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Top SP: Brad Peacock, HOU ($9,400) vs. PIT
Peacock has been a nice stabilizing force in the Astros rotation this year as he has been able to build on his dominant relief role last year and turn into a solid starter for 2019. The Pirates just hit Framber Valdez and (gulp) Tyler White around the park to a tune of 14 runs and 15 hits last night. So now that they got that offensive explosion out of the way, look for Peacock to come in and showcase his improved fastball and slider to the Pirates lineup and take the rubber game in the series. Peacock also lines up for a great possibility of a win in this one as one-time Astro Joe Musgrove is opposite of him in this start.
Value SP: Ariel Jurado, TEX ($6,700) at DET
The Tigers run out one of the most right-handed lineups in the league. Just last night, their lineup against Mike Minor included seven right-handed hitters and two switch-hitters. The Tigers also own the worst wOBA in the league versus right-handed pitchers at .282. Jurado is not going to strike out a lot of guys, but look for him to post solid numbers and get you six innings of one- to two-run ball with about four to six strikeouts. The Rangers also have a great possibility to win this game for an extra four points for Jurado.
Is there a hotter batter in the game right now over the past month than Jeff McNeil? If you are looking for safety with one of your expensive players, look no further than McNeil. McNeil has posted double digit points in five of the past eight games he has played, and he is going up against a struggling Phillies team that is tired of facing these Mets. Aaron Nola has really struggled so far this year against left-handed bats as they are posting a .372 wOBA and a .286 average over his 33 innings pitched. Scorching hot hitter meet struggling pitcher, give me McNeil in this matchup.
C.J Cron has been a lefty killer all year long, posting seven home runs and a .357 batting average over 78 plate appearances against southpaws this year. Although Jalen Beeks has been better against right-handed hitters than left-handed hitters this season, I think Cron wins this battle, and he is a cheap enough option that you can fit him in with your team stacks in today’s lineups.
Value Bat: C J.T. Realmuto, PHI ($3,600) vs. NYM (RHP Zack Wheeler)
This may be the cheapest price you can get J.T. Realmuto for this year in DFS. He is batting in the heart of the Phillies lineup that has scored 25 runs in the first three games of this series. Although he has had his struggles with right-handed pitchers this year, look for Realmuto to join in on the offensive onslaught the Phillies have put on the Mets in the series and be a big contributor in your lineups this afternoon.
Lineup Stack: Brewers vs Mariners (RHP Mike Leake)
You had me at Miller Park vs. Mike Leake. There are a lot of ways you can stack this lineup today against Leake, who has been dreadful away from home this year to the tune of a 4.98 ERA and a total of 31 earned runs in 56 innings pitched. Given the fact that the Brewers park benefits most of the power hitters who play for the Brewers, this is the easy stack of the day in my opinion. Of course, you’ll have to pay up for Christian Yelich ($5,800), but there are some cheaper options in Mike Moustakas ($4,800), Ryan Braun ($4,400), and potentially Lorenzo Cain ($4,000) if he’s in the lineup. If you can get any exposure to this game, you should be rolling in the cash come dinner time tonight.
Honorable Mentions: Astros vs. Pirates (Musgrove); Braves vs. Cubs (Chatwood).
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gemc13) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games on which I offer advice. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings, and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any nonpublic information.
Graphic by Justin Paradis (@FreshMeatComm on Twitter).