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The List 5/16: Ranking The Top 100 Starting Pitchers Every Monday

Every Monday, I will be releasing “The List” where I rank the current value of the Top 100 pitchers in fantasy baseball for the rest of the season. Use these...

Every Monday, I will be releasing “The List” where I rank the current value of the Top 100 pitchers in fantasy baseball for the rest of the season. Use these rankings to help understand what to expect from pitchers for the rest of 2016, and as a tool to gauge trade value in your fantasy leagues.

Note: We’re working on fixing the “prev” column.  They may be a bit off this week.  

Let’s see how the SP landscape has changed since last week:

Rank Player Prev Best Worst
1 Clayton Kershaw 1 1 1
2 Jake Arrieta 2 2 2
3 Chris Sale 3 3 4
4 Noah Syndergaard 4 4 11
5 Max Scherzer 5 3 5
6 Jose Fernandez 9 7 9
7 Stephen Strasburg 7 7 12
8 Madison Bumgarner 11 5 11
9 Jacob DeGrom 6 6 6
10 Corey Kluber 8 8 11
11 David Price 10 8 10
12 Gerrit Cole 13 13 14
13 Matt Harvey 12 12 13
14 Chris Archer 14 14 16
15 Carlos Carrasco 19 9 19
16 Jon Lester 17 17 19
17 Zack Greinke 15 14 17
18 Danny Salazar 21 21 23
19 Drew Smyly 22 22 33
20 Johnny Cueto 26 26 30
21 Aaron Nola 36 36 48
22 Felix Hernandez 16 16 18
23 Jose Quintana 28 28 39
24 Steven Matz 23 23 27
25 Marcus Stroman 25 20 26
26 Cole Hamels 20 20 21
27 Taijuan Walker 29 29 50
28 Joe Ross 31 31 35
29 Yu Darvish 32 32 44
30 Jaime Garcia 38 31 38
31 Carlos Martinez 27 23 27
32 Masahiro Tanaka 39 37 39
33 Jordan Zimmermann 40 40 53
34 Kenta Maeda 35 35 63
35 Jeff Samardzija 63 55 78
36 Kyle Hendricks 61 47 61
37 Lance McCullers 43 36 43
38 Kevin Gausman 68 53 72
39 Justin Verlander 30 28 31
40 Jason Hammel 60 50 68
41 Drew Pomeranz 57 52 172
42 Rich Hill 56 48 105
43 John Lackey 65 54 67
44 Gio Gonzalez 58 55 58
45 Jake Odorizzi 34 34 43
46 Dallas Keuchel 18 15 18
47 Sonny Gray 25 25 29
48 Raisel Iglesias 42 26 42
49 Vincent Velasquez 37 37 72
50 Rick Porcello 66 51 70
51 Tyler Duffey 64 64 112
52 Aaron Sanchez 69 51 236
53 Jose Berrios 44 44 84
54 Michael Wacha 50 45 57
55 Wei-Yin Chen 55 53 60
56 Eduardo Rodriguez 54 37 68
57 Edinson Volquez 67 64 95
58 Adam Conley 91 72 120
59 Jerad Eickhoff 45 45 70
60 Francisco Liriano 48 41 48
61 Blake Snell 82 62 85
62 Jon Gray 144 129 144
63 Ian Kennedy 59 56 69
64 Juan Nicasio 74 57 208
65 Tyson Ross 51 44 63
66 J.A. Happ 77 75 90
67 Nathan Eovaldi 87 67 94
68 Michael Pineda 47 24 55
69 Carlos Rodon 41 39 46
70 Patrick Corbin 46 31 46
71 Chris Tillman 107 100 129
72 Alex Wood 95 90 130
73 Julio Teheran 93 89 116
74 Hisashi Iwakuma 49 40 61
75 Hector Santiago 62 59 128
76 Marco Estrada 90 76 91
77 Yordano Ventura 52 50 71
78 Scott Kazmir 75 66 80
79 Nate Karns 93 63 93
80 John Lamb 78 75 82
81 Bartolo Colon 105 97 143
82 Matt Moore 70 56 113
83 James Shields 71 46 77
84 Tanner Roark 92 85 142
85 Steven Wright 222 215 222
86 Rubby De La Rosa 129 107 129
87 Josh Tomlin 73 72 87
88 Jameson Taillon 81 81 188
89 Tyler Glasnow 85 75 86
90 Julio Urias 86 77 117
91 Adam Wainwright 64 22 84
92 Trevor Bauer 136 119 136
93 Mike Foltynewicz 316 312 316
94 Alex Cobb 101 92 101
95 Zack Wheeler 102 93 103
96 Michael Fulmer 69 68 254
97 Sean Manaea 70 69 327
98 Mike Fiers 95 68 98
99 Jimmy Nelson 111 97 111
100 Mike Leake 100 99 127

Notes

– Some more shuffling here and there in the Top 20, but nothing too drastic.  I still believe Corey Kluber to be more a consistent producer than David Pricethough it is the one I wrestled with the most.  Also, let’s welcome Johnny Cueto to the Top 20.  I’ve been loud in expressing my uneasiness endorsing Cueto, but I can’t run away from his numbers forever.

– Steven Matz takes a small dive given his current injury questions.  All indications are that he’ll be okay, though another skipped start is probably in order. 

– Meanwhile, Aaron Nola is still blowing away expectations – even mine – and given the general lull of great pitching this year, he keeps rising.

– The biggest changes are within the Top 50.  Alongside teammate Johnny CuetoI’ve been hard on Jeff Samardzija who keeps denying me over and over. While I don’t believe a major breakout ala 2014 is in order, given how inconsistent many other pitchers have been it’s time to acknowledge the solid foundation he’s given owners.

– Other big jumps go to Kyle Hendricks, Jason Hammel, John Lackeyand Gio Gonzalez.  The trio of Cubs starters have all been impressive, especially Hendricks whose command and groundball rates are giving him a stable floor.  Gio has done little to deter me and while I am a bit hesitant given his past, he’s a better asset than I’ve been giving him credit.

– Then there are a pair of pitchers who have completely baffled owners.  Sonny Gray is struggling to command his breaking balls, which were the crux of his success in previous seasons.  Dallas Keuchel can’t grab the corners like he has in the past, and while it’s possible he makes adjustments to get back to where he was, it’s a tough bet to make.

– Another disappointing starter has been Jake Odorizzi who is holding just a 7.25 K/9 and 4.11 xFIP (3.99 SIERA) through his first eight starts.  He’s not dangerous for owners to hold onto, though he isn’t producing, causing him to fall back to just past his pre-season ranking.

– Jon Gray makes significant jump given his success outside (and once inside!) of Coors.  I’m not sold that this will be a long term thing, still you might as well jump on that train now and see how it plays out.

– The trio of Michael Pineda, Carlos Rodonand Patrick Corbinall have their types of upside, though their current performances are labeling them as droppable entities.  If you’re chasing upside, it might be in your best interest to chase them, and they are ranked thusly for long-term production, not for the short-term.

– The reverse of which are Alex Wood and Hector Santiagowho are both showing signs of production in the short term.  Wood has another two good starts ahead of him after bringing owners a pair of solid starts in the past week, while Santiago is featuring the increased velocity that made us fans early in the season.

– Joining The List this week are Trevor Bauer, Mike Foltynewicz, Jimmy Nelson, and Mike Leake.  Bauer has been impressive his last two outings, though his walk rate could bite you if you invest heavily.  Folty is starting to show some of upside and can be a high risk/high reward streamer, Leake can be a decent streamer and has woken up in the past week, and Nelson brings intriguing upside that can come out here and there.

– To make room, Ross Stripling, Aaron Blair, Collin McHugh, Luis Severinoand Nick Tropeano have been ousted.  Stripling nor Blair have the upside to confidently stream, Tropeano has been struggling too frequently, McHugh has a lot of work left to do to get back to 2014, and Severino hit the DL to top off his incredibly disappointing 2016 season.

Nick Pollack

Founder of Pitcher List. Creator of CSW, The List, and SP Roundup. Worked with MSG, FanGraphs, CBS Sports, and Washington Post. Former college pitcher, travel coach, pitching coach, and Brandeis alum. Wants every pitcher to be dope.

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