The List 6/10 – Ranking The Top 100 Starting Pitchers Every Week

The List

Rank Change Pitcher Labels
1 T1 - Max Scherzer
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
2 - Justin Verlander
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
3 +1 Chris Sale
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
4 -1 Blake Snell
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
5 - Gerrit Cole
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
6 +3 Jacob deGrom
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
7 T2 +1 Luis Castillo
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
8 +3 Zack Greinke
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
9 +3 Stephen Strasburg
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
10 -4 Trevor Bauer
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
11 -1 Clayton Kershaw
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
12 +6 Walker Buehler
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
13 -6 Patrick Corbin
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
14 -1 James Paxton
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
15 T3 -1 Hyun-Jin Ryu
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
16 -1 Charlie Morton
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
17 -1 David Price
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
18 -1 Matt Boyd
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
19 +3 Jose Berrios
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Cherry Bomb
20 +3 Aaron Nola
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
21 +8 Lucas Giolito
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
22 +6 Mike Soroka
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
23 +2 Noah Syndergaard
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
24 T4 -3 Chris Paddack
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
25 +2 Zack Wheeler
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
26 -6 Shane Bieber
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Cherry Bomb
27 +10 Andrew Heaney
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
28 +8 Kyle Hendricks
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
29 +4 Frankie Montas
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
30 +9 Mike Minor
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
31 +3 Madison Bumgarner
Ace Potential
Quality Starts
32 -2 Max Fried
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
33 +7 Jake Odorizzi
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
34 -3 Jack Flaherty
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
35 T5 -3 German Marquez
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
36 -1 Rich Hill
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
37 +1 Masahiro Tanaka
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
38 +3 Brandon Woodruff
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
39 +3 Mike Foltynewicz
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
40 +3 Robbie Ray
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
41 +6 Kenta Maeda
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
42 T6 +2 Griffin Canning
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
43 +3 Kyle Gibson
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
44 +8 Cole Hamels
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
45 +16 Nick Pivetta
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
46 +10 Wade Miley
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
47 T7 +1 Sonny Gray
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Cherry Bomb
Ratio Focused
48 -3 Tyler Skaggs
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
49 +1 Spencer Turnbull
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
50 +1 Joey Lucchesi
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
51 +2 Eduardo Rodriguez
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
52 +2 Yu Darvish
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
53 +5 Jose Quintana
Injury Risk
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
54 +6 Brad Peacock
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
55 T8 +8 Joe Musgrove
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
56 +6 J. A. Happ
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
57 +8 Jon Lester
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
58 -9 Miles Mikolas
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
59 +9 Yonny Chirinos
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
60 +19 Steven Matz
Strikeout Upside
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
61 +9 Zach Plesac
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Streaming Option
62 UR Zach Eflin
Strikeout Upside
Toby
Ratio Focused
63 +3 Chris Archer
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
64 +22 Pablo Lopez
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
65 +10 Lance Lynn
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
66 T9 -2 Tyler Mahle
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
67 - Jerad Eickhoff
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
68 +3 Chris Bassitt
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Streaming Option
69 -12 Jimmy Nelson
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Stash Option
70 +11 Trevor Richards
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
71 +3 Zach Davies
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
72 +10 Julio Teheran
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
73 +7 Jon Gray
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
74 UR Peter Lambert
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Streaming Option
75 +8 Jose Urena
Quality Starts
Cherry Bomb
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
76 +11 Jon Duplantier
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
77 UR Dylan Bundy
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
78 UR Framber Valdez
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
79 UR Jason Vargas
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
80 +9 Jose Suarez
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
81 UR Adrian Sampson
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
82 -9 Felix Pena
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
83 T10 -6 Rick Porcello
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
84 -6 Marcus Stroman
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Cherry Bomb
Toby
Ratio Focused
85 -13 Kevin Gausman
Injury Risk
Quality Starts
Toby
86 +2 Tanner Roark
Toby
Streaming Option
87 -3 Jake Arrieta
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
88 UR Freddy Peralta
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
89 +5 Merrill Kelly
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
90 -14 Martin Perez
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
91 +2 Reynaldo Lopez
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Cherry Bomb
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
92 +12 John Means
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
93 -8 Trent Thornton
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Streaming Option
94 UR Mike Fiers
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
95 -4 CC Sabathia
Injury Risk
Low Ips
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
96 UR Michael Pineda
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
97 T11 - Alex Reyes
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Stash Option
98 - Dylan Cease
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Stash Option
99 - Zac Gallen
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Stash Option
100 - Jesus Luzardo
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Stash Option

Labels Legend

Aces Gonna Ace
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low IPS
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
Stash Option

 

Fringe Starters

 

Pitcher Why They Missed The Cut
Anthony DeSclafani He couldn’t even handle the Pirates. The magic is gone.
Danny Duffy Not the worst option and one of the last off The List
Daniel Norris There isn’t enough upside to chase this
Marco Gonzales His repertoire isn’t working right now, there just isn’t enough to chase
Gio Gonzalez On the IL with “dead arm” – He’s a Toby
Caleb Smith On the IL with hip injury – Top 20/30 arm
Domingo German On the IL with hip flexor injury – Top 30 arm
Jordan Lyles On the IL with a hamstring injury – Top 60/70 arm
Matt Strahm On the IL with rib strain – Top 50/60 arm
Carlos Carrasco On the IL with a blood issue – Top 15/25 arm
Corey Kluber On the IL with a forearm injury – Top 10 arm
Jameson Taillon On the IL with an elbow injury – Top 25 SP
Tyler Glasnow On the IL with forearm strain – “4-6 weeks”
Luke Weaver On the IL with a forearm strain – would be around the low 30s
Trevor Williams He’ll be back around the 50s/60s when back from the IL with a side strain
Clay Buchholz Isn’t cutting it as a Toby
Drew Pomeranz K upside is interesting, but low IPS and too low of a ceiling.
Jake Junis Too volatile to trust despite a tinge of strikeout upside
Dereck Rodriguez A Toby who hasn’t helped enough to justify his ranking
Nick Margevicius Looks more like a Cup of Schmo than a rosterable arm
Luis Severino The recent injury news sets him back to July 1st, hopefully. He’ll be Top 15 then.
Mike Clevinger His injury has Clev out until June/July. He’ll be Top 20 then.
Nathan Eovaldi Hit the IL with an elbow injury. When starting again, he’ll be 40/50s
Touki Toussaint Touki has been demoted to Triple-A
Alex Wood I’m just going to wait until he’s back to properly rank him. Most likely in the 50s.
Jhoulys Chacin Even his recent stretch isn’t worth the floor
Justus Sheffield Good stash option, but not as good as the others
Dallas Keuchel I’ll add him when he’s confirmed to start – Top 70/80 arm
Michael Wacha Let’s see how he performs in the rotation again and if it lasts.
Vince Velasquez Moved to the bullpen
Ivan Nova Just not enough upside and while he’s a decent streamer, it’s never for a high ceiling.

 

What is happening!

It’s another week and another edition of the Top 100 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball.

Before I dive into the player notes, here’s an outline of how I’m handling The List this season:

  • Previous/Best/Worst columns removed
    • These took a heavy chunk of loading time and ultimately provided very little value. The change arrows themselves are all that’s needed
  • Tiers added
    • As much as I hate making tiers (When do they start and end? How big are the cliffs?), ya’ll have been asking for them and I’m here for all of you. Please understand how hard it is to accurately place them and don’t get too worked up about it.
  • Labels added
    • There’s often confusion as to why a pitcher is a spot or two above or below another. These labels should help understand what each pitcher brings to the table, showing that some pitchers may be better or worse for what you need.
    • Hover over them (or tap on mobile) to see each label’s name next to the pitcher.
    • Ratio Focused = Their value lies in you chasing their ERA/WHIP more than strikeouts and Wins.
    • TobyBoring arm that doesn’t excite you, but you stare at the waiver wire and accept that he just okay enough. You don’t like that he’s around the office, but he gets his work done.
    • Cherry Bomb = Volatile pitchers who are either “super sweet” or “blow up in your face.” Heed warning.
    • Ace Potential = I define an ace as: 3.40 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 24% K rate, 6.0 IPS. It’s why you see some surprising names as having the upside of an ace.
  • Fringe Starters added
    • There are always a handful of starters I badly want to add to The List but I don’t have enough room. I’ll always have this table at the end for a collection of starters – in no order – that I also heavily considered, as well as why they could be relevant
    • This will be where IL Players will land. I’ll mention where they would slot when healthy.

Please let me know how you feel about these changes and I’m looking forward to another fun year assessing the wonderful entity that is the SP Landscape.

On to the notes! Remember, these ranks are for 12-teamers in H2H categories leagues.

 

Player Notes

 

  • UPDATE: Anibal Sanchez should be on The List. He’d be placed around 75/80.
  • I gave a drop to both Trevor Bauer and Patrick Corbinwhile raising Jacob deGrom and Walker BuehlerNothing really to add, I expect many complaints here. Bauer could jump back up quickly.
  • With Caleb Smith, Domingo German, and Carlos Carrasco heading to the IL, 70%+ of The List gained an easy three spots. Keep that in mind.
  • Mike Soroka got some love as he continues to be a stud ratio wise. I question his longevity this season and if he can hit a 25% strikeout rate, but he deserved a push up the ranks.
  • Tier four is the interesting one with plenty of fun arms getting boosts. I’m loving what Andrew Heaney is doing, even with the 5 ER game. Kyle Hendricks is doing better than you’d think, Frankie Montas, Mike Minor, and Jake Odorizzi each deserve a ton of love as well.
  • I really struggled to mark the Tiers for six/seven/eight/nine as there is a clear break around the mid-40s to the rest of the SP pool. Remember, it’s about chasing upside and at the moment a lot of possible studs are disappointing except for…
  • …Well I didn’t expect raising Nick Pivetta this much, but man I just don’t like the options in the 50s these days, making it worth it to chase Pivetta more than I anticipated. This is still very risky and I’d be selling if someone is buying, but who knows, maybe, just maybe this is the turning point for Pivetta I’ve been waiting over a year to see.
  • Steven Matz, Lance Lynn, and Pablo Lopez are pitching like their best selves at the moment, forcing my hand to push them up The List. No reason not to be going with them over the options behind them in 12-teamers as the late 60s and beyond are close to replacement level.
  • Joining The List this week are Zach Eflin (back from injury), Peter Lambert (maybe the skill set is real?), Dylan Bundy (shockingly good month), Framber Valdez (Cherry Bomb but maybe it’s a good stretch in June), Jason Vargas (Vargas Rule n all), John Means and Mike Fiers (streaming options), Michael Pineda (return from injury), and Adrian Sampson (is his slider really that good now?).

(Photo by Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire)

Nick Pollack

Founder of PitcherList.com. Rotographs and Washington Post contributor and has worked with CBS Sports, Grantland, and SB Nation. Former pitching coach and Brandeis alum.

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Comments


StatsDontLie

Hey Nick, thanks for the work. Just want to make sure I’m reading this list right, you would take Charlie Morton over Noah Syndergaard ROS?

Thanks again,
SDL

DonJuan

It’s always easier to comment on “I think you got this guy wrong”… but I can’t find much to argue about. Great job. Thanks for putting in the work every week.

Brad R

Is it fair to call what Hendricks has been doing a sort of Spiderman+ level right now? He’s been so consistent, great ratios and more strikeouts than you’d expect from him, but because of the Ks hes not gonna be an Ace.

Is Spiderman plus even underselling his performance?

J

The thing is, with how many IP/S he’s going, the low strikeout rate plays up a bit too. Hendricks’ K/9 is about 1.4 lower than Walker Buehler, but he only trails him by 4 Ks in the same number of starts because Hendricks has pitched 8.2 more innings. His ability to go deep into games this year (largely a product of his efficiency) has been a nice asset for a guy who otherwise lags in Ks.

Frankie

He’s been a true disappointment. Skaggs is one of those guys that isn’t exactly blowing you up, but isn’t really helping either. Hard to drop Skaggs for what is on the waiver wire.

lassetjus

Just read a bunch of scouting reports on Peter Lambert going back to when he was drafted 44th overall in 2015 out of high school. He was always the youngest guy in his minor league and dominated AA. He struggled in AAA but was 5 years younger than the average player there. He is known for his command of his 4 pitches. He locates his 91-95 MPH fastball well in all 4 corners and has a plus changeup and plus curveball according to John Sickels. It seems like he is the type of guy who gets by with good command of his pitches, sequencing and just knowing how to pitch. I’m going to give him a whirl. Can’t be much worse than what I’ve gotten out of Eickhoff for the last month.
https://www.purplerow.com/2019/2/5/18211537/colorado-rockies-prospect-rankings-peter-lambert-purp-2019

theKraken

The simple fact that he plays for the Rockies is enough for me to have zero interest. I have never seen him pitch but on the surface he looks like Antonio Senzatela – solid stuff and command, good GB rate, low K rate, COL. Most COL starters look like that actually and they come and go.

BK

Hendricks should be top 20, maybe top 15 imo. There’s a reason he consistently outperforms ERA estimators, and its weak contact. Similar to Kershaw, his babip should be expected to be around .270 – .280

Moscowitz

Fantastic. Ryu is pitching like a Cy young over weeks, is probably the best effin pitcher on earth right now and he gets rewarded with a slip. Goes down 1 place. Great!

Jim

Fiers may not blow you away with his stuff but he’s been impressive since his no hitter. Results are all that matter no?

theKraken

Weird to see some of those guys in the top 35 but I agree. So many of last years rising stars have disappointed so far that you have to value the Minors and Odorizzi’s of the world.

Kevin

For fantasy purposes it would be nice if you guys threw together this list and included things like era fip xfip Sierra. It would allow us to examine pitchers that are good trade targets. If not I’ll do it myself I suppose.

Nick Pollack

Thanks for the suggestion!

We don’t have an internal stats database, so crafting that would take a long time for me every week. Also, I wonder if it might make the List look a bit too cluttered.

Something to consider in the future!

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