Sobotka threw his changeup just twice in 2019, so it’s clearly not a pitch that needs to be prepared for. He had never thrown it before, so it will be interesting to see if he begins utilizing it at all in 2020.
Sobotka slings his four-seam fastball with an average velocity over 96 mph and holds a spin rate in the 93rd percentile. However, even with a solid 11% SwStr%, he still suffered with a 30% HR/FB rate and an elevated BABIP. His true skill on his fastball is likely better than it was in 2019, but where does it settle?
The slider has even more impressive spin, averaging just under 3,000 rpm. The slider is Sobotka’s bread and butter, with a nasty 20.2% SwStr rate. He has trouble commanding the slider, otherwise it would be one of the better offerings in the game.
Sobotka’s got a lively fastball that sits at 96 mph and at times scrapes 100 mph. It features standard movement for a four-seamer but likely picks up extra perceived velocity from the 6’7″ righty due to his length. It didn’t show great whiff or chase potential in his 14.1 MLB innings, but it was effective at a 1.4 pVal.
Though he couldn’t find the zone with it much (25.3%), Sobotka showed promising swinging-strike (19.3%) and chase (37.1%) rates on his slider. It also displayed above-average bend and drop, and could be a go-to whiff-inducer.