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Happy Friday! With the regular season winding down, we’ll have to keep motivation in mind for teams that are eliminated from the expanded playoffs. Today we get 12-game main slates on both DraftKings and FanDuel. As always, make sure you check FTN’s Lineups Page once lineups are out. They’ve also added a Projected Ownership page to help you get different with your lineups!
Top SP: Tyler Glasnow, TB ($9,700 DK, $10,100 FD) at BAL
If you’re into strikeouts than I think I can interest you in Tyler Glasnow. On the year, Glasnow sports an incredible 37.4% strikeout rate which has him tied with Trevor Bauer for second in the league. That K-Rate should pair extremely well with his opponent, the Orioles. Over the last 14 days, Baltimore has posted a 24.4% strikeout rate. During that time, they’ve also put up a .314 team wOBA, slightly below average. That last part should help offset some of Glasnow’s batted ball issues – 39.8% hard-hit rate and 23.5% line drive rate.
Honorable Mentions: Zack Greinke, HOU ($10,100 DK, $9,500 FD) vs. ARI
Value SP: Zach Plesac, CLE ($8,500 DK, $10,400 FD) at DET
Zach Plesac definitely isn’t a value on FanDuel, so check the Honorable Mentions for a play there. However, his price on FanDuel really shows just how much value there is in his DraftKings price. Plesac had a rough go in his last outing against the Twins. He allowed five earned runs over 7 IP. Plesac gets a much better matchup this time out against the Tigers. Over the last 14 days, the Tigers have posted a league-worst .263 team wOBA against righties. Plesac makes for an excellent SP2 on DK, but can also be used as an SP1 if you’re looking to pay down for pitching today.
Honorable Mentions: Rich Hill, MIN ($7,600 DK, $6,900 FD) at CHC; Jaime Barria, LAA ($6,500 DK, $5,800 FD) vs. TEX
OF Mookie Betts, LAD ($6,000 DK, $4,700 FD) at COL
This will be the only mention of Coors and then I’ll let it go. According to FTN’s Lineup Optimizer, the Dodgers have an eye-popping 8.1 expected team total in Colorado tonight. We cannot ignore that number. Both sites did a pretty good job of pricing the Dodgers up, so you’re going to have to plan ahead to fit in a couple of expensive bats. I don’t have to say anything about Mookie Betts. He’s incredible and deserves his top hitter price tonight. Especially against Ryan Castellani. The Rockies righty currently sports a near-6.00 SIERA and is walking almost as many batters as he’s striking out. That’s not going to be a good combination in Coors against a hot Dodgers team.
Honorable Mentions: Aaron Judge, OF ($5,000 DK, $4,000 FD) at BOS; Brandon Lowe, 2B/OF ($5,500 DK, $3,800 FD) at BAL
3B Manny Machado, SD ($5,400 DK, $4,100 FD) at SEA
Manny Machado is on a heater! He currently has an eight-game hitting streak and sports a .467 OBP during that time. Machado has mashed lefties all year, posting a .394 wOBA against southpaws this year. Today the Padres face Yusei Kikuchi in Seattle. To his credit, Kikuchi has increased his strikeout rate to 26.2% in his sophomore season. The batted ball profile has improved as well, but it’s still led to a 5.35 ERA. This is going to be a tough Padres lineup for Kikuchi to make it through. Following Kikuchi, Machado will face a Seattle bullpen that has allowed a 5.85 ERA over the last 14 days.
Honorable Mentions: Corey Seager, SS ($5,300 DK, $4,200 FD) at COL; DJ LeMahieu, 2B/3B ($5,600 DK, $4,200 FD) at BOS
Value Batter: OF Randy Arozarena, TB ($3,500 DK, $2,700 FD) at BAL
You got to love getting the three-hole hitter from a team with an implied run total of 5.1 at a cheap price. That’s exactly what we get today with Randy Arozarena. Tampa Bay gets a matchup against Alex Cobb, who after a decent start to the year, has allowed four or more runs in three of his last four starts. On top of Cobb taking a nosedive, the Orioles bullpen has also taken a turn for the worst, posting a 5.64 ERA over the last 7 days. This should be a really nice spot for the Tampa Bay offense.
Honorable Mentions: David Dahl, OF ($2,600 DK) vs. LAD; DJ Stewart, OF ($2,300 DK, $3,000 FD) vs. TB
Lineup Stack: Angels vs. Rangers (LHP Wes Benjamin)
I wanted to get away from Coors, so let’s head to LA or Anaheim – where do they play again? Anyway, the Angels have been super-hot against lefties of late. Over the last 14 days, they’ve posted a team wOBA of .402 against left-handed pitching. Wes Benjamin has been just a guy and should go between 4-5 innings. Following Benjamin, is a Rangers bullpen that has allowed a near-5.00 ERA over the last 7 days. If you’re rolling out a 5-man stack, you have to start with Mike Trout ($5,900 DK, $4,600 FD) and Anthony Rendon ($5,700 DK, $3,900 FD). Following those two I’m looking to David Fletcher ($5,300 DK, $3,100 FD), Max Stassi ($4,000 DK, $2,400 FD), and Jared Walsh ($4,000 DK, $3,100 FD). I love that Walsh is a lefty because that lefty-lefty matchup should keep his ownership down even though he’s hit lefties really well this year. Good luck today!
Honorable Mentions: Dodgers at Rockies (RHP Ryan Castellani); Rays at Orioles (RHP Alex Cobb); Padres at Mariners (LHP Yusei Kikuchi)
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Featured image by Justin Paradis (@freshmeatcomm on Twitter)