers, while striking out 26.7% of the time. Singer makes for an excellent SP2 to help balance out the cost of your SP1.

Honorable Mentions: Lance McCullers, HOU ($7,500 DK, $8,100 FD) vs. TEX; Caleb Smith, ARI ($5,800 DK, $6,900 FD) at LAA

 

OF Ronald Acuña, ATL ($5,900 DK, $4,400 FD) at BAL

 

You might have to make some special planning to figure out how to get Ronald Acuña in your lineup, but boy is this a juicy matchup. The Braves will face Orioles youngster, Keegan Akin who has struggled with walks and hard-hit balls in his 13.2 IP. He’s also allowed a 43.2% flyball rate but has allowed just one home run on the year. If he continues to walk batters at a 13.1% clip while being a fly ball pitcher in Camden Yards, things are not going to go his way.

Honorable Mentions: Marcell Ozuna, OF ($4,700 DK, $3,900 FD) at BAL; George Springer ($4,400 DK, $3,600 FD) vs. TEX

 

2B/OF Whit Merrifield, DET ($5,400 DK, $3,300 FD) at DET

 

I’ve had this note written down since the last time the Royals played the Tigers at the end of July – Whit Merrifield mashes against the Tigers. It’s pretty insane, but for his career, he’s posted a .352/.385/.603 triple slash in 313 plate appearances. This year is no different. In 5 games against the Tigers, he’s gone 8/22 with five extra-base hits. The bonus today is that he gets to face a lefty in Tarik Skubal. In five starts, the Tigers rookie has struggled with walks, hard-hit balls, and allowing barrels – not a great combination.

Honorable Mentions: Freddie Freeman, 1B ($5,700 DK, $4,200 FD) at BAL; Alex Bregman, 3B ($4,800 DK, $3,400 FD) vs. TEX

 

Value Batter: SS Adalberto Mondesi, KC ($3,900 DK, $2,800 FD) at DET

 

This will most likely be the last day that we can grab Adalberto Mondesi at a price under $4k, so let’s take advantage. Mondesi has been on an incredible heater, batting .308 with 4 homers since September 4th. He gets a good matchup against Skubal, who we just talked about in the Whit Merrifield writeup. The more I’m looking at this slate, the more I like the Royals. After Skubal, they’ll face a bullpen that’s posted a league-worst 8.25 ERA over the last 14 days.

Honorable Mentions: Edward Olivares, OF ($2,100 DK, $2,300 FD) at DET; Jordan Luplow, OF ($2,200 DK, $2,200 FD) at CHC

 

Lineup Stack: Royals at Tigers (LHP Tarik Skubal)

 

If you can afford to pay up, the three options below have expensive options in them. Since I want to figure out how to fit in deGrom though, the Royals are my featured stack. We already went through Merrifield and Mondesi, but I also like Maikel Franco ($4,300 DK, $2,900 FD), Salvador Perez ($4,400 DK, $2,900 FD), and Hunter Dozier ($4,000 DK, $3,200 FD). If you need to save some salary, Edward Olivares ($2,100 DK, $2,300 FD) and Bubba Starling ($2,000 DK, $2,000 FD) are close to min priced options. Good luck today!

Honorable Mentions: Yankees vs. Blue Jays (RHP Tanner Roark); Braves at Orioles (LHP Keegan Akin); Astros vs. Rangers (RHP Kyle Gibson)

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Featured image by Justin Paradis (@freshmeatcomm on Twitter)

Rich Holman

Tax Auditor by day (I promise I'm not the devil), dad to twin velociraptors by night. Complete sports junkie. Philly fan that only boos occasionally.

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