I get the feeling that the fantasy world doesn’t know what to make of Mike Foltynewicz as he returned from the minors in early August. I understand, here was an arm that was a consensus Top 35 SP entering the season who fell out of relevancy in the blink of an eye. Well, after last night’s 7.0 IP, 1 ER, 3 Hits, 0 BBs, 7 Ks outing against the Phils, Folty has five straight starts of 2 ER or fewer and his second of 7.0 IP and 7 Ks. Is he back to his 2018 self that sparked a breakout season?
Kinda? The biggest element missing earlier in the season was his phenomenal slider and against the Phils, it was gorgeous. 9/22 CSW with 18 strikes is excellent but he also added 12/19 strikes with curveballs and sat roughly 94 mph on fastballs. That’s solid Folty. He elevated heaters effectively and if he were getting a good schedule the rest of the way, we’d be all over him. But that’s the wrinkle in this – the Nationals are next. I’m on the fence there slightly leaning start, while the Giants and Mets are obvious green lights. It’s up to you if you need to take that Saturday risk, but a start like this is exactly what you want to see before his toughest matchup.
Let’s see how every other SP did Monday:
Zack Greinke – 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 Hits, 0 BBs, 5 Ks. Aces gonna ace. See Greinke? This isn’t so hard. No more of those not-so-great outings, okay? Okay.
James Paxton – 6.2 IP, 0 ER, 4 Hits, 3 BBs, 7 Ks. It’s been a lovely few weeks for Paxton as he gets hot at the right time, though I don’t think this start was quite as pristine as the others. His cutter was okay and not a strong option, plenty of fastballs found the middle of the zone over the edges and he earned just 4/33 whiffs on his curveball. Still, this was the Red Sox in his final tough start of the season and you best be hanging under a glass moon with JP for the rest of the year.
Shane Bieber – 7.0 IP, 1 ER, 5 Hits, 0 BBs, 8 Ks. Aces gonna ace as Bieber is going to have some stupid fun tweets about him in the off-season. I’m anticipating myself being slightly lower on him than the rest but it’s hard not to imagine owners happy grabbing him at the 3/4 turn.
Jacob deGrom – 7.0 IP, 1 ER, 3 Hits, 1 BBs, 11 Ks. Aces gonna ace as he pulled in another Gallows Pole. To me, he deserves the Cy Young over Scherzer, as not missing five starts is a significant portion of the season and their numbers are incredibly similar. It reminds me a bit of Scherzer winning over Kershaw in years’ past due to Clayton’s injuries when it didn’t feel completely justified.
Kyle Hendricks – 5.2 IP, 1 ER, 7 Hits, 1 BBs, 5 Ks. He served you a Philly and a wonky WHIP, but this is just fine Hendricks. No more scares, just turn up the dial and pile up the miles you start Kyle…
Jordan Lyles – 4.1 IP, 1 ER, 4 Hits, 3 BBs, 3 Ks. …Lyles! I can’t be the only one frustrated that Counsell pulled Jordan in the fifth frame when he was still under 80 pitches and doing decently well. He deserved at least the chance to get out of the jam and go the full five or even six. But here we are, annoyed that he didn’t do more in Miami and crossing our fingers he excels against the Cardinals. Not my favorite Saturday play, FWIW.
Eduardo Rodriguez – 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 5 Hits, 1 BBs, 9 Ks. Look at the roll Eduardo is on, first taking down the Twins and now performing exceptionally well against the Yankees. 39/117 CSW works for me as he went high in the zone a ton with not just heaters but cutters as well. Changeups stayed away mostly and weren’t the main force here – those heaters at 94 mph did the dirty work. I could see it sticking for the Phils and Rays next, I could also see it falling apart in front of your face. I’d go with it if you own Edu and I’m here for you to deal with the stress.
Madison Bumgarner – 7.0 IP, 2 ER, 6 Hits, 2 BBs, 5 Ks. Aces gonna ace. We’ve gone over Bumgarner’s outlook for 2020 a bit already, I am curious what you all think. Is he a Top 20 pick? How does he compare to someone like Giolito? German? Nola? I really can’t wait to dive into all of that. But not now, CHAMPIONSHIPS MUST BE WON.
Robert Dugger – 3.0 IP, 2 ER, 4 Hits, 4 BBs, 3 Ks. Dugger got the Brewers and threw almost 80 pitches for nine outs, earning an early hook. It wasn’t a great matchup in the first place and if you can look past this disaster, there could be some value to be had over the weekend against the Giants. I’m not chasing it myself, but you can do worse for a weekend stream.
Merrill Kelly – 6.0 IP, 3 ER, 7 Hits, 2 BBs, 5 Ks. It’s a VPQS, but we’ll take that. Streaming Record: 94-59. Reds, Padres, and Cardinals close out the year and with Kelly still sitting comfortably above 93 mph (93.6 here!), I think I’m game. Good cutters here, too.
Patrick Sandoval – 3.1 IP, 3 ER, 5 Hits, 2 BBs, 4 Ks. Yeah, the Irish Panda has a sketchy road ahead with broken trees, overcast, and eyes that you know shouldn’t be there. Have you ever actually seen eyes inside a tree before?! Consider him a Young Gun for 2020 and consider the add for dynasty formats. Standard 12-teamers need not apply.
Aaron Nola – 6.0 IP, 4 ER, 6 Hits, 4 BBs, 7 Ks. Aces gonna slow down AT THE WORST TIME. Fine, the Braves are a strong offense n all, but Nola, we need ya. Yes, I’m still starting him against the Red Sox this weekend, I don’t think he’s in free-fall mode all of a sudden.
Trevor Williams – 5.2 IP, 4 ER, 8 Hits, 3 BBs, 6 Ks. Blegh. I wanted more from Trevor in Oracle Park – shocker – and now with the Cubs next, it’s the end of the line for T-Ells. We’ve had a wild ride together, haven’t we. From my terribly-titled article to actually embracing your recent success, it’s time for us to truly part ways. I doubt we’ll have to sit down for a deep conversation again.
Cal Quantrill – 4.1 IP, 6 ER, 10 Hits, 2 BBs, 5 Ks. The Padres as a whole have a rough schedule, with So-So Cal getting the Cubs here followed by Coors, then Arizona back-to-back. I’m out for all of it and for next season I’m not considering him unless the early matchups look beneficial. I don’t think there’s enough in his secondary stuff to propel him up the ranks.
Mike Fiers – 1.0 IP, 9 ER, 9 Hits, 0 BBs, 1 Ks. I know the Astros are hot and Fiers isn’t the same guy he was during the dog days of summer but DUDE. It was a bit of a risky play against Houston to start your week, but I imagine a good amount of people still went with this and now they feel lost already. Don’t, you can still earn at least two categories if you just throw every streamer you can out there to secure Wins/QS and Ks. DON’T GIVE UP. With Fiers, I think you honestly hold, believe it or not. The Rangers and Mariners should be plenty easier.
For those unaware, I’m forced to make my streamer picks under the condition of sub-20% owned in Fantasy Pros’ consolidated ownership rates.
Mitch Keller vs. San Francisco Giants – He was pushed back to Tuesday, and I’d love to roll the dice on his upside.
Reynaldo Lopez vs. Kansas City Royals – An easy choice after his feel for his slider last time out, even without the velocity. And hey, maybe the velocity comes back?
Day After Tomorrow’s Streamer
Tyler Mahle vs. Seattle Mariners – Don’t forget, this is an arm that hovers a 25% strikeout rate.
Game of the Day
Trevor Bauer vs. Justus Sheffield – We have the coin flip of Bauer against the young southpaw who has yet to show consistency. This could be 2-1 or 9-8 fast. Oh and I guess Johnny Cueto is back. Honestly, I might be more excited watching Keller on the other side.
(Photo by Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire)