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Bets of the Day – May 10

Gus Elmashni shares his wagering acumen with today's Bets of the Day.

Welcome to the Bets of the Day column for Tuesday. Hopefully you read this piece last Tuesday. 3-0! What a great day that was! Let’s see if history will repeat itself today. In fact, that will be the theme for my selections since we have a decent amount of in-season data and previous matchups to consider. Let’s get to it!

 

Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 Run Line (-125)

 

Hunter Greene was downright awful in his last start which happened to be against the Brewers on the road. Sure, the kid throws heat but his changeup is awful and he was missing the strike zone so many times last week. Of his 76 pitches, only 46 were thrown for strikes and he served up five HRs, including the first two batters he faced.

The Reds have been hitting the ball better and kind of shook off the losing bug but they are still trotting out a AAA roster on the field. The Brewers bats went cold in Atlanta but woke up last night. They will get back to their winning ways as they create more separation between them and Cincinnati. This game could get ugly fast for Greene again.

 

New York Mets Money Line (-160)

 

Greene is not the only one seeing the same team twice this season. Patrick Corbin is 0-5 with a 7.16 ERA. His first start of the season did not go well resulting in a 5-1 loss to the Mets. It also doesn’t help that his offense is not providing run support every time he has taken the mound this season. Among his six starts, the Nationals have only mustered a total of 13 runs. Scoring an average of 2 runs per game is not going to cut it against the NL East division leader.

Meanwhile, Tylor Megill is off to a nice start going 4-0 last month with a 1.93 ERA. The Mets bats are healthy and ready to rake against Corbin. I would even consider the run line for New York and parlaying it with one or two other plays.

 

New York Yankees Money Line (-170)

 

One more time we will go with previous matchups to make some wise sports wagers today. Yusei Kikuchi is not nearly as bad as Greene and Corbin but he is not great either. You need to be great if you want to stymie the current Yankees lineup which is playing much like the Murderer’s Row team from 1927. Earlier this season, Luis Severino pitched 5 shutout innings en route to a 3-0 victory against Toronto, while two days before that game, Kikuchi only lasted 3.1 innings, and Toronto was shut out again in a 4-0 loss to the Bronx Bombers.

If you look at Kikuchi’s batter vs pitcher stats against the Yankees starting lineup, it’s not good. In 98 plate appearances, the Yankees are batting 0.262 with 0.340 OBP and 0.583 SLG. Both Aaron Judge and Joey Gallo have homered twice against Kikuchi for a total of 24 plate appearances. Since the Yankees are the home team, I would not do a run line bet but the money line play looks very good today.

 

Like the stock market, stick with the blue chippers. All three teams featured in this article are division leaders facing pitchers they have already dominated earlier this season. Let’s make it another 3-0 day!

 

 

Featured image by Justin Paradis (@JustParaDesigns on Twitter)

Gus Elmashni

Gus Elmashni is a San Francisco Bay Area native and an avid fan of the NBA, NFL, and MLB. He has played fantasy sports since 1993 when a few high school friends and he would tabulate daily NBA results from the San Jose Mercury News and draft new teams every month. Gus has been with Pitcher List since April 2022 writing DFS articles and the Best Bets column. Additionally, Gus works full-time as an educator in Northern California and resides in Sacramento with his wife and two young children.

  • Will says:

    Where are you getting these lines. My sportsbooks don’t have anything close to these money lines

  • Gus Elmashni says:

    Hi Will. Thank you for your comment. I got these lines from ESPN. More specifically, after you click on Daily Lines, I use the lines that are current from Westgate Sportsbook and Casino in Las Vegas. When I say current, I mean current at the time the article is written which is usually at 6:30 AM PT. I just updated the lines since they have moved quite a lot in the past few hours. Good luck!

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