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Top SP: Dinelson Lamet ($9,200 DK, $9,200 FD) at SF
Lamet had an excellent start in his first time out, throwing five innings with eight strikeouts and just one earned run against the Diamondbacks. He should be able to go deeper into this start against the Giants, who were the third-weakest lineup in the league against righties last year with a .295 wOBA. Lamet, who had a 33.6% K-rate last year, combines his high strikeout ceiling with a high floor against a weak opponent – that’s why he has the highest projection of any starting pitcher on FTN’s MLB Optimizer.
Value SP: Robbie Ray ($7,100 DK, $7,900 FD) vs. LAD
Ray is the ideal type of starter to target in GPP contests for a few reasons. First of all, he’s got extreme strikeout upside, as he’s projected for the most strikeouts of any starter on FTN’s MLB Optimizer. Secondly, Ray is a great contrarian play, as many fantasy players may be scared off by his last start and this matchup against the Dodgers. The Dodgers were roughly league average against lefties last year with a .326 wOBA, and while they added Mookie Betts, they’re certainly not unstoppable against southpaws. And finally, Ray’s affordable price point across both sites allows you to spend more elsewhere. I would avoid Ray in cash games, as there’s obviously some risk with him, but Ray has tournament-winning upside.
Honorable Mention: Dylan Bundy, MIN ($8,200 DK, $8,200FD) vs. STL
OF Trent Grisham ($3,800 DK, $2,500 FD) at SF
Grisham is off to a hot start after hitting his second home run last night, and he now has a .971 OPS. Grisham has worked his way up to the two-hole in the Padres order, so he’ll get the advantage of extra plate appearances and more opportunities for runs. San Diego should put up some runs on Kevin Gausman, who had an awful 5.72 ERA last season, so Grisham is a nice way to get in on the action.
OF Jorge Soler, KC ($3,600 DK, $3,700 FD) at DET
Soler is absurdly good against right-handed pitching, as last year he put up a 140 wRC+. For a guy who hit 48 homers last year, it’s surprising to see him so cheap. This is a perfect matchup to take advantage of Soler’s price as he faces Ivan Nova, owner of a 4.98 FIP in 2019.
Value Batter: 3B/OF J.D. Davis ($3,700 DK, $2,400 FD) vs BOS
Davis will bat cleanup tonight against a lefty, which will put him in a great spot for RBI opportunities. He batted .312 with a .913 OPS against left-handers last year and has an easy opponent in Martin Perez, who allowed four runs in five innings in his last start after posting a 5.12 ERA in 2019.
Lineup Stack: Red Sox at Mets (LHP Steven Matz)
The Red Sox have a good range of elite hitters and affordable plays who can be combined together for an effective stack. J.D. Martinez and Rafael Devers are good in any matchup, while Kevin Pillar and Michael Chavis are budget plays as they pull the start against a lefty. Mets starter Steven Matz had a 1.52 HR/9 a year ago along with a 4.60 FIP.
Honorable Mentions: Yankees at Orioles (Means); Mets vs. Red Sox (Perez)
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