At an everage 89.5 mph, Reyes has only just started to play around with his changeup. Very much a wait and see offering for next season.
With his heat, Reyes really needs a solid curve if he is going to be a front end starter. Initial results suggest it could be an elite pitch thanks to a crazy 62.8 inches of vertical movement. If only he could remain healthy, we could ascertain more.
It was a lost season for Reyes, who only made 4 appearances in 2019 and spent most of the season battling injuries (again) and working on his erratic command at AAA Memphis. When healthy his four-seamer is one of the most electric fastballs among all pitching prospects. It easily reaches triple digits and often sits comfortably in the late 90s.
Reyes should miss many bats with his plus slider, a beast with a huge 39.3 inches of vertical drop, 5.2 above MLB avaerage last season. He should throw it exclusively to right handers in 2020.
Velocity has long been a positive for Reyes when it comes to his four-seam fastball. In 2018, he notably averaged 94.8 mph with it, which is down from 97.6 mph in 2016. The pitch elicited a .167 batting average against in 2018, but he was perhaps a little lucky to do so as he failed to generate a generate a single swing and miss with it over 42 pitches, and the 50% line-drive rate against from a batted ball standpoint isn’t ideal. The sample size is small though, and it’s best not to read too much into it going forward.
Reyes threw his slider about 25% of the time in 2018, and it was highly effective for him as it did not surrender a single hit while generating a 16.5% swinging-strike rate. His 16.7% zone rate with the pitch is concerning, but he clearly was able to entice opposing hitters with it effectively as it generated a 40% O-swing rate. It will be interesting to see if this low zone rate continues in 2019 and whether hitters will lay off the slider more frequently going forward.
Scouting reports suggest that Reyes’ best breaking ball is his curveball, but in his small sample at the major league level in 2018, it failed to baffle hitters as evidenced by a 100% contact rate against and a 0% swinging-strike rate. The result was a .500 batting average against because of an extremely high .500 BABIP. Look for him to feature it more effectively over a bigger sample in 2019.
Reyes was featured for just one game in 2018 before he hit the DL once again, making it tough to find a solid changeup GIF—not one landed for a called or swinging strike in his sole start. It looks to be the clear fourth pitch in his repertoire, and with his excellent pair of breakers, don’t look for it to get a large spotlight.