DraftKings/FanDuel – Main slate (8 games) – starts 7:10 PM EDT.
Some rain is possible for PIT@NYM & NYY@ATL – check for updates.
ARI@COL – Wind mostly across the field right-to-left, but still the best game for hitting on the slate.
PIT@NYM – Warm, with winds out to left.
OAK@STL – Warm, with strong winds out to right.
Games still good for XBH/overall bats:
SEA@KC (wind right-to-left)
NYY@ATL (wind right-to-left)
|7:10 PM||Quinn Priester (R)||PIT||NYM||25.70%||4.66||28.00%||4.72|
|7:10 PM||Carlos Carrasco (R)||NYM||PIT||25.70%||4.69||27.60%||4.88|
|7:20 PM||Clarke Schmidt (R)||NYY||ATL||25.20%||4.9||31.10%||5.08|
|7:20 PM||Max Fried (L)||ATL||NYY||29.30%||4.84||30.30%||4.92|
|7:45 PM||JP Sears (L)||OAK||STL||24.00%||5.14||25.40%||5.1|
|7:45 PM||Miles Mikolas (R)||STL||OAK||27.00%||4.9||23.30%||4.9|
|8:05 PM||Patrick Sandoval (L)||LAA||TEX||23.20%||5.15||31.20%||4.86|
|8:05 PM||Max Scherzer (R)||TEX||LAA||27.60%||4.92||35.80%||5.38|
|8:10 PM||Logan Gilbert (R)||SEA||KC||25.80%||5.25||27.60%||5.17|
|8:10 PM||Brady Singer (R)||KC||SEA||31.40%||4.83||34.30%||5.15|
|8:40 PM||Merrill Kelly (R)||ARI||COL||24.10%||4.73||29.80%||4.98|
|8:40 PM||Chris Flexen (R)||COL||ARI||24.90%||4.68||18.30%||4.79|
|9:40 PM||Grayson Rodriguez (R)||BAL||SD||26.50%||5.1||30.90%||5.16|
|9:40 PM||Yu Darvish (R)||SD||BAL||27.90%||5.07||29.10%||5.18|
|9:45 PM||Tyler Glasnow (R)||TB||SF||31.60%||5.25||37.10%||5.4|
|9:45 PM||Sean Manaea (L)||SF||TB||33.30%||5.35||26.90%||4.99|
There are a lot of reasons to like Max Scherzer today. The Rangers have a 40-20 record at home this season, a run-scored differential second only to ATL in the league, Shohei Ohtani has been dealing with fatigue, and the Angels’ pitching seems to bring out the best in bats. Scherzer has only given up 1 HR in his last 3 starts, and as long as he keeps walks under control, he should be fine in all formats.
Max Fried had a rough start last time vs PIT and gets the visiting Yankees, starting their 3rd series in a row on the road. Fried is mostly a GB pitcher and outside a bad string of walks and singles vs PIT, he still hasn’t given up a HR since coming off of IL. The Yanks blew up the last lefty that started against them (Luzardo) but also completely wasted a 5-run lead yesterday in an epic meltdown vs the Marlins. He also should be fine in all formats.
The Giants just avoided a 5th straight loss with a bottom of the 10th HR yesterday, and only scored over 3 runs once in those games. Tyler Glasnow has the means to pick this team apart, but he could be limited after dealing with back spasms. If he’s not limited though, he has the chance to be the best pitcher on the slate. The reward is worth the risk in tournaments.
In his last start, Logan Gilbert had a 7-inning, 1-hitter with 12 Ks vs SD. The Royals tend to play a little better at home, making this a slightly riskier start than it appears (as he can allow an uncomfortable amount of FB & hard contact), but upside like that is hard to ignore. He’ll be a lesser owned option for tournaments.
If you need a cheaper option, Miles Mikolas may work as a SP2 vs OAK. His PLV ratings are up vs Ls even as he’s giving up FB contact, but his K rates are up too and STL bats have shown up over the last 4 games giving him run support. If you play Mikolas, be sure to overload on Coors or stack a less popular game to offset his lower ceiling.
Chris Flexen has always been a reverse splits pitcher, usually allowing FB and hard contact to power righties. Merrill Kelly had a strong outing vs LAD in his last start before leaving with leg cramps. Prior to that start, however, he was yielding hard contact to Ls. The D-backs had a rough start to August, but have possibly turned things around with back-to-back wins and have played well vs the Rockies this year.
It’s an epic battle between two 4th place teams coming off doubleheaders featuring pitchers with ERAs over 6 and the wind blowing out…what’s not to love? If you need some value plays to offset top pitching or Coors bats, this is probably the place to look.
JP Sears was a streamer pitching darling for a while but is trending in the wrong direction – although he’s had tougher matchups vs LAD & TEX lately. That said, he still tends to allow a lot of hits if he can’t get strikeouts (and STL doesn’t strike out much vs Ls). STL’s bats have woken up lately and scored 5 or more runs in the last 4 games.
ATL is finally back home after a 10-day, 3-series stretch on the road. They scored over 80 runs in that timeframe, with half of those coming vs a reeling Mets team. Do they keep pounding on NY based teams with the Yankees coming to town? Clarke Schmidt doesn’t go deep into games, but he tends to limit HRs. 10 days without rest including a doubleheader – and all that travel – has to result in an underwhelming game at some point, no?
As mentioned above, TEX plays really well at home. Patrick Sandoval hasn’t been blown up too bad in his last 5 starts, but he’s usually good for a couple ERs. He rarely goes more than 5 innings though, which is bad news for the Angels as their bullpen is overly generous to opposing bats.
Brady Singer has impressive K rates vs both sides of the plate, but his PLV ratings are dropping. In the past week, SEA’s overall K numbers vs Rs have dropped to respectable levels, but if Cade Marlowe and Dylan Moore are in the SEA lineup, they will boost his K total by themselves. Logan Gilbert has allowed a bit more hard contact than you’d like to see – and KC plays better at home – but his last start suggests he’s got his stuff working right now.
The guess is that Sean Manaea follows Ryan Walker, and in light of the recent Wander Franco news, that makes TB slightly less impressive vs Ls…but Manaea is still allowing plenty of hard contact. SF is a team struggling offensively and this is a series that TB should use to try and catchup to BAL in the standings. Basabe & Pinto are upside extreme value plays if you need them.
|Lourdes Gurriel Jr.||ARI||OF||$4,500||OF||$3,600|
|Ronald Acuña Jr.||ATL||OF||$6,700||OF||$4,600|