Happy Monday! We got a small one for the main slate today with only seven games starting at 7:05 EST. The weather looks to be cooperating nicely, and there shouldn’t be anyone affected by it. Also, five of the seven games are being played in domes which could harness some scoring. In summation, we have a small slate, no aces, and lots of indoor games. Sheesh, it’s going to be an enjoyable DFS day.
Implied Run Totals
The Implied Run Totals (IRT) really point out the Yankees, Giants, and Brewers as today’s places to advantage. The chalk on today might be uber chalky because we have fewer teams and only a few higher IRT. According to Vegas, there is no IRT for NYM@MIA or LAA@TEX, but the Mets and Angels are the favorites.
Starting Pitchers
The first thing we notice, there are no aces in the slate today. And, when you glance at the salaries, you’ll see they are highly inflated for the lower-level talents. The tricky part for today will be minimizing your risk at SP. I tried to keep it to a small group of potentials, but not all these SPs should be used in any lineup.
For instance, if you’re looking to play a GPP, I would suggest using all Dane Dunning, Andrew Heaney, and Josiah Gray instead of Tony Disco and Megill. The thought process behind this is why pay a smidge more for an SP that really isn’t all that much better. Sure, they are a little safer, but neither should explode at a Gerrit Cole. Instead, stick with Anthony DeSclafani and Tylor Megill as your cash gameplays. With all the suspect pitching on the slate, value bats will be plenty.
Hitter Stacks
There is so much suspect pitching on the slate; I recommend sticking to two stacks that should smash and filling in with one-offs in good spots. If we are already going to get a little different in SPs anyway, a chalkier stack can pair nicely with them.
- The Yankees were ferocious at the trade deadline and added Anthony Rizzo and Joey Gallo. The duo is added to an already star-studded lineup full of HR power, making it easy to see why they hold the highest IRT of the slate. They draw a weaker matchup against Jorge López, who continues to allow too many base runners and gives up the occasional HR. Core stack players: Anthony Rizzo, Aaron Judge, Joey Gallo, and Giancarlo Stanton.
- First, Bryse Wilson has never been a solid SP but more of a prospect in waiting. Now, he finds a new home with the Pirates and will take the mound regularly. However, much like López, he tends to lose command of his pitches and allows too many walks. Additionally, the Brewers added to their team and have a bit more thump than just Christian Yelich. Core stack players: Willy Adames, Omar Narváez, Eduardo Escobar, and Rowdy Tellez.
Value Hitters
Here are some of the best value hitters not mentioned above. Also, the “value hitters” or “punt plays” are meant to be players under $3300 on DK and under $3100 on FD—just a step below my cash players.
Good luck!
Design by J.R. Caines (@JRCainesDesign on Twitter and @caines_design on Instagram)