The List 7/2 – Ranking The Top 100 Starting Pitchers Every Week

The List

Rank Change Pitcher Labels
1 T1 - Max Scherzer
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
2 - Justin Verlander
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
3 - Chris Sale
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
4 - Gerrit Cole
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
5 - Jacob deGrom
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
6 - Blake Snell
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
7 T2 - Hyun-Jin Ryu
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
8 - Walker Buehler
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
9 - Luis Castillo
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
10 - Charlie Morton
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
11 - Trevor Bauer
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
12 +5 Aaron Nola
Aces Gonna Ace
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
13 -1 Stephen Strasburg
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
14 -1 Zack Greinke
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
15 -1 Clayton Kershaw
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
16 T3 -1 David Price
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
17 -1 Jose Berrios
Aces Gonna Ace
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Cherry Bomb
18 +3 Patrick Corbin
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
19 UR Mike Clevinger
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
20 -2 James Paxton
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
21 -2 Matt Boyd
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
22 -2 Lucas Giolito
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
23 -1 Shane Bieber
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Cherry Bomb
24 -1 Mike Minor
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
25 UR Noah Syndergaard
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
26 T4 - Brandon Woodruff
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
27 -2 Chris Paddack
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
Stash Option
28 -4 Mike Soroka
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
29 +4 Lance Lynn
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
30 -2 Zack Wheeler
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
31 -2 Jake Odorizzi
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
32 +2 Griffin Canning
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
33 -2 Jack Flaherty
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
34 -4 Kenta Maeda
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
35 - Madison Bumgarner
Ace Potential
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
36 -9 Andrew Heaney
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
37 UR Kyle Hendricks
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
38 UR Domingo German
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
39 T5 -3 Kyle Gibson
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
40 -1 Masahiro Tanaka
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
41 UR Brendan McKay
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
42 -2 Yonny Chirinos
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
43 -5 German Marquez
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
44 -3 Robbie Ray
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
45 -8 Max Fried
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
46 -1 Zac Gallen
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Stash Option
47 +17 Ross Stripling
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
48 -6 Yu Darvish
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
49 -6 Zach Eflin
Strikeout Upside
Toby
Ratio Focused
50 -4 Eduardo Rodriguez
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
51 -2 Joe Musgrove
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
52 +2 Anibal Sanchez
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
53 UR Dylan Cease
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Stash Option
54 -3 Sonny Gray
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Cherry Bomb
Ratio Focused
55 -2 Joey Lucchesi
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
56 -6 Wade Miley
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
57 +4 Jon Gray
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
58 -10 Nick Pivetta
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
59 -12 Zach Plesac
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
60 UR Dinelson Lamet
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
61 UR Jordan Lyles
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
62 T6 +5 Elieser Hernandez
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
63 -6 Marcus Stroman
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Cherry Bomb
Toby
Ratio Focused
64 -8 Miles Mikolas
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
65 -7 Jon Lester
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
66 +9 Tyler Mahle
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
67 -5 Dallas Keuchel
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
68 +3 Chris Archer
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
69 +3 Sandy Alcantara
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
70 +8 Jose Quintana
Injury Risk
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
71 +20 Matt Strahm
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
72 +2 Dakota Hudson
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
73 +3 Trevor Williams
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
74 T7 +6 John Means
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
75 +6 Mike Fiers
Toby
Ratio Focused
76 +7 Chris Bassitt
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Streaming Option
77 -4 Merrill Kelly
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
78 +7 Tanner Roark
Toby
Streaming Option
79 +7 Tommy Milone
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
80 -25 Trevor Richards
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
81 +9 Jason Vargas
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
82 +6 J. A. Happ
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
83 +14 Michael Pineda
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
84 UR Bryse Wilson
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
85 T8 -8 Steven Matz
Strikeout Upside
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
86 +6 Anthony DeSclafani
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
87 -17 Logan Allen
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
88 +8 Martin Perez
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
89 +6 Adrian Sampson
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
90 -22 Jordan Yamamoto
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
91 -2 Zach Davies
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
92 -26 Austin Voth
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Streaming Option
93 -28 Adbert Alzolay
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
Streaming Option
94 -10 Rick Porcello
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
95 -13 Julio Teheran
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
96 -17 Dylan Bundy
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
97 UR Drew Pomeranz
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
98 -11 Vince Velasquez
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
99 -5 Michael Wacha
Injury Risk
Toby
Ratio Focused
100 -7 Jake Arrieta
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused

Labels Legend

Aces Gonna Ace
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low IPS
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
Stash Option

 

Fringe Starters

 

Pitcher Why They Missed The Cut
Jesus Luzardo I’ve moved stashes to Fringe Pitchers. Luzardo would be Top 50 if up now.
Danny Duffy Not the worst option and one of the last off The List
Daniel Norris There isn’t enough upside to chase this
Gio Gonzalez On the IL with “dead arm” – He’s a Toby
Caleb Smith On the IL with hip injury – Top 25 SP – Could return before ASB
Carlos Carrasco On the IL with a blood issue – Top 20 SP
Corey Kluber On the IL with a forearm injury – Top 10 SP
Jameson Taillon On the IL with an elbow injury – Top 25 SP
Tyler Glasnow On the IL with forearm strain – Top 25 SP
Luke Weaver On the IL with a forearm strain – Top 35 SP
Brad Peacock On the IL with a shoulder injury – Top 60 SP
Rich Hill On the IL with flexor strain – Top 40 SP
Pablo Lopez On the IL with back injury – Top 60 SP
Spencer Turnbull On the IL with a shoulder injury – Top 60 SP
Cole Hamels On the IL with an oblique injury – Top 45 SP
Frankie Montas Suspended 80 games
Mike Foltynewicz Demoted to Triple-A – Top 70 SP
Mitch Keller Demoted to Triple-A – Top 70 SP
Jimmy Nelson Demoted to bullpen
Trent Thornton The strikeout upside is interesting, but it’s too low of a floor
Jake Junis Too volatile to trust despite a tinge of strikeout upside
Luis Severino The recent injury news sets him back to July 1st, hopefully. He’ll be Top 15 then.
Alex Wood I’m just going to wait until he’s back to properly rank him. Most likely in the 50s.
Jhoulys Chacin Even his recent stretch isn’t worth the floor
Ivan Nova Just not enough upside and while he’s a decent streamer, it’s never for a high ceiling.

 

What is happening!

It’s another week and another edition of the Top 100 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball.

Before I dive into the player notes, here’s an outline of how I’m handling The List this season:

  • Previous/Best/Worst columns removed
    • These took a heavy chunk of loading time and ultimately provided very little value. The change arrows themselves are all that’s needed
  • Tiers added
    • As much as I hate making tiers (When do they start and end? How big are the cliffs?), ya’ll have been asking for them and I’m here for all of you. Please understand how hard it is to accurately place them and don’t get too worked up about it.
  • Labels added
    • There’s often confusion as to why a pitcher is a spot or two above or below another. These labels should help understand what each pitcher brings to the table, showing that some pitchers may be better or worse for what you need.
    • Hover over them (or tap on mobile) to see each label’s name next to the pitcher.
    • Ratio Focused = Their value lies in you chasing their ERA/WHIP more than strikeouts and Wins.
    • TobyBoring arm that doesn’t excite you, but you stare at the waiver wire and accept that he just okay enough. You don’t like that he’s around the office, but he gets his work done.
    • Cherry Bomb = Volatile pitchers who are either “super sweet” or “blow up in your face.” Heed warning.
    • Ace Potential = I define an ace as: 3.40 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 24% K rate, 6.0 IPS. It’s why you see some surprising names as having the upside of an ace.
  • Fringe Starters added
    • There are always a handful of starters I badly want to add to The List but I don’t have enough room. I’ll always have this table at the end for a collection of starters – in no order – that I also heavily considered, as well as why they could be relevant
    • This will be where IL Players will land. I’ll mention where they would slot when healthy.

Please let me know how you feel about these changes and I’m looking forward to another fun year assessing the wonderful entity that is the SP Landscape.

On to the notes! Remember, these ranks are for 12-teamers in H2H categories leagues.

 

Player Notes

 

  • With Aaron Nola as our cover photo, it should be surprise that he had the big jump inside the Top 15. He’s looked like prime Nola in his last two starts and like the man you drafted in March.
  • A hefty amount of arms returned from the IL this week – Mike Clevinger, Kyle Hendricks, Domingo German, Jordan Lylesand Noah SyndergaardTake note of their impacts to the ranks accordingly.
  • There isn’t confirmation of Caleb Smith returning this week, but if he were, he’d be placed above Syndergaard at #25.
  • Dinelson Lamet is expected to return as well this week, leading to a ranking at #60 – under normal circumstances I’d rather rank him in the early 70’s, but looking at the names below him – all of which are questionable – it’s beneficial to chase Lamet’s upside…despite my concerns of his command.
  • Lance Lynn now sits inside the Top 30. What a wild year it has been.
  • I was amazed by the debut of Brendan McKay, showcasing mature command of three pitches, suggesting more strikeouts on the way. A #41 rank is awfully high for a kid who has made just one start, yet the rest of the 40s have their own warts. I believe in McKay and he deserves the strong ranking. He’s a must own.
  • Ross Stripling has a spot in the Dodgers rotation for the foreseeable future, though will get roughly 75 pitches today and won’t be fully stretched out until his next start. Here’s to hoping he gets settled in quickly.
  • Once you get to the 60s, it’s all about hoping to find something that will last past this week and make an impact in the second half. Matt Strahm had his best curveball of the year mixed with 91.5 mph velocity, hinting at a possible step forward and earning a bump to #71.
  • Trevor Richards dances in-and-out of feel with his changeup. While little has inherently changed about him, I’m liking other chances instead at the moment.
  • I’m not sure where to place Bryse Wilson exactly as he was far from sharp last week against the Cubs. I like him as a talent and could see him rise in future weeks.
  • With Drew Pomeranz’s hot few weeks, he’s earned himself a spot on The List.
  • Plenty of fallers at the bottom of The List. Austin Voth lost his velocity, Adbert Alzolay lacks command, Rick Porcello and Julio Teheran are frustrating Tobys, Dylan Bundy took a step back, Jordan Yamamoto seems to be the odd-man out in Miami, and Logan Allen looks to be a decent streamer and nothing more.

(Photo by Justin Paradis – @FreshmeatComm)

Nick Pollack

Founder of PitcherList.com. Rotographs and Washington Post contributor and has worked with CBS Sports, Grantland, and SB Nation. Former pitching coach and Brandeis alum.

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Comments


Nick

No movement for Bumgarner? Over last two starts he has 20 Ks, mixing in an effective curveball, and fastball velocity has been at pre-dirt bike injury levels. Maybe you just need to see him keep it up longer before you buy in?

Derek

Domingo German was like 24 before this injury, and now his innings cap concern should be gone. Is his demotion to 38 just a product of needing to see it first?

Seth

If you had to pick one injured starter to stash on IL for help with the stretch run, would you go for Kluber, Taillon, or Severino? Kluber seems the most likely to make it back for 6 to 8 weeks, but he was also real rough to start the season. Thanks for your amazing website, been a big fan since coming across it a few years ago!

BBHHI

Nick,

I know this is a dangerous game, but is McKay potentially a #2, or even a #1? Based on what you saw, what sort of future can you see for this prospect/mlb player?

J

Curious why Wheeler dropped 2 spots? He’s got 3 straight QSs where he went 19.1 IP with 20 Ks, WHIPs of 0.86, 0.67, and 0.95, ERAs of 1.29, 1.50, and 2.84…and those starts were against PHI, CHC, and NYY..3 tough offenses.

rainmaker

Everyone dropped 2 spots because of Syndergaard and Clevinger returning from the DL so he didn’t really move

Sam

6 weeks ago, I was in love with Dylan Cease’s minor league performance. Since then, he’s struggled pretty hard. With his debut now upon us, how much leash should owners give, in case he struggles early?

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