The List 7/22 – Ranking The Top 100 Starting Pitchers Every Monday

The List

Rank Change Pitcher Labels
1 T1 - Max Scherzer
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
2 - Justin Verlander
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
3 - Gerrit Cole
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
4 - Chris Sale
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
5 - Jacob deGrom
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
6 - Blake Snell
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
7 T2 - Hyun-Jin Ryu
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
8 - Walker Buehler
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
9 - Luis Castillo
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
10 +1 Trevor Bauer
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
11 +4 Clayton Kershaw
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
12 +2 Zack Greinke
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
13 -3 Charlie Morton
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
14 -1 Stephen Strasburg
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
15 -3 Aaron Nola
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
16 - Patrick Corbin
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
17 - Mike Clevinger
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
18 - Shane Bieber
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
19 T3 - David Price
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
20 - Caleb Smith
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
21 - Matt Boyd
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
22 - Jose Berrios
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
23 +4 Lucas Giolito
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
24 +4 Domingo German
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
25 +4 Madison Bumgarner
Ace Potential
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
26 -1 Lance Lynn
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
27 +3 Noah Syndergaard
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
28 +4 Chris Paddack
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
Stash Option
29 -6 James Paxton
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
30 +1 Mike Minor
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
31 +3 Kyle Hendricks
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
32 +6 Sonny Gray
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
33 T4 - Kenta Maeda
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
34 -8 Mike Soroka
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
35 +9 Yu Darvish
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
36 +3 Jack Flaherty
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
37 +6 Robbie Ray
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
38 +3 Yonny Chirinos
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
39 -4 Jake Odorizzi
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
40 - Griffin Canning
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
41 +4 Joe Musgrove
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
42 - Masahiro Tanaka
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
43 +3 Eduardo Rodriguez
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
44 +7 Marcus Stroman
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
45 +2 Ross Stripling
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
46 T5 +2 Kyle Gibson
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
47 +2 Wade Miley
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
48 +8 German Marquez
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
49 +9 Chris Archer
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
50 +28 Merrill Kelly
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
51 +8 Dinelson Lamet
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
52 +9 Zach Plesac
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
53 -3 Jon Gray
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
54 +3 Zac Gallen
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Stash Option
55 +5 Dylan Cease
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Stash Option
56 T6 UR Reynaldo Lopez
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
57 UR Asher Wojciechowski
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
58 +21 Anthony DeSclafani
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
59 UR Kevin Gausman
Injury Risk
Quality Starts
Toby
60 UR Jose Urquidy
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
61 +7 Michael Pineda
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
62 -10 Joey Lucchesi
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
63 - Miles Mikolas
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
64 +2 Tyler Beede
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Streaming Option
65 +16 Jordan Lyles
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
66 T7 -12 Anibal Sanchez
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
67 -3 Dallas Keuchel
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
68 -6 Jon Lester
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
69 +1 Mike Fiers
Toby
Ratio Focused
70 +1 John Means
Playing Time Question
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
71 -2 J. A. Happ
Injury Risk
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
72 -7 Jose Quintana
Injury Risk
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
73 -20 Zach Eflin
Strikeout Upside
Toby
Ratio Focused
74 T8 UR Ryan Yarbrough
Playing Time Question
Toby
Streaming Option
75 UR Cal Quantrill
Playing Time Question
Toby
Streaming Option
76 UR Alec Mills
Playing Time Question
Toby
Streaming Option
77 UR Jake Junis
Strikeout Upside
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
78 -5 Adam Wainwright
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
79 -5 Andrew Cashner
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
80 +8 CC Sabathia
Injury Risk
Low Ips
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
81 UR Dario Agrazal
Playing Time Question
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
82 - Dakota Hudson
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
83 -11 Jordan Yamamoto
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
84 UR Jeff Samardzija
Injury Risk
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
85 T9 - Zach Davies
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
86 UR Dylan Bundy
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
87 -4 Steven Matz
Strikeout Upside
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
88 -2 Julio Teheran
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
89 -2 Chris Bassitt
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Streaming Option
90 +6 Adrian Sampson
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
91 -16 Daniel Poncedeleon
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Streaming Option
92 -12 Tommy Milone
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
93 -2 Tanner Roark
Toby
Streaming Option
94 +4 Drew Pomeranz
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
95 UR Danny Duffy
Streaming Option
96 -12 Martin Perez
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
97 -3 Trevor Richards
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
98 -5 Trevor Williams
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
99 -4 Jake Arrieta
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
100 UR Gio Gonzalez
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option

Labels Legend

Aces Gonna Ace
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low IPS
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
Stash Option

 

Fringe Starters

 

Pitcher Why They Missed The Cut
Jesus Luzardo I’ve moved stashes to Fringe Pitchers. Luzardo would be Top 50 if up now.
Daniel Norris There isn’t enough upside to chase this
Brendan McKay Optioned to the Minors – Top 40 SP
Nick Pivetta Demoted to the bullpen
Max Fried On the IL with a blister – Top 50 SP
Andrew Heaney On the IL with a shoulder injury – Top 40 SP
Tyler Mahle On the IL with hamstring injury – Top 70 SP
Spencer Turnbull On the IL with back injury – Top 70 SP
Zack Wheeler On the IL with a fatigued shoulder – Top 35 SP
Carlos Carrasco On the IL with leukemia – Top 20 SP
Corey Kluber On the IL with a forearm injury – Top 10 SP
Jameson Taillon On the IL with an elbow injury – Top 25 SP
Tyler Glasnow On the IL with forearm strain – Top 25 SP
Luke Weaver On the IL with a forearm strain – Top 35 SP
Brad Peacock On the IL with a shoulder injury – Top 60 SP
Rich Hill On the IL with flexor strain – Top 40 SP
Pablo Lopez On the IL with back injury – Top 60 SP
Cole Hamels On the IL with an oblique injury – Top 45 SP
Brandon Woodruff On the IL with an oblique injury – Top 30 SP
Daniel Mengden One of the last cut – he’s a Toby at best
Frankie Montas Suspended 80 games
Elieser Hernandez Demoted to bullpen…for now.
Matt Strahm Demoted to bullpen…for now.
Michael Wacha Demoted to bullpen
Mike Foltynewicz Demoted to Triple-A – Top 60 SP
Mitch Keller Demoted to Triple-A – Top 60 SP
Jimmy Nelson Demoted to bullpen
Jason Vargas The Vargas Rule is no more. Seriously, the Marlins?
Trent Thornton The strikeout upside is interesting, but it’s too low of a floor
Marco Gonzales Just not enough upside to chase his poor floor
Luis Severino The recent injury news sets him back to mid-August hopefully. He’ll be Top 15 then.
Alex Wood I’m just going to wait until he’s back to properly rank him. Most likely in the 50s.
Danny Salazar Not sure when he returns, he’d be a Top 60 SP when he starts again
Jhoulys Chacin Even his recent stretch isn’t worth the floor
Ivan Nova Just not enough upside and while he’s a decent streamer, it’s never for a high ceiling.

 

What is happening!

It’s another week and another edition of the Top 100 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball.

Before I dive into the player notes, here’s an outline of how I’m handling The List this season:

  • Previous/Best/Worst columns removed
    • These took a heavy chunk of loading time and ultimately provided very little value. The change arrows themselves are all that’s needed
  • Tiers added
    • As much as I hate making tiers (When do they start and end? How big are the cliffs?), ya’ll have been asking for them and I’m here for all of you. Please understand how hard it is to accurately place them and don’t get too worked up about it.
  • Labels added
    • There’s often confusion as to why a pitcher is a spot or two above or below another. These labels should help understand what each pitcher brings to the table, showing that some pitchers may be better or worse for what you need.
    • Hover over them (or tap on mobile) to see each label’s name next to the pitcher.
    • Ratio Focused = Their value lies in you chasing their ERA/WHIP more than strikeouts and Wins.
    • TobyBoring arm that doesn’t excite you, but you stare at the waiver wire and accept that he just okay enough. You don’t like that he’s around the office, but he gets his work done.
    • Cherry Bomb = Volatile pitchers who are either “super sweet” or “blow up in your face.” Heed warning.
    • Ace Potential = I define an ace as: 3.40 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 24% K rate, 6.0 IPS. It’s why you see some surprising names as having the upside of an ace.
  • Fringe Starters added
    • There are always a handful of starters I badly want to add to The List but I don’t have enough room. I’ll always have this table at the end for a collection of starters – in no order – that I also heavily considered, as well as why they could be relevant
    • This will be where IL Players will land. I’ll mention where they would slot when healthy.

Please let me know how you feel about these changes and I’m looking forward to another fun year assessing the wonderful entity that is the SP Landscape.

On to the notes! Remember, these ranks are for 12-teamers in H2H categories leagues.

 

Player Notes

 

  • A little movement in the Top 25 but not a whole lot. Clayton Kershaw deserves more love for going at least six frames in every start this year while Aaron Nola is showcasing a slight dip in velocity, Charlie Morton scared me that something is wrong last time, and Stephen Strasburg is not as consistent. At the end of the range, Madison Bumgarner and Domingo German continue to excel as James Paxton’s lack of rhythm brings him down.
  • Mike Soroka took a dip as he hasn’t been as sharp + the question of his health and if he’ll get regular starts down the stretch.
  • Take note, with Brandon Woodruff, Andrew Heaneyand Max Fried hitting the IL, plenty of innate (+3) were handed out.
  • It’s time to give some love to Merrill Kelly for his sub 3.00 ERA across his last nine starts, aided by a better pitch mix with more cutters and curveballs.
  • The exciting stuff comes in Tier 6 – the land of upside where all arms could be one start away from getting dropped. Reynaldo Lopez is the one to target now as he gets the Marlins next with fastball two ticks up from its season average. I love Asher Wojciechowski’s whiffability, Anthony DeSclafani’s surprising consistency lately, Kevin Gausman’s return to the Braves rotation, and Jose Urquidy flashing elite stuff with his fastball/changeup combination.
  • And don’t forget Jordan Lyles finally honing his curveball once again over the weekend. He could help right away.
  • Other new additions can be found in Tier Eight. Ryan Yarbrough cracks the list based on his fantastic changeup, Cal Quantrill’s good fastball command sets up decent secondary pitches, Alec Mills could be a good streamer, Dario Agrazal is getting stupid lucky but may produce in the short term, Jeff Samardzija returns after a recent surge in production, and Jakob Junis’ slider has been unreal as of late.
  • There were many major hits in the latter quarter, per usual. Jordan Yamamoto (aka Fair Jordan) may be losing his magic with a short leash in the Miami rotation, Martin Perez just isn’t cooking, Daniel Poncedeleon doesn’t look to be a dependable add, Tommy Milone’s strikeout upside is dwindling, and Zach Eflin’s “heavy” body isn’t doing him any favors.

(Photo by Justin Paradis – @FreshmeatComm)

Nick Pollack

Founder of PitcherList.com. Rotographs and Washington Post contributor and has worked with CBS Sports, Grantland, and SB Nation. Former pitching coach and Brandeis alum.

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Comments


Locke

Why is Ryan Yarbrough’s nickname the fratty pirate? Love the name I just don’t get the reference

madden_curser

I look forward to your rankings column. I think you have one of the better / best ranking orders and the fringe list and side notes make it even better. Awesome Nick. I really appreciate the great content here.

Ezra

Mike Fiers is 15 for 20 in Quality Starts, including 11 in a row. I think he deserves the QS tag. Great work as always.

Bryan

Nola has both the Aces gonna Ace tag and the Ace Potential tag. Didn’t realize you could have both.

justin

Where is Mike Leake? He has the 36th most fantasy points for any pitcher, and some of those above him are out for the season. Dude at least deserves to be listed over some of these new guys with 6 ERAs. He threw a near perfect game last time out.

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