Hitter List 6/5: Ranking the Top 150 Hitters to Own ROS

Rank Change Hitter Position(s)
1 T1 - Mike Trout OF
2 - Mookie Betts OF
3 - Christian Yelich OF
4 - Cody Bellinger 1B, OF
5 T2 - Ronald Acuna OF
6 - Francisco Lindor SS
7 +1 Nolan Arenado 3B
8 -1 J. D. Martinez OF
9 - Alex Bregman 3B, SS
10 - Trevor Story SS
11 +1 Javier Baez 2B, 3B, SS
12 +1 Trea Turner SS
13 +1 Freddie Freeman 1B
14 +4 Anthony Rendon 3B
15 +4 Tommy Pham OF
16 +4 Anthony Rizzo 1B
17 +4 Adalberto Mondesi 2B, SS
18 T3 -2 Bryce Harper OF
19 -2 Whit Merrifield 2B, OF
20 +2 Kris Bryant 3B, OF
21 +6 Starling Marte OF
22 -7 Jose Ramirez 2B, 3B
23 -12 Manny Machado 3B, SS
24 -1 Charlie Blackmon OF
25 +1 Eugenio Suarez 3B
26 -2 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
27 +2 Michael Brantley OF
28 +2 Matt Chapman 3B
29 +4 Vlad Guerrero Jr. 3B
30 +19 Austin Meadows OF
31 +5 Tim Anderson SS
32 +5 Josh Bell 1B
33 +15 Juan Soto OF
34 T4 -2 Eddie Rosario OF
35 +3 Gary Sanchez C
36 +7 Yoan Moncada 2B, 3B
37 -9 Ozzie Albies 2B
38 +15 Khris Davis DH
39 +17 Marcell Ozuna OF
40 +2 Rhys Hoskins 1B
41 +4 Gleyber Torres 2B, SS
42 +2 Xander Bogaerts SS
43 -3 J. T. Realmuto C
44 +3 Jonathan Villar 2B, OF
45 -11 Jose Altuve 2B
46 -21 Joey Gallo 1B, OF, DH
47 T5 -6 Andrew Benintendi OF
48 -13 Lorenzo Cain OF
49 +1 Aaron Judge OF
50 +5 Peter Alonso 1B
51 -12 Jose Abreu 1B, DH
52 -6 Mitch Haniger OF
53 -2 Giancarlo Stanton OF
54 -2 Wil Myers 3B, OF
55 +4 Luke Voit 1B, DH
56 +8 David Peralta OF
57 +14 Byron Buxton OF
58 +8 Fernando Tatis Jr. SS
59 +8 Nick Senzel 3B, OF
60 -6 Justin Turner 3B
61 +36 George Springer OF
62 T6 -2 Michael Conforto OF
63 -32 Carlos Correa SS
64 +12 Rafael Devers 3B
65 -3 Ryan Braun OF
66 -9 Yasiel Puig OF
67 -9 Domingo Santana OF
68 - Avisail Garcia OF, DH
69 - Max Muncy 1B, 3B
70 -9 Victor Robles OF
71 +1 Nelson Cruz DH
72 T7 +2 Mike Moustakas 2B, 3B
73 -10 Paul DeJong SS
74 -4 Willson Contreras C
75 +9 Trey Mancini 1B, OF
76 -11 Jean Segura SS
77 +14 Carlos Santana 1B, DH
78 +2 Yasmani Grandal C
79 -6 Dee Gordon 2B, OF
80 -2 Edwin Encarnacion 1B, DH
81 -2 Jorge Polanco SS
82 -7 Josh Donaldson 3B
83 - Elvis Andrus SS
84 T8 -2 Cesar Hernandez 2B
85 +10 Ketel Marte 2B, OF
86 +6 Corey Seager SS
87 -10 Matt Carpenter 1B, 3B
88 -2 David Dahl OF
89 -4 Hunter Dozier 1B
90 -1 Franmil Reyes OF
91 -10 Matt Olson 1B
92 -5 Shohei Ohtani DH
93 - Adam Eaton OF
94 +16 Austin Riley 3B, OF
95 -1 Dan Vogelbach 1B
96 T9 - Nick Castellanos OF
97 +2 Jesse Winker OF
98 +3 Hunter Renfroe OF
99 +19 Max Kepler OF
100 +9 C. J. Cron 1B, DH
101 +1 Michael Chavis 2B, 3B
102 +11 Alex Verdugo OF
103 +8 Daniel Murphy 1B, 2B
104 -1 Shin-Soo Choo OF, DH
105 +1 Nomar Mazara OF
106 +13 Wilson Ramos C
107 T10 -17 Aaron Hicks OF
108 -10 Miguel Cabrera 1B
109 -9 Gregory Polanco OF
110 -6 Adam Jones OF
111 +5 Robinson Cano 2B
112 +13 Christian Walker 1B
113 +4 Clint Frazier OF
114 T11 +23 Hunter Pence OF, DH
115 -7 Joey Votto 1B
116 -11 Eloy Jimenez OF
117 +4 Eduardo Escobar 2B, 3B, SS
118 -11 Justin Upton OF
119 +12 Joc Pederson OF
120 +3 Jonathan Schoop 2B
121 +11 Scott Kingery 3B, SS, OF
122 +2 Stephen Piscotty OF
123 +27 Dansby Swanson SS
124 T12 -2 Amed Rosario SS
125 +4 Cavan Biggio 2B
126 +12 Justin Smoak 1B, DH
127 +1 Scooter Gennett 2B
128 +5 Eric Hosmer 1B
129 +15 Ramon Laureano OF
130 - Brendan Rodgers 2B, SS
131 -16 Yadier Molina C
132 T13 -5 Marcus Semien SS
133 +2 Brandon Lowe 2B
134 +15 Lourdes Gurriel 2B, OF
135 -23 Dwight Smith OF
136 UR Howie Kendrick 1B, 2B, 3B
137 -11 Buster Posey C
138 -2 Mallex Smith OF
139 +16 Asdrubal Cabrera 2B, 3B, SS
140 UR Kevin Kiermaier OF
141 -27 Rougned Odor 2B
142 +4 Niko Goodrum 1B, 2B, SS, OF
143 +8 Travis Shaw 2B, 3B
144 UR Jorge Soler OF
145 -2 Enrique Hernandez 2B, SS, OF
146 UR Bryan Reynolds OF
147 -5 Yuli Gurriel 1B, 3B
148 -8 Maikel Franco 3B
149 +9 Ian Desmond 1B, OF
150 -3 Jose Peraza SS

Hello and welcome to Hitter List, where every Wednesday I’ll be flawlessly ranking the top 150 hitters in baseball from now through the end of the season.

To truly hate something, you must first understand it, so here’s a general overview of how I go about evaluating players so you can be upset with these rankings more thoroughly:

  • I value stolen bases significantly more than home runs. The 5,585 homers hit in 2018 were the fourth-highest total in modern history. And the 2,474 stolen bases from last year were the lowest total since 1994 and the eighth-lowest total since 1969. In other words, stolen bases are a scarce resource getting even scarcer, like competent relievers on the Baltimore Orioles. And home runs are an abundant resource that are becoming more prevalent, like reasons the New York Mets should fire Mickey Callaway. All else being equal, I’ll always take the guy with 15 HR/20 SB over the guy with 20 HR/15 SB.
  • I’m generally not a believer in positional scarcity, so position eligibility only comes into play in two instances: as a tiebreaker when two players are fairly evenly matched, or if a player is eligible at catcher, because catcher is a barren wasteland this year filled with adrenaline-fueled maniacs playing guitar riffs while strapped to 18-wheelers. Wait, no, that’s Mad Max: Fury Road, but catcher is just as bleak and weird.
  • I’m an old man who’s afraid of change, so I tend to be low on young players without major league track records.
  • I lean on track record more than recent performance, unless I see a significant underlying change in approach.
  • These rankings apply only to leagues using standard scoring (R, RBI, HR, SB, AVG) and lean more towards rotisserie and H2H categories leagues. Adjust accordingly for other formats.
  • These rankings are meant to be from today’s date through the end of the season. These are purely for redraft, so I’m not taking 2020 into account here at all.
  • A player’s movement in the rankings can be just as much about where guys around them have moved as anything else. A player might move down purely as a result of someone below them rising, and vice versa.

 

 

Now onto the recaps:

  • Injuries: Hunter Dozier, Andrew McCutchen, Joey Gallo, and Carlos Correa were lost to the IL this week. But when one door closes, another one opens: Travis Shaw, Nelson Cruz, David Peralta, and Khris Davis all made their returns.
  • Additions: Howie Kendrick, Kevin Kiermaier, Bryan Reynolds, Jorge Soler, Ian Desmond, and Travis Shaw make their debuts/returns this week at the expense of Keston Hiura, Jesus Aguilar, Nicky Lopez, Andrew McCutchen, and Ender Inciarte. I have playing time concerns with Kendrick and Reynolds, and injury concerns with Kiermaier and Shaw. But assuming health and consistent playing time, I think they all have the potential to be above-average offensive contributors.
  • I still haven’t given up on Manny Machado and Jose Ramirez, but it’s about time they fall out of the top-20 considering how well a lot of the guys who were below them are performing. A hot month from either of them would pull their lines up to about what you expected coming into the year, so I’m still preaching patience.
  • We talked a bit about Austin Meadows on the podcast last week, and everything he’s doing right now is amazing. Great plate discipline, an excellent 8.6% SwStr, an elite 28% line drive rate, and he’s nearly doubled his barrel rate this year thanks to the fact that he’s posting a 41% hard hit rate while upping his launch angle a few degrees. I think this might be the breakout of an elite fantasy bat.
  • Has Byron Buxton teased us too many times over the course of his career for us to take what he’s doing right now seriously? He’s still swinging a lot, especially at pitches out of the strike zone. But he’s managed to improve his contact rate so far and is performing substantially better against all pitch types–including offspeed pitches and breaking balls–to this point. On top of that, his 41% hard hit rate is nearly 10 points above his previous career-high. If he can hold onto these gains all season and pair them with his elite sprint speed, watch out.
  • Trey Mancini has marginally improved as a contact hitter this year while still retaining all of the hard contact he customarily makes and nearly doubling his average launch angle from last season. He doesn’t have the plate discipline of Josh Bell, but I see him as a poor man’s version of Bell that you could probably acquire for a fraction of the cost.
  • Austin Riley is probably the hottest hitter in baseball right now, and I know a lot of people will probably be clamoring for me to move him higher on the list as a result. But I just can’t right now, as I’m not convinced the poor contact ability and plate discipline he’s shown to this point is a mirage. The 21% SwStr and 38% chase rate he’s posting are so, so bad, and I can’t help but think he’ll be crippled by them once his 45% (!!!) HR/FB and .378 BABIP normalize. For now, I think having him surrounded by guys like Dan Vogelbach and Hunter Renfroe, who I believe are solid comps, is right.
  • It initially seemed like George Springer was going to miss close to two months with a hamstring strain, but recent reports seem positive, and it appears he’ll be back with the Astros much sooner than expected, which is why he’s sliding back towards the top this week.

Graphic by Michael Haas (@digitalHaas on Twitter)

Jonathan Metzelaar

Jonathan Metzelaar is a writer and content manager with Pitcher List, and co-host of the On the Barrel podcast. He enjoys long walks on the beach, quiet dinners by candlelight, and essentially any other activity that will distract him from the perpetual torture of being a New York Mets fan. He's written for Fangraphs Community Research and created Youtube videos about fantasy baseball under the moniker "Jonny Baseball."

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Comments


MookieBestt

Hooray! Juan Soto finally has moved up! Now I have to find a new player to complain about being way too low! Might be Franmil, but I’d like to see the RBIs start coming for him. Huge difference in ranking between him and Khrush though for similar guys feels like too big a gap.

In general though I’m glad to see the list finally being a little more reactive to what’s happened in 2019.

Andrew S

No love for Bogaerts? The dude just keeps hitting, as an owner of his there are about 15 players you have listed ahead of him that I would not trade him for. Is there something I’m missing in his profile?

Jonathan Metzelaar

Bogaerts probaby does deserve more love–he’s continuing to improve his quality-of-contact without giving back any of his overall contact gains. There’s a good case for a 10+ spot bump from where he’s currently ranked–good call.

Wade

What are your thoughts on Carpenter? I see you keep bumping him down, but it seems like he’s starting to heat up. .316/.422.632 in last 2 weeks with 4 homers. Is it a case where you like him but other people are just performing better, or are you still down on him?

Jonathan Metzelaar

He’s historically feasted on fastballs, but is seeing significantly less of them this season (53% is a career-low). That, paired with the fact that I think last year was pretty clearly an aberration power-wise, has me projecting him for something in the range of a .250 average and 25 homers with a ton of runs scored. That’s obviously useful, but not really anything worth getting super excited over.

Facenda

Ozzie Albies is stuck batting eighth, which means he’s not scoring any runs (9 in the last five weeks). And over that five-week period, he has 1 HR, 1 SB and 9 RBI and a .280 SLG. He had a solid April, but has been brutal since then. You rank him #37 ROS, which indicates an optimism that he can turn it around. Can you explain why? As an owner, I’d like to believe.

I want to believe. I’d love your ROS 2B5 ranking to be true. But man, I’m not seeing anything to convince me that I can’t do better with … I don’t know … Nino Goodrum.

Jonathan Metzelaar

A lot of his ranking has some expected growth baked in. The .284 xBA and improved barrel rate this year point to a guy who could hit .280 with 20 homers. I think the only thing holding him back are the stolen bases. For a guy who was pegged for 70-grade speed by scouts, and who has flashed 85th percentile sprint speed this year, I can’t help but think it’s just an issue of opportunity. And if he gets it, and pushes his stolen base total up to 20 this year, I think he’s absolutely worthy of being considered a top-40 fantasy asset. As you mentioned though, a lot of that will probably be dependent on his spot in the lineup and if he’s able to perform well enough for an extended stretch to move up in the order.

Kev

No David Fletcher on the list? Just dropped Domingo Santana for him. He’s been killing it.

Michael Scott’s cousin

Ahhh finally moving JoRam down the list a little, took you long enough…but keep it moving….22 aint low enough. Underlying stats are horrendous. Anyone who thinks he will turn this around completely is crazy. He can’t hit an offspeed pitch to save his life, not hard to adjust to that if you are a pitcher in the MLB with a simple scouting report…don’t throw the FB. Sure, he’ll end up hitting .235 with 20-25 homers and 25 steals but that’s it IMO

Jonathan Metzelaar

Ramirez has actually struggled mightily against fastballs this year, with just a .237 wOBA and .136 average against. A lot of those struggles can be chalked up to just a .132 BABIP against the pitch. The fact that he’s handling breaking balls well enough, and has never struggled this badly against fastballs before, has me pretty confident in a turnaround. There’s top-5 upside in his bat, so I think you have to have faith.

Michael Scott’s cousin

Check out his cb and ch batting avg against since all star break last yr. i hear what you are saying though, its not like u just wake up and forget to hit one day. I think whats happening is that pitchers have found his weakness whatever that is…a top 5 hitter like him doesnt just slump for almost a full year. I think he will make the adjustment eventually, but just not soon enough for me.

Facenda

Thank you. I appreciate the reply. I’ll probably sit him (particularly against RHP, against whom he’s struggled) and hope he can get it together.

Kerry

If there are MORE home runs being hit, then it takes MORE of them to compete.

If there are FEWER bases being stolen, then it takes FEWER of them to compete.

Jonathan Metzelaar

That’s true, but doesn’t run counter to the point I’m making, which is that the value of something increases as there is less of it, and decreases as there is more of it. A player who steals 20 bases now is more valuable than a player who stole 20 bases 10 years ago. A player who hits 25 homers now is less valuable than a player who hit 25 homers 10 years ago.

Jack

Came here to say the same thing… they clearly overweight SBs. Dude doesn’t just have a high avg. Is clutch w RBI and hits for decent power. I love Senzel and Albies but they shouldn’t be higher than Polanco.

High_changeup

Yeah, the hitter list on this site tends to be too wonky. He needs to look at overall player ranks for the season more often in his fantasy leagues, imo.

I’d take DJ (obviously), Fletcher, Cooper, Jacoby Jones, over multiple guys on the bottom of the list. He seems to weigh past performance too much. They should just do positional rankings on this site, not top 150.

Josh Bell and Soto are also both top 20 hitters.

Wait, LA STELLA isn’t even on the list!

High_changeup

Miggy, Rodgers, Franco, Peraza, Gurriel, Biggio, Walker, Cano, Chavis, Verdugo, César, Winkler, Dee Gordon, Roblès, Abreu, Myers are some guys ranked too high, imo.

Nahder

Love these weekly list. Any way we could ever have an OBP league list as well? More and more leagues are shifting and I can’t imagine it would be too much legwork.

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