The List 8/19 – Ranking The Top 100 Starting Pitchers Every Monday

The List

Rank Change Pitcher Labels
1 T1 - Justin Verlander
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
2 - Gerrit Cole
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
3 - Jacob deGrom
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
4 UR Max Scherzer
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
5 -1 Walker Buehler
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
6 - Hyun-Jin Ryu
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
7 T2 - Luis Castillo
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
8 - Clayton Kershaw
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
9 +1 Shane Bieber
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
10 -1 Zack Greinke
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
11 - Mike Clevinger
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
12 - Charlie Morton
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
13 - Patrick Corbin
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
14 +2 Lance Lynn
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
15 -1 Aaron Nola
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
16 +1 Stephen Strasburg
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
17 +1 Lucas Giolito
Aces Gonna Ace
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
18 +4 Sonny Gray
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
19 -4 Trevor Bauer
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
20 T3 - Jack Flaherty
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
21 -2 Noah Syndergaard
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
22 +4 Domingo German
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
23 +4 Mike Minor
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
24 +6 Yu Darvish
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
25 -4 Caleb Smith
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
26 -3 Matt Boyd
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
27 -3 Madison Bumgarner
Ace Potential
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
28 -3 Jose Berrios
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
29 T4 -1 James Paxton
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
30 -1 Zack Wheeler
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
31 - Kyle Hendricks
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
32 - Chris Paddack
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
Stash Option
33 - Mike Soroka
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
34 +3 German Marquez
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
35 +3 Zac Gallen
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Stash Option
36 +3 Jake Odorizzi
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
37 +3 Dinelson Lamet
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
38 +4 Andrew Heaney
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
39 -3 Brendan McKay
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
40 +1 Kenta Maeda
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
41 +2 Wade Miley
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
42 T5 +20 Jose Quintana
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
43 -8 Cole Hamels
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
44 +12 Ryan Yarbrough
Playing Time Question
Toby
Streaming Option
45 -1 Max Fried
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
46 -1 Eduardo Rodriguez
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
47 +2 Aaron Sanchez
Strikeout Upside
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
48 -2 Zach Plesac
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
49 -1 Mike Foltynewicz
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
50 - Chris Archer
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
51 - Mike Fiers
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
52 - Reynaldo Lopez
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
53 T6 +5 Alex Wood
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
54 +6 Kyle Gibson
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
55 +6 Jon Gray
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
56 +9 Mike Montgomery
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
57 +7 Adrian Houser
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
58 -4 Joey Lucchesi
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Toby
59 -2 Marcus Stroman
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
60 -13 Griffin Canning
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
61 -8 Anthony DeSclafani
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
62 +9 Cal Quantrill
Playing Time Question
Toby
Streaming Option
63 +10 Aaron Civale
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
64 T7 -5 Julio Teheran
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
65 -2 Masahiro Tanaka
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
66 +4 Jake Junis
Strikeout Upside
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
67 +5 Elieser Hernandez
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
68 +7 Jordan Yamamoto
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
69 +5 Steven Matz
Strikeout Upside
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
70 -3 Mitch Keller
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
71 +8 Dallas Keuchel
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
72 +9 Jon Lester
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
73 UR Tony Gonsolin
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Streaming Option
74 UR Logan Webb
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Streaming Option
75 UR Yusei Kikuchi
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
76 UR Michael Pineda
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
77 +9 Joe Musgrove
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
78 -9 Brad Keller
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
79 -11 Chris Bassitt
Strikeout Upside
Streaming Option
80 -4 Jordan Lyles
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
81 +9 Spencer Turnbull
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
82 T8 UR Zach Eflin
Strikeout Upside
Toby
Ratio Focused
83 +9 Joe Ross
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
84 -1 Miles Mikolas
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
85 -1 Jeff Samardzija
Injury Risk
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
86 -20 Dylan Cease
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Stash Option
87 - Merrill Kelly
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
88 - J. A. Happ
Injury Risk
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
89 -11 Gio Gonzalez
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
90 -10 Anibal Sanchez
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
91 T9 -2 Vince Velasquez
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
92 UR Dillon Peters
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
93 - Kolby Allard
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
94 +1 Adam Wainwright
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
95 UR Martin Perez
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
96 -2 Asher Wojciechowski
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
97 -1 Tanner Roark
Toby
Streaming Option
98 UR Ivan Nova
Toby
Streaming Option
99 - Marco Gonzales
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
100 -18 Drew Smyly
Playing Time Question
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option

Labels Legend

Aces Gonna Ace
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low IPS
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
Stash Option

 

Fringe Starters

 

Pitcher Why They Missed The Cut
Yonny Chirinos On the IL with a finger injury – Top 45 SP
Tyler Mahle On the IL with a hamstring injury – Top 70 SP
Robbie Ray On the IL with back injury – Top 40 SP
Carlos Carrasco On the IL with leukaemia – Top 20 SP
David Price On the IL with cyst in his wrist – Top 30 SP
Blake Snell On the IL with elbow injury – Top 10 SP
Corey Kluber On the IL with a forearm injury – Top 10 SP
Zach Davies On the IL with back injury – Top 90 SP
Jameson Taillon On the IL with an elbow injury – Top 25 SP
Tyler Glasnow On the IL with forearm strain – Top 25 SP
Luke Weaver On the IL with a forearm strain – Top 35 SP
Brad Peacock On the IL with a shoulder injury – Top 60 SP
Rich Hill On the IL with flexor strain – Top 40 SP
Pablo Lopez On the IL with back injury – Top 60 SP
Brandon Woodruff On the IL with an oblique injury – Top 30 SP
Danny Salazar On The IL with a groin injury – Fringe Top 100 when pitching
Frankie Montas Suspended 80 games
Matt Strahm Demoted to bullpen
Michael Wacha Demoted to bullpen
Nick Pivetta Demoted to the bullpen
Jesus Luzardo In Triple-A – Top 50 SP
Jose Urquidy Demoted to Triple-A – Top 70 SP
Jimmy Nelson Demoted to bullpen
Dustin May Demoted to bullpen. Top 70 SP.
Kevin Gausman Expected to head to bullpen after acquired by Reds from Braves
Daniel Mengden He’s a Toby at best
Tommy Milone Too risky over the other options
Jake Faria Called up to replace Davies, if he starts and looks solid, could be on List soon
Daniel Poncedeleon I wonder if he can really put it together instead of being a major liability
Trent Thornton The strikeout upside is interesting, but it’s too low of a floor
Luis Severino The recent injury news sets him back to mid-August hopefully. He’ll be Top 15 then.
Jhoulys Chacin Even his recent stretch isn’t worth the floor
Trevor Williams The ratios nor strikeouts are there to chase him
Jason Vargas The Vargas Rule is no more
Alex Young Last one off, his stuff dictates a low floor and low ceiling
Mike Leake The reward is too little for the low floor in 12-teamers
Hector Noesi Curious if his upside will return after a date in Coors

 

Player Notes

 

  • Max Scherzer has returned while Chris Sale is out for the year with an elbow injury, negating any (-1) effects of Scherzer’s return. He’s not #1 right away since we don’t know if there will be any hindrances caused by the injury, but we’re happy to see him again.
  • I thought I would be lowering Matt Boyd a bit more, but it gets real dicey entering the 30s and his recovery over the weekend sure hints at better days ahead.
  • Yu Darvish has gotten his act together with his fastball, helping hold a ridiculous 34% K-BB rate across his last seven starts. Hard to argue against that in the mid-20s.
  • I’m typing this now as Brendan McKay looks lost in the first frame against the Mariners, and I can’t change his rank more. I wouldn’t be surprised if I lower him into the 40s next week, but the talent is still there to be a huge impact down the stretch. He simply has some things to figure out,  but his cutter/changeup/fastball are all legit.
  • Jose Quintana and Ryan Yarbrough get huge bumps as they’ve turned into legit options across the last few weeks. Quintana is tossing high heaters with low breakers effectively, while The Fratty Pirate’s changeup is filthy.
  • Despite his excellent outing against the White Sox, Griffin Canning takes a huge hit as his ROS schedule is the worst of anyone I’ve seen thus far. Next week will be the full-on “Based on ROS sechedules” version of The List and this traditional table will be no more.
  • I can’t seem to quite Mike Montgomery and Adrian Houser as they continued their hot streaks this week and have good matchups in the short term. Pick em up and see what happens.
  • I’m not believing in Dylan Cease’s ascension as much as before, but keep an eye on him in September to see if something clicks. The same goes for Mitch Keller, though I have more faith in Keller to figure out his approach to amplify his excellent stuff.
  • Tony Gonsolin, Logan Webb, and Yusei Kikuchi enter in the mid-70s. Gonsolin is taking over Dustin May’s rotation spot for the time being, Logan Webb was impressive in his start over the weekend but lacks a polished heater, and Kikuchi’s new approach with high heat and low secondary stuff returned instant success.
  • Also joining The List are Zach Eflin, Dillon Peters, Ivan Nova, and Martin PerezEflin earned a new rotation spot and while he was lit up, expect him to be a decent Toby the rest of the way. Peters has a solid changeup and could be a streaming option the rest of the way, Nova has been on a stupid good streak, while Perez’s cutter and changeup have been effective lately with 94/95 mph fastball velocity.

(Photo by Justin Paradis – @FreshmeatComm and Nathan Mills – @NathanMillsPL)

Nick Pollack

Founder of PitcherList.com. Rotographs and Washington Post contributor and has worked with CBS Sports, Grantland, and SB Nation. Former pitching coach and Brandeis alum.

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Comments


Jeremy

Hey Nick — when do you start ranking The List based on ROS schedule. I’m looking for some guys on good schedules to “stream” for the remaining weeks because I have limited moves remaining. At a quick glance it looks like Minnesota guys (Odorizzi and Pineda) and KC guys (Junis and Keller) have some juicy matchups. Any sneaky pickups?

Ryan DC

“Next week will be the full-on “Based on ROS sechedules” version of The List and this traditional table will be no more.”

Jim

Hey Nick, did I miss Blake Snell? Also, Samardzija has 6 quality starts in his last 9 outings. He’s easily been better than most outside of the top 50. He’s gotta be a tier 6 at worst.

rainmaker

I love these rankings but I would like to see a stated goal for them. For example, do these rankings include W’s or QS’s as factors? What size league are these for? I assume its no more than 12 as mediocre innings-eaters get no love as they would in say my 16 team league.

Brewers

How much stock do you put into Statcast data? I always like to look at it myself. Interesting tidbit, out of pitchers with at least 500 PA, Wade Miley is ranked 15th in xwOBA (1 spot ahead of Chris Sale) as statcast sees him as having been unlucky this year based on his quality of contact. Do you believe in this skill of Miley’s or do you see this as luck/noise?

Swampman

Hey Nick – awesome column every week. In a 4×4 league that counts W, S, ERA and WHIP. No K’s. Right Now have Bauer, Castillo, Fried, Gallen, C Smith and Howser as my starters. Have Canning and Heaney on my reserved list, but scared to death of their brutal ROS. Would you let them go and stand pat or activate one or both of them.

Nick Pollack

I’m working on it now! It had to delay it to tomorrow morning as I’m going a bit more in-depth than planned.

It’ll be worth it 🙂

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