FantasyDraft DFS Plays for September 19

Wednesday night delivers a 10-game DFS slate on FantasyDraft. Rather than touching Luis Severino or David Price in a marquee Yankees-Red Sox showdown, let’s play the other ace from an AL title hopeful.

Pitcher List is excited to be partnering with FantasyDraft, featuring advice articles every morning through the entirety of the 2018 season. Signup and play for free at FantasyDraft.

Top SP: Carlos Carrasco ($21,000) vs. Chicago White Sox

Walker Buehler at home versus the Rockies is also appealing, but I’ll take the cheaper Carlos Carrasco. Cleveland’s ace has contributed to their 25.4 % strikeout rate against righties by compiling 20 punchouts in two starts. He wields a 2.45 ERA and 32.0 K% after the All-Star break, so there’s immense upside to unearth in cash contests and tournaments.

Honorable Mention: Walker Buehler ($22,100) vs. COL

Value SP: Chris Stratton ($15,800) at San Diego Padres

This isn’t as cheap as I’d like, but it’s hard to argue with a matchup at San Diego. An MLB-high 25.8 % strikeout rate and NL-low .289 wOBA make them easy prey for Chris Stratton, who has registered a 2.10 ERA in his last five starts following Friday’s complete-game shutout against Colorado. Although the overall numbers (4.66 ERA, 10.1 K-BB%, 40.1 % hard-hit rate) still aren’t pretty, the confluence of matchup and hot hand establish the San Francisco righty as the evening’s top mid-tier starter.

Honorable Mention: Chris Archer ($15,700) vs. KC

IF Eugenio Suarez ($9,200) at Milwaukee Brewers (LHP Gio Gonzalez)

Eugenio Suarez has fallen to earth with a .335 wOBA and 30.5 % strikeout rate after the All-Star break. Yet he flaunts a pristine .329/.437/.621 slash line against southpaws. If he’s getting dinged for his recent splits, it’s only fair to penalize Gio Gonzalez for his 5.80 ERA and 7.3 K-BB % in 10 second-half starts. He has relinquished a .342 wOBA to righties, so this is an elite matchup to exploit while saving some money by not paying over $10,000 for another stud (Mike Trout, Jose Ramirez, Francisco Lindor).

Honorable Mentions: Nelson Cruz ($9,100) at HOU (Dallas Keuchel); Manny Machado ($8,900) vs. COL (Tyler Anderson)

IF Jed Lowrie ($7,300) vs. Los Angeles Angels (RHP Felix Pena)

Jed Lowrie is one of several slumping stars available around this price point. In addition to him hitting .188 (9-for-50) with no homers in September, the opposing Felix Pena has tossed a 1.35 ERA this month. Let’s not get carried away by two weeks. Lowrie still boasts a .365 wOBA against righties, and lefties are hitting .280/.349/.430 against Pena. Oakland’s second baseman already reversed a July swoon in August, so don’t count out a strong finish with playoff ramifications at stake.

Honorable Mentions: Brian Dozier ($7,400) vs. COL (Anderson); Jean Segura ($7,200) at HOU (Keuchel); Ketel Marte ($7,200) vs. CHC (Cole Hamels)

Value: IF Luke Voit ($6,400) vs. Boston Red Sox (LHP David Price)

Price is on a roll, so this is a risky selection. But cheap pickings are slim, and Luke Voit at least didn’t make me vomit in my mouth like Hunter Pence. The slugger is sporting a hearty .292/.376/.551 slash line since joining the Yankees. Hey, at least there’s a chance he goes yard. Gary Sanchez ($7,700), Miguel Andujar ($7,200) and Gleyber Torres ($7,400) could also form a cheap, against-the-grain stack for those who think there’s something to Price’s career 4.75 ERA at the new Yankee Stadium.

Honorable Mentions: Miguel Andujar ($7,200) vs. BOS (Price); Steven Souza ($6,700) vs. CHC (Hamels)

Lineup Stack: Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles (RHP Jimmy Yacabonis)

The Orioles are starting Jimmy Yacabonis, a 26-year-old rookie with a 7.22 ERA and eight homers allowed in 129 batters faced. Since the Blue Jays are a losing team playing out the final days before they can go home, there’s plenty of value to wring out of a no-name lineup:

  • IF Kendrys Morales ($8,200): There’s no need to spring for Justin Smoak ($9,200) or Randal Grichuk ($8,800), but Morales has a more reasonable price because he hasn’t touched them all since August’s eight homer tear. He’s a .278/.372/.508 hitter against righties who caught fire last month with the help of Baltimore’s abysmal pitching.
  • OF Dwight Smith Jr ($7,600): Rather play a hot hand? Smith has gone 13-for-45 with five walks, four doubles, and two homers against righties. He’s also not an everyday starter, so check Toronto’s lineup card.
  • OF Billy McKinney ($7,500): McKinney has cooled down considerably from an unsustainable arrival, but he’s still leading off against righties.
  • IF Rowdy Tellez ($7,300): Tellez has gone 13-for-34 with seven doubles and a homer since his Sept. 5 promotion. This isn’t a long-term endorsement, but merely a raking rookie getting a vulnerable opponent at the perfect time.

Honorable Mentions: Mariners at Astros (Keuchel); Dodgers vs. Rockies (Anderson)

Signup and play for free at FantasyDraft.

Andrew Gould

Andrew is a tortured Mets fan who also writes for Bleacher Report and FantasyPros. He placed second in FantasyPros' MLB accuracy ratings in 2016.

sdf

Leave a Comment


Your email address will not be published.