Welcome to Hit It Or Quit It, a weekly column where Ben Palmer takes a look at five of the most added players in fantasy baseball and tell you whether or not what they’re doing is likely to continue. In other words, should you buy (hit it) or sell (quit it)? Note: my rulings are generally for 10-team standard leagues.
Let’s dive in:
Tyler Naquin - .322/.383/.628, 12 HR, 32 R, 29 RBI, 3 SB
Holy crap has Tyler Naquin been destroying the ball. I mean really killing the ball, all you have to do is look at his ISO of .306 to see that, that’s some Barry Bonds-like power. And that’s exactly why I’m approaching Naquin with a lot of caution.
People have been picking up Naquin in droves, and it makes sense, considering he’s been hitting .329 with seven home runs over the last month (three of those home runs came in the last week). But there are a lot of red flags in his stats, most notably that .306 ISO and his .423 BABIP.
I don’t care who you are, the likelihood that you’re ending the year with an ISO above .300 is small at best. Last year, only two players did, and they were Bryce Harper (.319) and Chris Davis (.300), and Naquin is neither of those players. He’s also got a K-rate 29.6%, a HR/FB of 30.8%, and along with that incredibly elevated BABIP, it’s easy to see he’s been the benefit of some major luck.