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The List 5/22: Ranking The Top 100 Starting Pitchers Every Monday

Every Monday during the season, I will be releasing “The List” where I rank the current value of the Top 100 pitchers in fantasy baseball for the rest of the...

Every Monday during the season, I will be releasing “The List” where I rank the current value of the Top 100 pitchers in fantasy baseball for the rest of the season. Use these rankings to help understand what to expect from pitchers for 2017 and as a tool to gauge trade value in your fantasy leagues. Note: These rankings have been made with H2H 5×5 12-teamers in mind.

Let’s see how the SP landscape has changed:

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Notes

  • Aaron Nola has returned from the DL and possessed both the command and velocity we want to see from him. Get pumped.
  • Johnny Cueto took the most significant drop this week, falling to #26 after previously in the Top 15. He’s making it difficult to believe he can be an elite finesse arm.
  • Another finesse arm dipping fast is Masahiro Tanaka who simply can’t avoid the longball as his walk rate climbs relative to previous years. I expect him to figure it out at some point, but his stock clearly drops plenty.
  • I’m sure to be criticized for still believing in Sean Manaeawhile I have faith he needs a few starts after returning from the DL to refine his feel for his pitches. I’m imagining a Top 25 arm from June 1st moving forward considering his history of low walks and improved whiff rate.
  • It’s hard not to be on the Jose Berrios hype train and he deserved a major bump as the biggest question – his sporadic command – was much improved in his fantastic outing.
  • Despite previous Top 25 status, Dylan Bundy takes a tumble as all the fears surrounding him caught up to him against the Tigers. He’s still a clear rosterable arm, but a sub 3.40 ERA might be tough to achieve.
  • With Mike Clevinger’s excellent start over the weekend, it’s possible it’s more than just a cup of coffee and he sticks in the rotation. I still question if he can keep the walks down, but if he’s out there I would see where this goes.
  • Even with his poor outing over the weekend, Luis Perdomo gets a major boost as his underlying numbers – excellent hard contact mitigation and increased strikeout ability – suggest a sneaky upside play among a sea of mediocre options.
  • Joe Ross is back in the majors tomorrow and deserves an add as a flier. I don’t expect him to climb quickly (he lacks plenty of polish on his main two pitches without a strong third), but we’re running out of fliers and Ross fits the bill.
  • The news of Julio Urias’ demotion paired with his poor command lately has him taking a major dip.
  • Tyler Anderson has showcased some impressive strikeout ability (9.19 K/9) and a solid xFIP of 3.65 to make you consider him in a deep 12 teamer.
  • Other newcomers this week include Alex Cobb, Jesse Hahn, Matt Andrieseand Ariel MirandaI wouldn’t classify any of them as roster options, more as ocassional streaming choices.
  • Leaving The List this week are a good amount of arms: Eddie Butlerwho we really just don’t know what to expect and was the victim of too many arms demanding a spot this week, Jeremy Hellickson who has some of the strangest K/BB numbers you’ll ever see and is relying on an unsustainable BABIP to have success thus far, Zach Davies who is just not worth the risk right now, while Trevor Cahill and Jharel Cotton aren’t worth the stashes as we wait for them to pitch in the majors again.

Nick Pollack

Founder of Pitcher List. Creator of CSW, The List, and SP Roundup. Worked with MSG, FanGraphs, CBS Sports, and Washington Post. Former college pitcher, travel coach, pitching coach, and Brandeis alum. Wants every pitcher to be dope.

  • tiwaniuk says:

    Hey Nick, hate to be that guy, but I have add/drop questions for both of my leagues.

    League #1 current rotation: Sale, Verlander, Fulmer, McCullers, Duffy, Quintana, Tanaka.

    Nola, Severino, Manaea, Samardzija, Rodriguez, and Matz are FA’s. I’ve tried endlessly to trade Quintana (as per your previous advice) and Tanaka, but no one is biting. Therefore, would you drop Quintana/Tanaka for Nola/Severino? I’m hesitant because Quintana just delivered against the Mariners, and you talked on your podcast about having faith that Tanaka to make adjustments and turn it around.

    League #2 current rotation: Verlander, Duffy, Nola, Manaea, Matz, Lackey, Triggs, Karns.

    Shoemaker, Walker, and Clevinger are FA’s. Would you drop Triggs/Karns for Shoemaker/Clevinger? (since Walker is on the DL). Again, I’m hesitant because of your “don’t you dare drop [Triggs]” comment not too long ago, and for the fact that you have Karns in your league even though he got SPOIL’D his last start.

    Thanks in advance my dude, appreciate all that you do!

    • Nick Pollack says:

      Thanks for your patience!

      I would grab Nola/Severino for Tananka/Quintana. No reason to wait when you have two guys producing right now.

      Well, that “don’t you dare” comment was geared moreso that I imagined people would be scared starting him against the Sawx and I expected a better outing there. I think Triggs is better long term than Shoe and Clevinger, but I don’t like his next start against the Nationals and short term, Clev/Shoe may be better. Up to you there.

      I think you’re okay dropping Karns for Shoe for now as I’m starting to believe Karns is going to be affected by this injury in some regard. Really sucks, but so it goes.

  • Dranide says:

    Thoughts on Hoffman’s start? That’s 2 good ones in a row, versus one good and one bad team.

    • Nick Pollack says:

      I’m intrigued, the Phillies are bad, though.

      Unfortunately he won’t always get a bad offense and pitch outside of Coors when he does come up…

      He would #2 in that staff, with Gray as the #1.

  • Big Dog says:

    If i’m reading this correctly, you would trade Jake Arrieta for anyone in the top 20?

    • Nick Pollack says:

      Correct!

      Lester/CarMart/Arrieta are all super close and I wouldn’t have any problems with someone prefer one over the other.

  • Max says:

    You really rather have nola than A Wood? Im debating between the two. Wood has been unreal, but I guess the threat of losing his rotation spot is always on the table?

    • Nick Pollack says:

      We’ve only seen Wood perform well for a short period, Nola has the skillset and repertoire and history of good command.

  • Decatur says:

    Do you have any concerns about Duffy’s rough peripherals and declining velo? Hard for me to see him as a top 20 SP.

    • Nick Pollack says:

      Of course I do, I’ve been preaching those concerns all year.

      Problem is with so many injuries and plenty of arms that have been all kinds of dissapointing, Duffy gets elevated to Top 20 status as he has been healthy and performing better than expected.

      It’s a weird season.

  • Josh Bresser says:

    Aaron Nola Top 22????

  • Josh Bresser says:

    I was offered Nola and Wieters for Realmuto. Good trade?

    • Nick Pollack says:

      I’m leaning take Nola/Wieters, but if you’re all set on starters and your offense is middling, it might be best to hold Realmuto.

      In a vaccum, I take Nola.

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