The List 7/15 – Ranking The Top 100 Starting Pitchers Every Monday

The List

Rank Change Pitcher Labels
1 T1 - Max Scherzer
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
2 - Justin Verlander
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
3 +1 Gerrit Cole
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
4 -1 Chris Sale
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
5 - Jacob deGrom
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
6 - Blake Snell
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
7 T2 - Hyun-Jin Ryu
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
8 - Walker Buehler
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
9 - Luis Castillo
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
10 - Charlie Morton
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
11 - Trevor Bauer
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
12 - Aaron Nola
Aces Gonna Ace
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
13 - Stephen Strasburg
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
14 - Zack Greinke
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
15 - Clayton Kershaw
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
16 - Patrick Corbin
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
17 - Mike Clevinger
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
18 +5 Shane Bieber
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
19 -1 David Price
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
20 -1 Caleb Smith
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
21 -1 Matt Boyd
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
22 T3 -1 Jose Berrios
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
23 -1 James Paxton
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
24 +2 Brandon Woodruff
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
25 +2 Lance Lynn
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
26 +3 Mike Soroka
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
27 -3 Lucas Giolito
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
28 +4 Domingo German
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
29 +2 Madison Bumgarner
Ace Potential
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
30 +4 Noah Syndergaard
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
31 -6 Mike Minor
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
32 -4 Chris Paddack
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
Stash Option
33 T4 -3 Kenta Maeda
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
34 +2 Kyle Hendricks
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
35 UR Jake Odorizzi
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
36 -1 Andrew Heaney
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
37 +4 Brendan McKay
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
38 +9 Sonny Gray
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
39 -1 Jack Flaherty
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
40 -3 Griffin Canning
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
41 +1 Yonny Chirinos
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
42 -2 Masahiro Tanaka
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
43 +1 Robbie Ray
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
44 +7 Yu Darvish
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
45 +1 Joe Musgrove
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
46 -1 Eduardo Rodriguez
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
47 +5 Ross Stripling
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
48 T5 -9 Kyle Gibson
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
49 +5 Wade Miley
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
50 +7 Jon Gray
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
51 +7 Marcus Stroman
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
52 +3 Joey Lucchesi
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
53 - Zach Eflin
Strikeout Upside
Toby
Ratio Focused
54 -5 Anibal Sanchez
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
55 -7 Max Fried
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
56 -13 German Marquez
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
57 -7 Zac Gallen
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Stash Option
58 +9 Chris Archer
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
59 -3 Dinelson Lamet
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
60 -1 Dylan Cease
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Stash Option
61 T6 +1 Zach Plesac
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
62 +2 Jon Lester
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
63 +2 Miles Mikolas
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
64 +2 Dallas Keuchel
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
65 +4 Jose Quintana
Injury Risk
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
66 UR Tyler Beede
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Streaming Option
67 -7 Nick Pivetta
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
68 T7 +4 Michael Pineda
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
69 +4 J. A. Happ
Injury Risk
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
70 +8 Mike Fiers
Toby
Ratio Focused
71 -1 John Means
Playing Time Question
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
72 +14 Jordan Yamamoto
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
73 +25 Adam Wainwright
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
74 +18 Andrew Cashner
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
75 UR Daniel Poncedeleon
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Streaming Option
76 -15 Tyler Mahle
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
77 UR Spencer Turnbull
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
78 +1 Merrill Kelly
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
79 T8 +4 Anthony DeSclafani
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
80 +5 Tommy Milone
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
81 -7 Jordan Lyles
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
82 -5 Dakota Hudson
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
83 -1 Steven Matz
Strikeout Upside
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
84 - Martin Perez
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
85 +2 Zach Davies
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
86 +2 Julio Teheran
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
87 +3 Chris Bassitt
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Streaming Option
88 +3 CC Sabathia
Injury Risk
Low Ips
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
89 UR Logan Allen
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
90 T9 -15 Sandy Alcantara
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
91 -11 Tanner Roark
Toby
Streaming Option
92 -24 Bryse Wilson
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
93 -12 Trevor Williams
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
94 -1 Trevor Richards
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
95 UR Jake Arrieta
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
96 -2 Adrian Sampson
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
97 UR Marco Gonzales
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
98 -3 Drew Pomeranz
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
99 -3 Vince Velasquez
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
100 -3 Rick Porcello
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused

Labels Legend

Aces Gonna Ace
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low IPS
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
Stash Option

 

Fringe Starters

 

Pitcher Why They Missed The Cut
Jesus Luzardo I’ve moved stashes to Fringe Pitchers. Luzardo would be Top 50 if up now.
Danny Duffy Not the worst option and one of the last off The List
Daniel Norris There isn’t enough upside to chase this
Gio Gonzalez On the IL with “dead arm” – He’s a Toby
Zack Wheeler On the IL with a fatigued shoulder – Top 35 SP
Carlos Carrasco On the IL with leukemia, timetable unknown – Top 20 SP
Corey Kluber On the IL with a forearm injury – Top 10 SP
Jameson Taillon On the IL with an elbow injury – Top 25 SP
Tyler Glasnow On the IL with forearm strain – Top 25 SP
Luke Weaver On the IL with a forearm strain – Top 35 SP
Brad Peacock On the IL with a shoulder injury – Top 60 SP
Rich Hill On the IL with flexor strain – Top 40 SP
Pablo Lopez On the IL with back injury – Top 60 SP
Cole Hamels On the IL with an oblique injury – Top 45 SP
Dylan Bundy On the IL with a knee injury – Top 80 SP
Daniel Mengden One of the last cut – he’s a Toby at best
Frankie Montas Suspended 80 games
Elieser Hernandez Demoted to bullpen…for now.
Matt Strahm Demoted to bullpen…for now.
Michael Wacha Demoted to bullpen
Mike Foltynewicz Demoted to Triple-A – Top 60 SP
Mitch Keller Demoted to Triple-A – Top 60 SP
Jimmy Nelson Demoted to bullpen
Jason Vargas The Vargas Rule is no more. Seriously, the Marlins?
Trent Thornton The strikeout upside is interesting, but it’s too low of a floor
Jake Junis Too volatile to trust despite a tinge of strikeout upside
Luis Severino The recent injury news sets him back to mid-August hopefully. He’ll be Top 15 then.
Alex Wood I’m just going to wait until he’s back to properly rank him. Most likely in the 50s.
Danny Salazar Not sure when he returns, he’d be a Top 60 SP when he starts again
Jhoulys Chacin Even his recent stretch isn’t worth the floor
Ivan Nova Just not enough upside and while he’s a decent streamer, it’s never for a high ceiling.

 

What is happening!

It’s another week and another edition of the Top 100 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball.

Before I dive into the player notes, here’s an outline of how I’m handling The List this season:

  • Previous/Best/Worst columns removed
    • These took a heavy chunk of loading time and ultimately provided very little value. The change arrows themselves are all that’s needed
  • Tiers added
    • As much as I hate making tiers (When do they start and end? How big are the cliffs?), ya’ll have been asking for them and I’m here for all of you. Please understand how hard it is to accurately place them and don’t get too worked up about it.
  • Labels added
    • There’s often confusion as to why a pitcher is a spot or two above or below another. These labels should help understand what each pitcher brings to the table, showing that some pitchers may be better or worse for what you need.
    • Hover over them (or tap on mobile) to see each label’s name next to the pitcher.
    • Ratio Focused = Their value lies in you chasing their ERA/WHIP more than strikeouts and Wins.
    • TobyBoring arm that doesn’t excite you, but you stare at the waiver wire and accept that he just okay enough. You don’t like that he’s around the office, but he gets his work done.
    • Cherry Bomb = Volatile pitchers who are either “super sweet” or “blow up in your face.” Heed warning.
    • Ace Potential = I define an ace as: 3.40 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 24% K rate, 6.0 IPS. It’s why you see some surprising names as having the upside of an ace.
  • Fringe Starters added
    • There are always a handful of starters I badly want to add to The List but I don’t have enough room. I’ll always have this table at the end for a collection of starters – in no order – that I also heavily considered, as well as why they could be relevant
    • This will be where IL Players will land. I’ll mention where they would slot when healthy.

Please let me know how you feel about these changes and I’m looking forward to another fun year assessing the wonderful entity that is the SP Landscape.

On to the notes! Remember, these ranks are for 12-teamers in H2H categories leagues.

 

Player Notes

 

  • Not many big moves here given we haven’t many games to make changes, but it’s time that we raise Gerrit Cole above Chris SaleI saw it today and it felt like it was time.
  • Shane Bieber should have been higher last week, sitting comfortably in the Top 20.
  • I wanted to give more love to Madison Bumgarner (see graphic!), but with Domingo German returning in style and the rest of Tier 3 doing well, I couldn’t do a whole lot.
  • Noah Syndergaard is on the rise with his 91 mph slider over the weekend, while Mike Minor is sure to hit more regression in the second half.
  • It’s been a strong rise for Sonny Graywho has a great feel for his deuce and is locked in as begins the second half. I had to give him a Top 40 spot.
  • You’re probably surprised to see the (-1) for Eduardo Rodriguez after his fantastic outing, but it was more that I needed to raise Yu Darvish and Sonny Gray above him.
  • After today’s ghastly game, German Marquez’s inconsistent 2019 is too much to ignore. He could still turn it on like he did last year, but he needs to take a dip behind his teammate Jon Gray.
  • I’m intrigued by Tyler Beede’s new slider and considering the lack of exciting options on the wire, I’d take a chance to see if it turns into something legit in the final months. Yes, in your 12-teamer.
  • Andrew Cashner and Adam Wainwright rise a bit with their recent hot streaks. Cashner’s changeup has been stupid good and moving to the Sawx will only help.
  • Take a chance on Daniel Poncedeleon if you can as he enters the rotation. I’m not sure his secondary stuff will be good enough for him to stick, but we’ll see.
  • Big falls were handed to Sandy Alcantara (too raw), Tanner Roark (all around blegh), Bryse Wilson (poor in minors, hard gamble to take right now), and Trevor Williams (hasn’t looked anything like his former self since returning from IL)
  • Joining The List week are Jake Odorizzi (off IL!), Logan Allen (back in rotation, could be a streaming option or more), Jake Arrieta (avoids IL stint, he’s hopefully a Toby), and Marco Gonzales (please let his velocity come back…)

(Photo by Justin Paradis – @FreshmeatComm)

Nick Pollack

Founder of PitcherList.com. Rotographs and Washington Post contributor and has worked with CBS Sports, Grantland, and SB Nation. Former pitching coach and Brandeis alum.

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Comments


PitcherList Superfan

Hey Nick,

Loving these new graphics each week, they look dope!

Although it doesn’t feel quite right, dropping Giolito for Woodruff is a shallow 8 teamer that doesn’t do trades is the right move, correct?

Bradley Ross

Why isn’t Chirinos a Toby to you?

I commented last week, idk if there was a response, that it was weird he was still a cherry Bomb. Chirinos keeps pumping out all ratios and QSs without high Ks.

Dan G

No Homer Bailey, even as a fringe starter? I think he’d be on the verge of top-100, especially after the trade to OAK.

Scott

How does stripling go up 5 spots? He pitched 5 innings which was his longest start since taking over for hill. He was pulled after 68 pitches. It seems like the Dodgers wont let him go past 5 or face the batting order for a 3rd time no matter what his pitch count looks like. Wins will be impossible b/c he generally throws more pitches before the 5th inning and allows more base runners than he did last time (3rd time through the order). I also believe LAD may trade for a other pitcher since they prefer stripling as a swing man.

David

Pineda vs Mets
Logan Allen @ Miami
Or
Plesac vs Detroit?

In order of preference for tonight, please. I may even need 2.

Ethan

Heaney is injured but he is still on the list (actually moved UP). Shouldn’t he come off it?

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