DK/FD – Main slate (10 games) – starts 1:35 p.m. EDT
The only game with any trouble today is CHC@NYY but there is the potential for quite a bit of trouble. There will definitely be storms in NYC but the question is will they hit the stadium. If they do, we could see a PPD so bear that in mind.
Shane Bieber hasn’t been particularly good over the last month but his one good start was against the lowly Royals who he gets to face again on Sunday. Losers of six in a row, Kansas City not only has by far the lowest wRC+ (51) in baseball over the last two weeks, they also have the highest K% (28.2). Look for Bieber to get back on track.
Which Chris Bassitt are we going to see on Sunday? The guy who struck out 12 Giants in six shutout innings on June 29th, or the guy who has allowed 18 ERs over 17.2 innings in the other four of his last five starts. Facing a Detroit lineup that hasn’t scored more than four runs in a week, I think we see something closer to the San Francisco start, at least in terms of allowing runs. I’m not sure we see 12 strikeouts again, but a quality start out of Bassitt would be great for your DFS lineup.
The best pitching matchup of the day is in Miami as Aaron Nola and the Phillies do battle against Jesús Luzardo. I am not sure I am able to choose between the two of them, as I think they are both great options today. Really it just comes down to personal preference for you. Nola was absolutely dominant in his last start, striking out 12 over 7.1 innings of one-run ball against Tampa. Luzardo meanwhile, hasn’t allowed a run in any of his last three starts, striking out 26 over 19.1 innings. Play both, pick one, either way they are both great options.
Pitcher Pricing 7-9-2023
I am sorry but I am just not buying Brandon Bielak and his 3.81 ERA. With a very poor 4.81 PLV and 5.44 FIP, Bielak is pitching way over his head and I think he comes back down to Earth against the Mariners today. He threw seven shutout innings in his last start, but that was against Rockie Road and today he faces a Seattle lineup that shelled Hunter Brown for five ERs in three innings on Friday. J.P. Crawford has been excellent out of the leadoff spot lately and he has some solid pop behind him in Julio Rodríguez, Ty France, Teoscar Hernández, and Eugenio Suárez. Jarred Kelenic has really slowed down after a hot start, but he provides decent upside and Cal Raleigh is always a fun option at catcher. Mike Ford is a cheap source of power as well with his eight HRs and .620 SLG in just 79 ABs.
The White Sox have been known for pounding lefties in the past and although they haven’t quite lived up to that reputation this season, I like their RHHs against Steven Matz on Sunday. Luis Robert Jr. has been on a tear lately and Jake Burger had a big day on Friday as well. Eloy Jiménez has actually been sneaky good this season when healthy and we are all hoping Tim Anderson and Andrew Vaughn turn it around at some point.
Ben Lively makes his return to the mound for Cincinnati on Sunday and Milwaukee has some hot hitters hoping to ruin it for him. Christian Yelich has a triple slash line of .370/.460/.593 over the last two weeks and the namesake combo of William Contreras and Willy Adames are solid options as well.
Hitter Pricing 7-9-23