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DFS Plays of the Day – 4/19/2023

Your DFS plays for Wed., Apr. 12th on OwnersBox, DraftKings, & FanDuel.

Sign-up for OwnersBox here and get two free entries + up to $500 of your first deposit matched.

If you’re unfamiliar with OwnersBox, they offer a unique roster format that includes one pitcher, four IF, three OF, and one Super Flex (OF, IF, and P).

 

Slate Details

OwnersBox – Main slate (10 games) – starts at 1:09 p.m. EDT

DK/FD – Main slate (10 games) – starts 1:10 p.m. EDT

 

Weather Impact

The only question mark is in PIT@COL, where some possible showers mid-game and a modest 10-15 MPH wind blowing in could dampen the offenses a bit. Everywhere else looks good though.

 

Pitching (Main Slate)

Happy Mason Miller day! The uber-exciting prospect makes his highly anticipated debut for Oakland against the Cubs and UNFORTUNATELY, none of the DFS sites have him in the player pool so we can’t include him in our lineups. Devastating.
The rest of the main slate this afternoon is very underwhelming in the pitching department so we have to mine the matchups to find our advantages. While I think I would rather roster his opponent on the mound, Justin Steele does have a very good matchup against the Athletics, who have scored just one run over the first two games of this series. Steele picked up right where he left off in 2022 and as long as he keeps firing that 37.8 CSW% slider in there, he should be able to keep Oakland off balance. If he was able to hold the Dodgers to 2 ER in 7 innings with 8 strikeouts in his last start, holding down Oakland should be no problem.
We have been waiting for 2021 Trevor Rogers to show up for 2 years now and we saw signs of it in his last start against Arizona. He did a great job of keeping his changeup down and received a very nice 39.1 CSW% on it while effectively playing it off fastballs up. He gets the San Francisco Giants at home on Wednesday, a team that has struggled mightily against LHP to start this season. The Giants have a league-worst 54 wRC+ against lefties with a robust 30.3 K% to go with it. If Rogers is going to return to his rookie form, this is a start where he should be able to succeed.
I have never been a big believer in Martín Pérez but he has been proving me wrong big time for over a year now. Still can’t totally get behind him for year-long purposes but with the lack of high-end pitchers on the slate today, I am in on Perez against Kansas City. The Royals are just as bad as the Giants in the wRC+ department against LHP with an even worse 31.9 K%. This is shaping up to be a rough year for the Royals and I’m all in on Martín Pérez and the Rangers pulling off the sweep.
You know we need at least one Hail Mary play on the slate and today we are going back to the well with Johan Oviedo. Yes, I’m fully aware that he is pitching in Coors and that is definitely scary. But the young righty has been absolutely electric in his last two starts against the White Sox and Cardinals, totaling 15 Ks and just 1 ER over 13.2 innings. If Rich Hill and Vince Velasquez can hold the Rockies offense in check in Denver then I think Oviedo can put up a good stat line for his price. This is not a particularly potent Colorado offense and I think the Coors effect may be diluted a little bit with the threat of rain and a solid wind blowing in. The threat of Coors will probably keep his ownership low so go ahead and take a chance on Oviedo.
Pitcher Pricing 4-19-23

Hitting (Main Slate)

A number of quality-hitting matchups litter this slate but none better than Arizona and St. Louis in Busch Stadium, where the two squads have combined for 24 runs over the first two games of this series. I think we can all agree that it’s time for Madison Bumgarner to sail off into the sunset and make way for Brandon Pfaadt to make his debut, but at least we can hammer the Cardinals bats today and make some money off him. Reigning NL MVP Paul Goldschmidt just continues to rake and the right-handed combo of Nolan Arenado and Willson Contreras around him will be difficult to handle. I expect Tyler O’Neill and Jordan Walker to make their way into the lineup and provide quality power options while Tommy Edman is an incredible 7 for 10 against lefties on the early season.

Jake Woodford doesn’t have the pedigree or ability of Bumgarner but he did pitch well against the Pirates last time out. I am not putting much stock in that and now he faces a sneaky Arizona lineup that roughed up Jordan Montgomery on Tuesday. Corbin Carroll has somehow been even better than advertised and is a fantasy superstar while the perpetually underrated Josh Rojas is cruising with a .352/.390/.463 line. Ketel Marte is looking to return to his All-Star form and is a dangerous hitter atop the Diamondbacks lineup and I am a fan of Jake McCarthy’s power/speed combo.

The Texas Rangers have won 7 of their last 10 games despite missing Corey Seager from their lineup and a big reason for that has been the play of Marcus Semien. The 32-year old 2nd baseman already has 4 HRs and 16 RBIs, while last year he had just 1 HR and 17 RBIs by the end of May! The Rangers face Brady Singer on Wednesday and he has really had a tough go of it lately, allowing 13 ER over his last 11 innings, including 5 HRs. I am especially interested in Semien and the still underpriced Josh Jung in DFS, but I also wouldn’t blame you for taking a look at Texas’s 2-3-4 hitters in Travis Jankowski, Nathaniel Lowe, and Adolis García, who also hit his 4th HR of the season on Tuesday.

Other bats worth mentioning:

  • If you know me, then you know how much I like to pick on Marco Gonzales in DFS. I just think he is the most mediocre of pitchers and when he pitches poorly he does it in epic fashion. Facing a fairly hot Brewers lineup, I think there could be home runs galore so I am looking at the likes of Willy Adames, William Contreras, Brian Anderson, and Luke Voit to put a hurting on Gonzales.
  • Andrew McCutchen must think it is 2013 again because he is playing like an MVP for the Pirates. So far on the young season he has career highs in BB% (16.4%) and average exit velocity (91.1 MPH), is slashing .302/.418/.528, and even has 3 steals on the young season. Going against lefty Austin Gomber in Coors, I think he should be able to continue his success on Wednesday. Connor Joe has also been swinging a good bat for Pittsburgh and has been smashing the ball in this revenge series in Colorado.

Hitter Pricing 4-19-23

Kyle Stanzel

New Jersey-born and North Carolina-bound, Kyle is as die-hard a Pittsburgh Pirates fan as there is, attending the last ever game at Three Rivers Stadium and the first ever game at PNC Park. Follow him on Twitter @style_kanzel

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