Ranking Every Two-Start Pitcher For Week 3 (4/16 – 4/22)

(Photo by Cliff Welch/Icon Sportswire)

Every Friday I look at every projected two-start pitcher for the week ahead and detail my thoughts about rolling with them on your roster. There are four tiers: Definitely, Probably, Questionable, Bench. Definitely Start features starters that are no doubters for the week ahead followed by Probably Start with pitchers that look like good plays but may create a hesitation or two. Players labeled as Questionable are for deeper leagues or have one-of-two outings that should be skipped. Pitchers under Bench should be avoided despite their two starts in the week ahead.

Note: This article was written Friday morning, estimating probable starters through the week. These are subject to change.

Definitely Start

Patrick Corbin (SFG, SDP)

David Price (@LAA, @OAK)

Aaron Nola (@ATL, PIT)

Masahiro Tanaka (MIA, TOR)

Lance McCullers (@SEA, @CHW)

Sonny Gray (MIA, TOR)

Jacob Degrom (WSH, @ATL)

Dallas Keuchel (@SEA, @CHW)

James Paxton (HOU, @TEX)

  • There are more question marks than ideal in the top tier, but you should still be starting all of these arms
  • Even with Masahiro Tanaka and Sonny Gray putting up clunkers against the Sawx, you should feel confident in rebounds against the Marlins that would carry them into a start against Toronto.
  • Dallas Keuchel and Lance McCullers have looked shaky lately, though they are still plenty talented and should be able to take advantage of a start against the ChiSox while staving off a Mariners offense.
  • Despite facing the tough Astros offense, feel confident in rolling with James Paxton after he was his elite self against the Twins last time out
  • David Price‘s early exit in Wednesday night’s game had many scared, though he’s on track for his Tuesday start that will give him two games against a pair of west coast teams. It seems scary, but it’s still worth it to slot him in for the week.

Probably Start

Rick Porcello (@LAA, @OAK)

Nick Pivetta (@ATL, PIT)

Luis Castillo (@MIL, @STL)

Danny Duffy (@TOR, @DET)

  • Nick Pivetta and Rick Porcello have looked excellent in their first three outings, making them good choices facing somewhat average teams. I’d see if either on your wire in a 12-teamer.
  • Yes, Luis Castillo has not been dominating like expected out of the gate. Still, the Brewers and Cardinals are not enough for me to turn down two starts from a pitcher that can rack up 7+ strikeouts easily.
  • Danny Duffy has the benefit of facing two below average offenses and while he’s not showcasing the Top 25 upside we’ve seen in years past, it’s a pretty safe play for the week.

Questionable

Johnny Cueto  (@ARI, @LAA)

Kevin Gausman (@DET, CLE)

Aaron Sanchez (KCR, @NYY)

Marco Estrada (KCR, @NYY)

Trevor Williams (COL, @PHI)

Mike Foltynewicz (PHI, NYM)

Brandon McCarthy (PHI, NYM)

Ian Kennedy (@TOR, @DET)

Jon Lester (STL, @COL)

German Marquez (@PIT, CHC)

  • Hosting Rockies in Pittsburgh and heading to Philly makes Trevor Williams a risky option but someone to consider for next week when chasing starts.
  • I’m not a fan of German Marquez either, but these matchups could render an overall beneficial week if you’re scraping the bottom of the barrel.
  • It’s odd seeing Jon Lester out of the first two tiers, but given his slow start ot the season and a date in Coors, you have to tread lightly.
  • Johnny Cueto looks to be rejoining the Giants on Tuesday, setting him up for a two-start week. I can’t say I’m a fan of heading to Chase Field even with the humidor, and while this isn’t a straightforward DLH situation, there is a still a little extra risk added.
  • I’m worried about teammates Aaron Sanchez and Marco Estrada for their start in the Bronx, but facing the Royals should return rewards for invested owners.
  • Kevin Gausman is teetering between tiers 2 and 3 as I’m all for starting him against the Tigers, but I have plenty of hesitation against the Indians. Plan accordingly.

Bench

Jordan Zimmermann (BAL, KCR)

Steven Brault (COL, @PHI)

Daniel Mengden (CHW, BOS)

Hyun-Jin Ryu (@SDP, WSH)

Brent Suter (CIN, MIA)

Andrew Cashner (@BOS, CLE)

Adam Wainwright (@CHC, CIN)

Martin Perez (@TBR, SEA)

Kyle Gibson (CLE, @TBR)

Caleb Smith (@NYY, @MIL)

Luis Perdomo (LAD, @ARI)

A.J. Cole (@NYM, @LAD)

James Shields (@OAK, HOU)

  • Pretty easy choices for the most part, with only a few getting demoted based on the actual teams they’re facing
  • Andrew Cashner is one of them as I’ve liked his command out of the gate, but two starts against the Sawx and a heating up Indians team doesn’t make this a smart play.
  • I was tempted to put Hyun-Jin Ryu in the third tier, but it’s no guarantee that he takes advantage of the Padres, while a start against the Nationals is far from favorable.
  • It’s not out of the question that James Shields doesn’t fall on his face against the A’s as he’s fresh off a solid outing against the Rays. Still, that Astros lineup is as scary as anything and deters me from having any faith in Shields.
Nick Pollack

Founder of PitcherList.com. Rotographs and Washington Post contributor and has worked with CBS Sports, Grantland, and SB Nation. Former pitching coach and Brandeis alum.

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Comments


EV

Hey Nick, what about Fulmer? Y got him as 2 Start BAL, KC at Home. Would you start him over Berrios single start in H2H? Thanks Dude!

O’Hooligan McGee

David Price scares me a little. Not starting him, but owning him long term. I know he’s not an easy trade at the moment and you’ll get $0.50 on the dollar, but would you start entertaining the idea of trading him for a discount? Bad example, but for someone like Michael Fulmer, or is that too much of a discount (especially considering the team he is on and his most recent clunker)?

Nick Pollack

I think people are overreacting to one bad pitch to Sanchez and a slight mistake to Stanton that got punished.

Don’t sell Price.

mark farrell

I picked up Skaggs last week for a 2-start, but he didn’t get both, so it looks like he will be lined up for Boston & SF this coming week. Should I put a bid in for Folty and Pivetta with Skaggs being my drop? My team ERA & WHIP are killing me.

Eric

Reynaldo Lopez seems to be in line for a two-start week now due to another postponement today. He gets Oakland and Houston- pretty scary.
Would you list him as questionable-tier?

Tim

Any thoughts on Yonny Chirinos? Small sample size, but he’s been dominant so far. He’s in line for two starts against TEX & MIN (Both at Home).

Nick Pollack

Is he actually? I see Snell slated for today and Sunday, and with the Rays off on Thursday I’m not certain they’ll go 4 man and start Chirinos Tuesday/Sunday.

But let’s say he is. I think he’s a good option in the 3rd tier.

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