Stockpiling FireWood

(Photo by Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire)

When it comes to being a season-long Toby, there might not be a better fit than Alex Wood. After last night’s 3.2 IP, 6 ER, 8 Hits, 2 BBs, 6 Ks, he took a step back to a 3.65 ERA, 21% K rate, and 1.22 WHIP, all things that help but are far from you telling all your buds that he’s on your team. It’s been just five starts all year with games above 3 ER from Wood, while he’s fanned more than six just four times. It’s middling, it’s not sexy, but it’s consistent. Why am I saying this now? Because I don’t want you to overthink last night’s outing. It wasn’t good – just five whiffs and 89mph on his heater – but 25 CSW and a year filled with sturdy numbers should not be forgotten so quickly. It’s three more starts – @STL, SDP, @SFG – and keep the boat steady as you sail toward the finish line.

Let’s see how every other SP did Monday:

J. A. Happ6.0 IP, 0 ER, 6 Hits, 0 BBs, 3 Ks. Sure, it’s not the elite strikeout performance we’ve seen from Happ often, but I will dang well take this. Good luck in your final tough matchups, Happ, we’re all counting on you.

Francisco Liriano6.0 IP, 0 ER, 4 Hits, 4 BBs, 7 Ks. Ahhhh, the classic Liriano start that takes us back five years ago. What a wonderful memory, a celebration, a Birthday Party.

Diego Castillo2.0 IP, 1 ER, 1 Hits, 1 BBs, 1 Ks. A good ole False Start with Jalen Beeks going just 2.1 frames after for an unremarkable pitching performance from the Rays. What else is new.

Kyle Gibson5.2 IP, 1 ER, 4 Hits, 4 BBs, 5 Ks. This was Gibson’s toughest game ROS and he did a fine job against the Yankees. Sure, it’s a Philly and four walks, but you’ll take this and run.

German Marquez7.0 IP, 1 ER, 6 Hits, 1 BBs, 11 Ks. Marquez, this is getting so stupid it’s amazing. I’m not sure where we’re going to put him for next year, but for his final three starts of the year, he deserves the Aces Gonna Ace label. I mean, the guy has a 2.45 ERA, 32.5% K rate, and 0.93 WHIP across his last 13 starts. JEEEEEEZ. And enjoy yet another Gallows Pole at 21 whiffs, you filthy animal.

Mike Minor6.0 IP, 1 ER, 6 Hits, 2 BBs, 3 Ks. You’re just so wonderful Minor. Don’t let anyone talk themselves out of removing you from their lineup. Just let it ride, especially with the Padres next.

Sean Newcomb6.0 IP, 1 ER, 3 Hits, 0 BBs, 8 Ks. Well well well, if it isn’t Newcomb finally having some success with secondary pitches, here going 11/41 CSW on sliders, curveballs, and changeups. Wait, that’s not good at all! His heater was fantastic and this rugged Giants lineup is terrible at heaters, which helped the southpaw cruise through the day. Blame it on the Giants. I think this is a trap for anyone thinking Newcomb is fixed. Proceed with caution.

Dereck Rodriguez6.1 IP, 1 ER, 5 Hits, 2 BBs, 3 Ks. Dereck continues to cruise with a solid ERA/WHIP without much in the strikeout area, promoting the idea that 2019 is going to be a major step back. I really want to believe that point, but the only issue I have with it is how I think he has room to grow, which may counteract some of the expected regression. I’m in a weird place, Alex Fast and I will be diving into this on our OTC podcast tonight, should be fun.

Wade Miley5.0 IP, 2 ER, 4 Hits, 3 BBs, 1 Ks. This could have been worse against the Cubs, and is a 3.60 ERA worth the 1.40 WHIP and just one strikeout? Yeah, ONE STRIKEOUT. HAISTFMFWT?! I wrote about Miley’s success on Rotographs over the weekend and the tone is that Miley is pitching well over his head, but still better than his 2017 season and should probably be around a 4.00 ERA with a low K rate. Is that what you want? IS THAT WHAT YOU WANT?!

Justin Verlander7.0 IP, 2 ER, 6 Hits, 1 BBs, 10 Ks. Aces gonna ace as he returned to Detroit. What a lovely day.

Lucas Giolito7.0 IP, 3 ER, 6 Hits, 2 BBs, 3 Ks. I will definitely take this from Giolito, as boring and meh as it is. He elected to go more four-seamers over two-seamers this time after that two-game experiment (woot!), while 10/30 CSW on curveballs and sliders + 10/23 SNIP on changeups is okay. Not great, kinda mediocre, but okay. A step in the right direction after last week’s debacle, though this was the Royals and if he faces a tougher team next time, I’d be concerned…but it’s not. It’s the Orioles. HALLELUJAH!

Jake Junis8.0 IP, 3 ER, 7 Hits, 0 BBs, 5 Ks. And Junis keeps on keeping on. Twins + Tigers next and I’m all for this.

Jon Lester5.2 IP, 3 ER, 8 Hits, 2 BBs, 7 Ks. Lester handed you a Philly, one out away from a VVPQS leaving the game early with back spasms (he’s still on track for his next start). Ehhhhhhh, at least seven Ks with it as well? It’s not enough to reconsider letting him fly, it’s just annoying. Stop being like my nephew, Jon. Just kidding, my nephew is the greatest. YOU’RE NOT JON.

Cody Reed4.0 IP, 3 ER, 5 Hits, 3 BBs, 5 Ks. Be honest with me, did you expect anything different?

Jaime Barria3.0 IP, 4 ER, 3 Hits, 4 BBs, 2 Ks. This is not the Barria I anticipated with four walks in three frames as he was clearly off his game. Next are the Mariners and that’s incredibly meh. Maybe for a desperate weekend stream. Streaming Record: 92-44.

Corey Kluber1.2 IP, 4 ER, 5 Hits, 1 BBs, 4 Ks. Kluber, no. He had a terrible second inning and was pulled before he could harm the team any more. Obviously start him next time he’s out there, hope this didn’t put you in too much of a ditch for your playoff week.

Adam Wainwright5.0 IP, 4 ER, 7 Hits, 0 BBs, 3 Ks. Waino is back and acting like the Waino we wanted out of the rotation back in the spring. Yay.

Trevor Williams5.0 IP, 4 ER, 6 Hits, 0 BBs, 6 Ks. Hey, Williams struck out more than a batter per inning! Oh, it also came with the expected ERA regression as he’s been a massive TEEs all year – especially as of late. What do you expect moving forward? Pretty much the same minus a few strikeouts. Womp womp.

Zack Godley4.0 IP, 5 ER, 7 Hits, 2 BBs, 4 Ks. Godley has been on the decline for quite a bit, though at least he was producing strikeouts along the way. Welp, so much for that. It’s time to move on.

Today’s Streamer

Jose Urena vs. New York Mets – The Prime Candidates of Junis/Minor/Giolito are all now over 20%, so I’m going with Urena against that terrible offense.

Tomorrow’s Streamer

Trevor Richards vs. New York Mets – It’s the Mets and Richards has the upside to make this well worthwhile. I’d also consider Felix Pena against the Rangers, but there’s a little more risk there.

Day After Tomorrow’s Streamer

Sandy Alcantara vs. New York Mets – I know it’s three days against the Mets. Thing is, the Marlins pitchers ain’t all that bad and no one cares about them. Alcantara can get through this and help.

Game of the Day

Tyler Glasnow vs. Shane Bieber – It’s two young arms who haven’t been all too sharp lately. Here’s to rooting for a pitchers’ duel.

Nick Pollack

Founder of PitcherList.com. Rotographs and Washington Post contributor and has worked with CBS Sports, Grantland, and SB Nation. Former pitching coach and Brandeis alum.

sdf

Comments


larry

Streamer for tomorrow

Pena vs Tex-Home ERA is 6.17 with a whip of 1.46-Last 7 games 1-2 with era at 3.14
[email protected] ERA is 2.98 with a whip of 1.04-Last 7 games 2-3 with era of 4.06
Vargas vs Mia-Home ERA is 5.19 with a whip of 1.42- Last 7 games 3-3 era at 4.60

Not great chooses-but need to keep pace with other manager for Wins, Ratios and K’s.

Right now leaning Pena but home era worries me. Just wanted your take.

Thank you

Kyle

Do you have any plans to take a closer look at Marquez on any near-future podcasts with an eye to where you’ll rank him next year?

theKraken

Agreed. That would be interesting in the sense that everyone hasn’t jumped on already. I vote against it because I was hoping that maybe he could be undervalued next year.

Perfect Game

Nick,
I have 21 starts remaining in my roto league (K, QS, ERA, WHIP). My starters include Nola, Cole, Verlander, Pax, Kluber and Marquez. I’m comfortably ahead in K’s, but only 10 QS ahead and a somewhat small lead in ERA/WHIP.

Looking at the remaining schedules on ESPN, Kluber’s next start was moved back leaving him with CWS, BOS and KC. Paxton has HOU and OAK. I’m looking to protect ratios while giving myself the best chance at getting QS with my remaining starts. With this in mind, I plan on sitting Kluber against BOS and hesitant to start Pax against HOU and OAK.

Looking at Wheeler, who is available in my league, he will get MIA twice, PHIL and WAS. Understanding what I’m trying to do, would you drop either Kluber or Pax for Wheeler?

Perfect Game

I dropped Severino for Marquez…and glad to be rid of him…and so are my ratios. Got tired of being nervous every time he started the last month or so.

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