The List 5/28 – Ranking The Top 100 Starting Pitchers Every Week

The List

Rank Change Pitcher Labels
1 T1 - Max Scherzer
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
2 - Justin Verlander
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
3 - Blake Snell
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
4 - Chris Sale
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
5 - Gerrit Cole
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
6 T2 - Trevor Bauer
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
7 +1 Patrick Corbin
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
8 +1 Luis Castillo
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
9 +1 Clayton Kershaw
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
10 +1 Zack Greinke
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
11 -4 Jacob deGrom
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
12 T3 +4 Walker Buehler
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
13 +4 Stephen Strasburg
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
14 UR James Paxton
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
15 -3 Carlos Carrasco
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Cherry Bomb
16 +3 Hyun-Jin Ryu
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
17 +5 Charlie Morton
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
18 +3 David Price
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
19 +1 Shane Bieber
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
20 -2 Caleb Smith
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
21 +2 Matt Boyd
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
22 +2 Chris Paddack
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
23 T4 -8 Jose Berrios
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Cherry Bomb
24 -11 Aaron Nola
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
25 -11 Noah Syndergaard
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
26 -1 Domingo German
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
27 -1 Zack Wheeler
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
28 -1 Max Fried
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
29 -1 Mike Soroka
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
30 T5 -1 German Marquez
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
31 - Jack Flaherty
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
32 +2 Frankie Montas
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
33 -1 Robbie Ray
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
34 -1 Madison Bumgarner
Ace Potential
Quality Starts
35 - Rich Hill
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
36 +5 Masahiro Tanaka
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
37 +5 Kyle Hendricks
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
38 +14 Lucas Giolito
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
39 +9 Brandon Woodruff
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
40 UR Andrew Heaney
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
41 +19 Mike Minor
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
42 +16 Jake Odorizzi
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
43 +3 Mike Foltynewicz
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
44 T6 -7 Cole Hamels
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
45 +17 Tyler Skaggs
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
46 +4 Griffin Canning
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
47 +8 Matt Strahm
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
48 +22 Sonny Gray
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Cherry Bomb
Ratio Focused
49 -10 Eduardo Rodriguez
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
50 +15 Kyle Gibson
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
51 -7 Martin Perez
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
52 -16 Joe Musgrove
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
53 -8 Spencer Turnbull
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
54 -16 Yu Darvish
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
55 +1 Miles Mikolas
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
56 UR Kenta Maeda
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
57 -3 Jordan Lyles
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
58 T7 -15 Jon Lester
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
59 -12 Jose Quintana
Injury Risk
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
60 -20 Chris Archer
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
61 +10 Joey Lucchesi
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
62 +11 Brad Peacock
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
63 UR Nick Pivetta
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
64 -7 Zach Eflin
Strikeout Upside
Toby
Ratio Focused
65 -16 Jerad Eickhoff
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
66 -15 Chris Bassitt
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Streaming Option
67 UR Zach Plesac
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Stash Option
68 +10 Yonny Chirinos
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
69 -10 J. A. Happ
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
70 -17 Tyler Mahle
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
71 T8 -4 Kevin Gausman
Injury Risk
Quality Starts
Toby
72 +2 Rick Porcello
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
73 +6 Wade Miley
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
74 -5 Marcus Stroman
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Cherry Bomb
Toby
Ratio Focused
75 -11 Corbin Martin
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
76 +4 Jake Arrieta
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
77 +4 Trent Thornton
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Streaming Option
78 +5 Gio Gonzalez
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
79 +5 Steven Matz
Strikeout Upside
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
80 -12 Pablo Lopez
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
81 T9 -20 Yusei Kikuchi
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
82 -16 Marco Gonzales
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
83 -8 Reynaldo Lopez
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Cherry Bomb
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
84 -12 Jon Gray
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
85 -8 Anthony DeSclafani
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
86 - Trevor Richards
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
87 - Julio Teheran
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
88 -12 Zach Davies
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
89 - Lance Lynn
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
90 +2 Felix Pena
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
91 +5 Jeff Samardzija
Injury Risk
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
92 +5 Jose Urena
Quality Starts
Cherry Bomb
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
93 - Jake Junis
Strikeout Upside
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
94 UR Daniel Norris
Streaming Option
95 UR Danny Duffy
Streaming Option
96 T10 UR Alex Reyes
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Stash Option
97 UR Jimmy Nelson
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Stash Option
98 +2 Dylan Cease
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Stash Option
99 UR Zac Gallen
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Stash Option
100 UR Jesus Luzardo
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Stash Option

Labels Legend

Aces Gonna Ace
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low IPS
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
Stash Option

 

Fringe Starters

 

Pitcher Why They Missed The Cut
Merill Kelly The literal last cut. I debated this one heavily and figured prospect stashes were better
Corey Kluber On the IL with a forearm injury – Top 10 arm
Jameson Taillon On the IL with an elbow injury – Top 25 SP
Tyler Glasnow On the IL with forearm strain – “4-6 weeks”
Luke Weaver On the IL with a forearm strain – would be around the low 30s
Trevor Williams He’ll be back around the 50s/60s when back from the IL with a side strain
Clay Buchholz Isn’t cutting it as a Toby
Drew Pomeranz The last one off. K upside is interesting, but low IPS and too low of a ceiling.
Dereck Rodriguez A Toby who hasn’t helped enough to justify his ranking
Nick Margevicius Looks more like a Cup of Schmo than a rosterable arm
Luis Severino The recent injury news sets him back to July 1st, hopefully. He’ll be Top 15 then.
Mike Clevinger His injury has Clev out until June/July. He’ll be Top 20 then.
Nathan Eovaldi Hit the IL with an elbow injury. When starting again, he’ll be 40/50s
Touki Toussaint Touki has been demoted to Triple-A
Michael Pineda On the IL with a sore knee
Alex Wood I’m just going to wait until he’s back to properly rank him. Most likely in the 50s.
Jhoulys Chacin Even his recent stretch isn’t worth the floor
Corbin Burnes Demoted to Triple-A
Justus Sheffield Good stash option, but I want to focus on guys in the majors now this week.
Dallas Keuchel He won’t be starting until May at the earliest and he’s not worth the stash on your roster.
Michael Wacha Moved to the bullpen
Vince Velasquez Moved to the bullpen
Trevor Cahill He may improve as April continues, for now, I’d wait and see.
Ivan Nova Just not enough upside and while he’s a decent streamer, it’s never for a high ceiling.

 

What is happening!

It’s another week and another edition of the Top 100 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball.

Before I dive into the player notes, here’s an outline of how I’m handling The List this season:

  • Previous/Best/Worst columns removed
    • These took a heavy chunk of loading time and ultimately provided very little value. The change arrows themselves are all that’s needed
  • Tiers added
    • As much as I hate making tiers (When do they start and end? How big are the cliffs?), ya’ll have been asking for them and I’m here for all of you. Please understand how hard it is to accurately place them and don’t get too worked up about it.
  • Labels added
    • There’s often confusion as to why a pitcher is a spot or two above or below another. These labels should help understand what each pitcher brings to the table, showing that some pitchers may be better or worse for what you need.
    • Hover over them (or tap on mobile) to see each label’s name next to the pitcher.
    • Ratio Focused = Their value lies in you chasing their ERA/WHIP more than strikeouts and Wins.
    • TobyBoring arm that doesn’t excite you, but you stare at the waiver wire and accept that he just okay enough. You don’t like that he’s around the office, but he gets his work done.
    • Cherry Bomb = Volatile pitchers who are either “super sweet” or “blow up in your face.” Heed warning.
    • Ace Potential = I define an ace as: 3.40 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 24% K rate, 6.0 IPS. It’s why you see some surprising names as having the upside of an ace.
  • Fringe Starters added
    • There are always a handful of starters I badly want to add to The List but I don’t have enough room. I’ll always have this table at the end for a collection of starters – in no order – that I also heavily considered, as well as why they could be relevant
    • This will be where IL Players will land. I’ll mention where they would slot when healthy.

Please let me know how you feel about these changes and I’m looking forward to another fun year assessing the wonderful entity that is the SP Landscape.

On to the notes! Remember, these ranks are for 12-teamers in H2H categories leagues.

 

Player Notes

 

  • A lot of shuffling in the Top 20, with Jacob deGrom taking a hit as his changeup and slider just aren’t working right now. This wasn’t a product of one start, it’s been coming for a bit.
  • I didn’t move Trevor Bauer as I truly believe he’s making the changes to return to the top tier of starters.
  • Now that we’re two months in, I’m lifting the weight of negativity toward Hyun-Jin Ryu’s history. He’s earned the AGA label, let’s just hope he avoids the injury bug.
  • Noah Syndergaard, Jose Berriosand Aaron Nola were all handed significant drops. We’re coming on June and to see Thor looking lost on the hill, Berrios still not have his curveball back, and Nola’s fastball command out of whack has me favoring other steadily excellent arms ahead (even Caleb Smithwho I’m not going to pull down after his first and only misstep of the season).
  • The end of Tier 5 is where it gets fun. I had to bump up Lucas Giolito and his new mechanics, Mike Minor is cruising, Jake Odorizzi is pitching better than ever, and it’s wonderful to see Andrew Heaney return and hit the ground running.
  • I’m loving where Tyler Skaggs, Brandon Woodruff, Kyle Gibson, and Sonny Gray are at the moment, forcing me to elevate them ahead of other Spice Girls that have struggled recently. Specifically, with Gray, I was most likely a bit too negative last week and this is a correction.
  • The biggest hits were handed to Tobys – Jon Lester, Jose Quintana, Yusei Kikuchi, J.A. Happand Marco Gonzales included. My approach is to chase a full staff by summer without middling arms in 12-teamers, and these rankings follow that approach.
  • Jerad Eickhoff and Chris Bassitt also took hits as these upside arms are going through rough patches. Hopefully they each recover, though they deserve the drop in the meantime.
  • There are a handful of strong stashes at the moment, electing me to list them all at the end in favor of questionable streaming options. Alex Reyes is my current favorite as the Cardinals are preparing him for the rotation and could jump in quickly with Michael Wacha heading to the bullpen. Jimmy Nelson should return soon, while Dylan Cease, Zac Gallen, and Jesus Luzardo could all make instant impacts during their calls…which may not be until the end of June. UPDATE: I heard the Mitch Keller news right when I was finishing this list. He would be right in the mix of this around Cease.
  • Zach Plesac, Danny Duffyand Daniel Norris round out the additions this week. Plesac makes his MLB debut tonight and could stick around after, while Duffy and Norris could turn into decent streaming options with their recent runs.

(Photo by Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire)

Nick Pollack

Founder of PitcherList.com. Rotographs and Washington Post contributor and has worked with CBS Sports, Grantland, and SB Nation. Former pitching coach and Brandeis alum.

sdf

Comments


Syryn

I know you spoke briefly on Mitch Keller and liked him. But don’t you think he is back sooner than those 3 other stashes you named? Cease isn’t due till late July, Luzardo till August. And how do you view Kellers stuff? As in how high would he be on the list if he was in the majors ROS

Nick Pollack

You’re completely right. I had The List essentially done when I got the Keller news and moved him to the bottom because of it.

I’ll add a note about it, while I wouldn’t stash him above Reyes, maybe right at Cease. Thanks!

Nick

Thanks for the update and content! Maeda 9th in fangraphs Swinging Strike rate among qualified SPs, pitching in front of a Dodger defense with 4th best defensive efficiency in MLB and a great offense, yet I can’t disagree with the low ranking give the innings limit concerns.

Eric Marcus

First of all, love the site, Nick. The List is just about the only good thing about the start of the work week.

Feel like Peacock deserves a little more love than #62, no? I know he’s not the most established starter and doesn’t have a conventional arsenal, but he has nearly a 20% K-BB% and his Statcast numbers show he’s pretty legit. Am I far off thinking he should be in Tier 6?

Nick Pollack

Not at all! I wrestled with that one myself.

I don’t really love Peacock’s schtick. Nothing up, only two pitches he trusts, and it seems like he’s on the brink of getting kicked out of the rotation if he has two bad outings.

But it could definitely work out well moving forward, so I get the love!

Tom

I was actually going to make the opposite comment. 3 weeks ago he was “Bad Peacock.” Now he’s up to #62 after a series of (mostly) easy matchups? If you don’t think he’s going to work out long term, I’d say keep him in the 70’s.

Jaybird934

I know I know…it’s way early for this…but, I’m wondering if you’ll give us any guidance about young guys with inning restrictions and when they might be shut down. I realize it’s a nearly impossible task with not much info, if any, available publicly about what a team plans to do with guys like Soroka. But if we had a site link with best guesses that could update as new info becomes available and it would help tremendously when evaluating trades and making plans for the playoffs. Either way, thinks for the List!

Nick Pollack

We honestly don’t know about this stuff quite yet.

We do an article around the end of June each year that highlights all of the shutdown possibilities, I’ll let people know when we’re going to release it soon!

Frankie

Ouch, Mahle. He was climbing the ladder so nicely…
Is this a case of you reconsidering your stance on Mahle over the past month, or is this merely a case of a negative schedule in the short term.
Ty!

Reginald

Looking down the road a bit and trying to assess my team’s future…

In a keep forever league, no penalty, would you prefer Thor or Paddack? If I fall out of it for this season, I may try to pull the trigger, as the guy in first place obviously won’t have Paddack for the playoffs, and I may just be able to swing a trade like this…

Chief

I have some legitimate concern about Bauer right now, obviously the ceiling is way too good to pass up but the control looks awful.

When he gets ahead in the count he’s missing by a lot with all of his secondary stuff which is forcing him to go back to the high heat in 3 ball counts and is hardly getting any swings and misses because of how bad the curveball is missing.

It seems like it could all come back any minute now, but for the most part he looks confused.

My other big issue is the pitch counts, my god are they high. He currently leads the majors in pitches thrown by a good deal and he’s one start shallow of the following names on the list.

TLDR; Bauer can’t put away hitters (control) is throwing way too many pitches (111.3/g), can’t trade him because of his track record and poor current value.

Thoughts?

E

I’ve been offered Bauer for Ryu, I know you said you think he’s gonna turn it around but I’m hesitant. Any extra help?

BG

I would keep Bauer. Upside is so high. With Ryu you have a Dodger Pitcher IL stint coming up as well as possible inning issues come playoff time

DS

What the heck are the Dodgers doing to poor Ross Stripling? Should he be dropped in 15 teamers?

Clark griswold

How do we feel about a points league that’s W/L. I would be trading for pitchers on better teams.

My Paxton/Caleb Smith(Or Paddack Or Soroka)

For

Berrios/Woodruff

8 team 3 keepers points league.

I have a concern with my inning limit pitchers as well.
Pitchers:
Paxton
Bieber
Glasnow
Soroka
Boyd
Paddack
Caleb Smith
Lucchessi

Micah

Any idea where Keuchel would land on your rankings if he signed within the next two weeks or so? QS league FWIW.

Kevin Siefering

I know Yarbrough is often a follower, but how would you position him on this list? Should I drop him or Sabathia to pick up Plesac or Keller?

Leave a Comment


Your email address will not be published.