(Photo by Kevin Abele/Icon Sportswire)
I’ve been talking about the struggle of ranking Jon Gray and it showed itself today as he went 5.0 IP, 7 ER, 10 Hits, 1 BBs, 6 Ks hosting the Padres. The man pitches in Coors but has good enough stuff that he would easily sit in the Top 40 if it weren’t for where he parks his car, but that doesn’t matter since Colorado is where he cooks his eggs. Nick, these aren’t sayings. YOU’RE NOT A SAYING. What do we do with Gray now? If he can’t handle the Padres at home, are we supposed to nix all future home starts for the time being? His next three starts are heading to Washington, then hosting both the Cubs and Padres. Do we hate him for all of them? I legitimately don’t have an answer and that’s a major problem. My gut says get rid of him for whatever you can as this headache doesn’t stop tomorrow. Maybe hold to see how he does against the Nats and let him loose. Don’t drop him, though. He’s bound to recover in some way, then you should be able to package him or get some value out yourself. But yeah, being a Gray owner is far from a good time.
Let’s see how every other SP did Monday:
Zack Godley – 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 4 Hits, 0 BBs, 9 Ks. Tonight’s Gallows Pole didn’t go to Kluber or Scherzer, it went to the holy one himself with 20 whiffs on the night. The best part here is that 15 of them came on 47 curveballs – this is after earning just 4 on 34 thrown last time out. It was my biggest worry after the previous start and Godley killed it + zero walks. YES PLEASE. Y’all better keep the faith.
Jake Junis – 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 1 Hits, 2 BBs, 3 Ks. So Junis still hasn’t allowed a run as he carried a no-hitter into the seventh frame. You might think I’m so on board after this one. Spoiler alert: Kinda. His four-seamer had good command, though I’m surprised he favored it more than double over his two-seamer, which was sporting the same excellent ride we saw against the Tigers. His slider definitely looked sharper, but sometimes too sharp, leading to multiple hit batsmen. His curveball is still taking a backseat and I wonder if that will ever become a proper staple in the repertoire. It makes me think Junis is more of a 50-60 guy than hinting at Top 40 upside, but we’ll see. Pitching is a fluid cauldron of a season. Streaming Record: 5-4. BACK ON TOP.
Corey Kluber – 8.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 Hits, 1 BBs, 13 Ks. Aces gonna ace. If you didn’t see it, I GIF’d up all 13 of his strikeouts. You should watch it.
Lance Lynn – 5.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 Hits, 4 BBs, 9 Ks. This is incredibly impressive as Lynn earned a 15% whiff rate across 102 pitches. Yes, pretty much all with his fastball, and sure, it came with four walks that led to a 1.40 WHIP, but can’t we be happy about it for a second? It’s not every day you’re going to get 0 ER and 9 Ks from Lynn. Actually, this will probably be the only day.
Max Scherzer – 9.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 Hits, 0 BBs, 10 Ks. Aces gonna ace. Like whoa. I’ve been happy to see pitchers go the distance so far this year, and Scherzer was 3 pitches off from a proper Maddux despite 10 strikeouts to his name. That’s dominance.
Justin Verlander – 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 4 Hits, 1 BBs, 9 Ks. Aces gonna ace. I’m glad Verlander actually picked up where he left off for once.
J. A. Happ – 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 5 Hits, 3 BBs, 9 Ks. You should know that this is the second straight nine-strikeout game for Happ. You should also know that he earned 18 whiffs with 15 coming via his four-seamer. That is a ton and he deserves more love on The List than I give him. Just please give me more than 150 innings…
Garrett Richards – 4.1 IP, 1 ER, 4 Hits, 5 BBs, 6 Ks. I watched this one a bit and Richards’ four-seamer coming in around 96-97mph with cut action paired with a 90-92mph slider is just filthy. The problem here was he couldn’t locate his curveball well and his command overall wasn’t as pristine as we’ve seen it. Still, the Rangers had so much trouble getting the bat effectively on the ball – it’s kinda Richards’ thing – and it worked being effectively wild. I’m still a major fan and he will have some unreal starts ahead.
Noah Syndergaard – 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 5 Hits, 2 BBs, 5 Ks. Aces gonna ace. Can you be a little more like Kluber or Scherzer, though? I know you’re not in the same tier, but at least give me one K per inning, you know?
Dylan Bundy – 7.0 IP, 2 ER, 4 Hits, 2 BBs, 10 Ks. Soooo Bundy is still killing it. He’s holding a 1.35 ERA with 25 Ks in 20 frames and just 5 walks to his name. Fastball velocity consistent around 92, slider still killing it, helping him earn 18 whiffs overall for the day. The only question is durability and if he can keep this command. I sure hope so and I’m starting to feel my ranking of Bundy was a bit too low at 43. More like 35 right now ahead of Corbin/Clev/Hill, etc. Dude is on point.
Derek Holland – 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 2 Hits, 1 BBs, 9 Ks. Holland. Buddy. Pal. You’re not supposed to do this. You’re definitely not supposed to do this. Let’s be real, 9 Ks on 7 whiffs? That’s not your jam. That’s nobody’s jam. I hope you enjoyed your Birthday Party as I’m sure the hangover will be terrible.
Francisco Liriano – 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 3 Hits, 3 BBs, 4 Ks. Oh right, Liriano still is a thing. I wouldn’t consider him save for the AL-Only or super deep “why did I ever sign up for this” league that somehow has two catchers and you realize you’re in the bad place.
Julio Teheran – 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 5 Hits, 4 BBs, 7 Ks. Even though it was against the Nats, Teheran was on the road so clearly he’s going to have a decent start. I really hate how true this has been considering I legit detest arguments rooted in Home/Road splits, but Teheran is the one weird expectation that I kinda need to accept but still just think the pin will drop soon enough. Just you wait…
Chris Archer – 5.2 IP, 3 ER, 6 Hits, 3 BBs, 8 Ks. You own Archer for the strikeouts hoping not to get burned on the ratios. You got burned on the ratios…again. Will it end? …Probably? I actually think this is a decent buy low considering there must be owners that are sick and tired of his schtuff. While I’m not telling Archer equates to a Top 15 player, he’s better than his season thus far – duh – and that creates the window.
Jhoulys Chacin – 4.2 IP, 3 ER, 5 Hits, 3 BBs, 1 Ks. Chacin will do well when Jhoulyst expect it.
Doug Fister – 5.0 IP, 3 ER, 6 Hits, 0 BBs, 5 Ks. Ehhhh this is pretty mediocre and that’s the story of a man named Doug. A mediocre man with a green vest.
Cody Reed – 3.0 IP, 3 ER, 4 Hits, 1 BBs, 4 Ks. Yep, that’s the Reed I remember. He even allowed a Scott Kingery HR on one of his signature sliders that was well off the plate and still turned out terribly. I wonder if Reed is the opposite of Kobe Bryant. Like instead of good shooters saying “Kobe!” as they shoot, do hitters yell “Cody!” when they crush a longball off him? I definitely would.
Jose Urena – 5.0 IP, 3 ER, 5 Hits, 1 BBs, 4 Ks. Even if I know it’s not how you pronounce his name can I still make the joke? Yes? Wow what a great audience. If you start Jose, Urena boatland of trouble. Thank you, thank you.
Marco Gonzales – 2.1 IP, 4 ER, 8 Hits, 1 BBs, 4 Ks. Yeah, I think we can give up on this Marco G thang here. The fella threw 43 pitches in the first, after all. Yikes.
Miguel Gonzalez – 4.1 IP, 4 ER, 8 Hits, 2 BBs, 0 Ks. Miguel…No.
Miles Mikolas – 6.1 IP, 4 ER, 8 Hits, 0 BBs, 5 Ks. I watched this entire game from Mikolas and I like his shtick. The line makes it look like he got clobbered a bit, but it was really just a couple of legit hits and others that made it painful at times to watch. I don’t see Top 25 upside here, but I legit think Mikolas will be hanging around #40-50 for a lot of the season. He gassed it up to 98mph to fan Thames, while featuring a pair of breaking balls he trusts in and out of the zone. Don’t let him go.
Clayton Richard – 5.0 IP, 4 ER, 5 Hits, 3 BBs, 3 Ks. It’s the wrong Clayton! He did hit an absolute bomb off Gray as well, and it was glorious. Seriously.
Ben Lively – 5.2 IP, 5 ER, 9 Hits, 2 BBs, 7 Ks. His name is Raggedy Ann and this start does absolutely nothing to stop me calling him that.
Homer Bailey vs. Philadelphia Phillies – I stared at this one for a long time and I don’t like any of them. I know the Phils just scored 20 runs, but I feel like Homer Bale can pull it off.
Nick Pivetta vs. Cincinnati Reds – He looked stellar last time out with fantastic breaking pitches and it’s possible it continues against a better offense.
Day After Tomorrow’s Streamer
Chris Stratton vs. San Diego Padres – It’s a much better matchup than the previous two games, it’s possible he pulls it off.
Game of the Day
Chris Sale vs. Luis Severino – This is going to be so much fun to watch. Let the rivalry BEGIN. …Again.
LOVING the content this year and the upgrades you’ve made to the site. Regularly visited the site last year and now this is my go-to site for fantasy news. Keep up the great work!
Thanks a lot J! Hope to see you around this year.
BS strike zone for Archer … he was incredulous but so polite he could have only arched an eyebrow were his brows not so heavy … he could totally have cruised with a different ump
Glad to see you showing more love to Happ. Even before the jump in K’s, the Toby label was something of an insult. He’ll always give you something — either innings or K’s, and will hardly ever get shelled. I’m not sure what metric could be used to express this consistency — VPR?
There’s VPR and kVPR.
VPR = consistency with ER
kVPR = consistency with Ks and WHIP
Hopefully we’ll have that up in the near future so we can all mess around with it.
Wow, those are gonna be awesome tools!
Nick, thanks so much for this. As both a Jon Gray and Mikolas owner, this article was gold for me. I have 3 pitchers currently on the DL, Jimmy Nelson, Sharky and Gohara. What are your thoughts on possible impact Gohara could have and is he worth keeping over Gray or Mikolas? I realize thats it a tough call at this point, but i will need to drop somebody and my pitchers are as follows:
Also, would Minor replace any of the above? Thanks Nick!
You must have a lot of facial hair because this is the ultimate STASH team!
It depends on your needs from your staff. Do you need help right now or can you wait to continue stashing?
I would consider Minor over Gray.
LOL! I’m a sucker for the STASH, what can i say.. I won both games last week, so I don’t think i necessarily need help now, but I’m looking for some stabilization. Personal experience tells me after the top 3 pitchers, stabilization really doesn’t exist.
From what you’ve seen in Gohara, could he be a Castillo (last year) type?
I don’t think Gohara has a pitch like Castillo’s changeup (though his slider is good!, nor his command enough to be that guy.
Still look forward to his arrival!
Is there a legend for all the acronyms? I must have missed a couple days when you defined them.
Ah, yes! PitcherList.com/Glossary.
I try to make all of them link when I bring them up as there are too many to keep track of at this point.
Nick – would you drop Reynaldo Lopez to stash Jeff Samardizja? He’s really the only guy I can drop at the moment. Ideally I can get one more start from him to see how he does.
Also, you the man for the Godley push – he got on my radar last year when you were high on him and I ended up drafting him this year. Impressive start yesterday
Should have added – current staff is
Verlander, Price, Castillo, Weaver, Godley, Ohtai, Anderson, Manaea, Lopez
Honestly, I think you just hold that staff or trade someone like Weaver + a bat for an upgrade, then stash Loose Lips.
And my pleasure! It’s still early in the season though.
Do you like Junis or Chase Anderson more?
Chase Anderson for now.
I’m looking forward to Godley earning an AGA in the near future!
I considered it, but I just need him to be like this one or two times more
Who would you stream tomorrow-
Wheeler @ Mia
Pivetta vs Cin
Thank you-enjoy your site
Pivetta. I would have picked Wheeler here otherwise :)
I don’t trust Wheeler’s stuff and Pivetta was on point last time out.
What’s your overall confidence level that Faria will bounce back? Dropping Gibson for him is still a good move, right?
I’d rather go after Faria. Gibson’s next two starts or so aren’t worth it.
I watched Thor yesterday and I am worried. Allowing 2 R to the fish is like 6 to a real MLB team… He started off looking like Thor, but really struggled in the 5th and 6th. He was throwing more stuff in the low 90s than I have ever seen and it wasn’t effective either. I thought he looked like he was really laboring and I wonder if last year’s injury isn’t rearing its head. The velocity looked labored and the command was way off after a certain point. I hope he is healthy but I have some doubts.
Offered Robbie Ray for Ohtani (pitcher) in a deep QS league. Is this selling high enough?
I think that works – you might be able to squeeze a little more, to be honest.