Every day of the 2022 baseball season, I’ll be looking at today and tomorrow’s slate of scheduled starting pitchers and ranking their matchups for your fantasy baseball streams.
There’s a lot that goes into this and you can hang out with me on Twitch.tv/pitcherlist to talk about the specific ranks as I make them every weekday morning from 10am – 12pm ET. If you have questions about these ranks, please ask during the morning Twitch AMA. Those are my office hours as I generally don’t answer comments on the site.
There are four tiers to these rankings with 12-teamers in mind (Updated 9/10):
Auto-Start – Just do it. Don’t overthink this, start the man. This includes “if I have them rostered, I’m starting them” pitchers.
Probably Start – I’m likely starting these arms, though I recognize there is more risk than we’d like there to be. Either it’s a tough matchup for a good-not-elite pitcher or a weak lineup for a volatile arm. These pitchers have a 50% or greater chance of performing well in my view.
Questionable Start – Think of this tier as “I don’t want to start these pitchers in a vacuum, but you could do worse.” Streamers found in this tier are not pitchers I’m targeting and are only if you are in dire need of one. To play it safe with streaming, just start the Probably Start streamers.
Do Not Start – The reward is not worth the risk. Don’t do it. Seriously, these pitchers have a very slim chance of success or sometimes none at all.
Obviously, there will be circumstances where pitchers should move between teams for your situation specifically and these new tiers should act as a little more help than the straight table from last year.
Please keep in mind that streaming is far from a perfect play. In fact, if they work out over half the time, I’d consider it a success. These matchup rankings & streamer picks are going to be wildly different than the actual results throughout the year, so please, have sympathy before the scathing comments and tweets. I’m only trying to help!
Make sure to read the notes if you’re wondering why I’m favoring certain pitchers over others – I won’t get to everyone and hopefully I answer what questions you will have.
There is a second table for tomorrow’s starting pitcher matchups as well, helping everyone get a jump on their nightly pickups. Please note that these matchups are subject to change, though, and there will be times when I have the incorrect pitcher going. I thank you for your future understanding.
Finally, there are my streaming picks of the day, and please keep in mind that I am forced to pick a streamer every day. Those highlighted in Green are in the second tier and I’d roll with them everywhere. Those in Yellow in the third tier and should be okay if you’re searching for something on a given day, but I don’t recommend streaming unless you’re in need. Finally, those are Red are those I really don’t want to start (they are labeled as “Do Not Start”, after all) but have no other choice. Don’t stream these guys until you are truly desperate. A streaming pick is defined as “rostered in 20% or fewer leagues,” which really emphasizes the point that I’d be happy if over 50% of these worked. I could do the whole sub 30/40% rostered, but there’s no fun in that. You can use the rankings to realize who would be those picks, instead.
(Opener) – Outlines that a pitcher is being opened for that day & the pitcher listed will follow the opener.
As I do my rankings, I thought it would be helpful to showcase a table of how we’re ranking offenses:
I’m sure it’ll change through the year + there are differences to be made about teams vs. LHP or RHP, but it’s a great general table that y’all should keep in mind.
Alright, let’s get to it.
2022 Streamer Record: 93-68
Today’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
- A whole lot of fun starters go on Friday, though there are some tough matchups along the way for Yu Darvish, Aaron Nola, Gerrit Cole, and Jeffrey Springs. I think you start all of them.
- The only reason Carlos Rodón is fourth and not first is due to his cracked nail that pushed this start back a few days. I elected to weigh in the risk he’s either still affected by it or will be limited to some degree.
- In the second tier, Brady Singer is a Cherry Bomb that you’re likely going to start, while Marco Gonzales on the other end is a Toby. You start Tobys against the Royals.
- It has been a grind to watch Lucas Giolito this season but it’s the Tigers. Surely this will work, right?
- In the third tier, Braxton Garrett leads the way as our streaming pick of the day against Natty Lite. The slider wasn’t as elite as we’ve seen in his first start back, but it could come out in a huge way against the weak Nationals lineup.
- There are a few other streamers to consider. Javier Assad didn’t have his cutter over the weekend, but it could return against the Pirates, leading to production from a very low rostered arm.
- Also consider Jake Odorizzi against the Phillies. He nearly pitched five strong last time out against the Phils and I won’t rule out success here as his command is in line with what we expect.
- And then there’s Cody Morris, who has a fastball/cutter/change approach that would allow him to plod through a pedestrian Rangers crew. If you’re searching for starts this weekend, one of these should be highlighted before relying on Sunday.
- I’m still uneasy about where I’ve placed José Quintana and José Urquidy. Quintana has the unenviable task of facing the Dodgers and may be putting managers at too much risk entering the weekend.
- As for José Urquidy, he’s been rough in his last two starts against weak teams, it’s no lock that he’ll make the right adjustment against the Orioles.
- Look, I know we Don’t Trust The Feddes, but the one exception for Erick Fedde over the years has been the Marlins – Fedde demolishes them. It’s something to consider if you’re in dire need of starts.
- In the bottom tier, I really don’t want to rely on Eduardo Rodriguez. His stuff is far from its peak and the ceiling is too low to consider.
- With Ryne Nelson going on the IL, it’s unclear what the Diamondbacks are doing Friday evening. It’ll be someone out of the rotation currently, which makes for an easy bench.
- Updates: It’s Eric Lauer instead of Jason Alexander on Friday as he returns from the IL. I wouldn’t be starting him – Still ILL n all.
- The Nationals are going with Josiah Gray and he should be heavily considered in leagues where you’re chasing strikeouts.
- The Padres are starting Sean Manaea instead of Yu Darvish and you want to avoid that at all costs.
- Mitch White is going instead of Alek Manoah and I wouldn’t consider it. He often gets limited to under five frames and the fastball is too susceptible to damage.
Tomorrow’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
- Not much to say about the top tier (shocking), though make sure you’re starting Yu Darvish instead Coors. I know it’s Coors, but Darvish isn’t affected by opponent like others are. Start the dang man.
- Joe Ryan is also set up to face the Angels and while he isn’t on the same AGA level as nearly everyone else here, he should be started everywhere against the Angels.
- The second tier is a lowly one, occupied only by Merrill Kelly against the Giants. You could even argue he’s an auto-start given how likely you are to start him here. I think it says more about the third tier of options more than anything.
- Speaking of which, it’s a large mess of names in the third tier. Domingo Germán and Reid Detmers lead the way and could arguably be second tier names…but they face tough teams and I personally would prefer not to chance this if I could. The ceilings aren’t as high as we’d like for their risks.
- The streaming pick of the day is Wade Miley against the Pirates, even after his massive disappointment against the Marlins earlier this week. Is it a lock? Nope. Is it best to brush off a two-inning sample that included an error and start a Toby against a bad offense among all these meh options? Yep!
- After Miley, there’s a series of arms who could be ranked higher if it weren’t for some tough opponents – Jordan Montgomery, Drew Rasmussen, and kinda Cal Quantrill…? I’d hold back on all of them – Quantrill gets a nod for QS leagues.
- Then you have some young arms who could make it work against weak lineups. Davis Martin gets the Tigers and could have his slider cooking, while Johan Oviedo’s upper 90s velocity + a volatile breaker could excel against the Cubs.
- I’d avoid Bailey Falter and Nick Pivetta in most cases, even if Falter has been surprisingly great over the last month. Atlanta is tough. As for Pivetta, he’s destined to allow a historic HR to Judge, so let’s avoid that.
- Don’t overlook Erick Fedde against the Marlins if you need a desperate dart throw – he has a history of succeeding against them despite all his struggles otherwise.
- And hey, why not. Maybe Glenn Otto has his slider and curve against the Guardians. I’ve seen crazier things.
- I don’t think Jakob Junis is doing enough with his arsenal at the moment to start him against a surprisingly decent Arizona offense.
- Graham Ashcraft is returning from the IL in a clear Still ILL scenario as he was a questionable arm even when stretched out and healthy.
Featured Image by Drew Wheeler (@drewisokay on Twitter)