Bets of the Day – April 26th

Kyle Stanzel highlights Monday's best bets around baseball.

Hope everyone had a wonderful weekend. It may be Monday but we are coming out FIRING today at Pitcher List with a number of bets for you to look at, including a pair of two-game parlays to spice things up:

 

Cubs @ Braves Run Line

 

The Braves have had a disappointing start to the 2021 season, culminating in getting no-hit by Madison Bumgarner in Game 2 of a doubleheader in which Atlanta failed to score and accrued one hit across all 14 innings. I don’t have any sources in the Atlanta clubhouse, but I have a feeling the likes of Freddie Freeman and Ronald Acuna are not too happy about Sunday’s results and are immersed in thoughts of vengeance against any baseballs coming their way on Monday. Zach Davies is the unfortunate recipient of the start for the Cubs in Atlanta and his 8.80 ERA does not make us believe we will have back-to-back no-hitters.

“Electric Chuck” Charlie Morton toes the rubber for Atlanta against a Cubs team that has struggled to score runs against RHP. Chicago sports a paltry 87 wRC+ with the 4th-highest K% in the Majors against RHP (27.5%) and Morton is coming off a 6 inning, 1 ER start against a much more potent Yankee offense. Expect the Braves to bounce back in a big way against the Cubs.

Pick: Braves -1.5 (+120 DK, +106)

 

Paul DeJong To Hit a Home Run

 

Home run prop bets are always tough to project, so take these with a grain of salt. With that said, I expect a few balls to leave the yard in St. Louis on Monday night with the temperature in the high 70’s/low 80’s and a strong 17+ MPH wind blowing out to LF. After tossing one of the more dominant performances of the season in his first start, Wheeler has been extremely volatile in his starts since, giving up 10 ER over 16.2 IP. He also gave up 3 home runs in his last start against San Francisco and 3 of the 4 home runs he has allowed this season have been hit by RH batters.

Paul DeJong hasn’t exactly wowed everyone this season with his offensive prowess, but the powerful middle infielder does have 5 home runs with a .211 ISO this year. DeJong actually has reverse splits in his career, hitting RHP for a 109 wRC+ as opposed to 90 wRC+ against LHP, and 4 of his 5 home runs this season have come against RHP. DeJong also has 2 career home runs against Wheeler in 6 at-bats and if he leaves a fastball out over the plate its next destination will be over the outfield wall.

Pick: Yes (+400 DK)

 

[email protected]/[email protected] Total Runs After 5 Innings Parlay

 

Time to get into the parlay game here at Pitcher List, and what better way to do so than with a pair of enticing pitching matchups. Perhaps the two most impressive starters in baseball not named deGrom face off in Milwaukee with Trevor Rogers going against Corbin Burnes. Both the Marlins and Brewers have offenses in the bottom third of baseball and Rogers and Burnes should cruise through 5 innings.

Where this parlay gets a little dicey is taking the Under for total runs after 5 innings in Los Angeles, where Tyler Mahle and Julio Urias look to continue their strong starts to the season. In their most recent starts, Mahle and Urias combined for 20 K’s and 6 baserunners in 13.2 shutout IP. My confidence in these four starters outweighs any doubts I have that they will be able to keep these offenses in check over the 1st half of the game.

Pick: UNDER 3.5 (+226 DK)

 

[email protected]/[email protected] Moneyline Parlay

 

Another parlay? Kyle are you crazy? Well, yes, but that’s just what a Shohei Ohtani start combined with Rockie Road calls for. Ohtani and Lyles faced off in an Angels win just 6 days ago, in a game where Lyles might have pitched over his head and Ohtani was effectively wild. I think Ohtani starts to turn a corner here with some semblance of consistency in his pitching schedule, and I think the Angels are able to do enough damage against Lyles to hold a comfortable lead.

If you are a consistent reader and follower of Pitcher List (if you’re not, then you need to seriously rethink your life), then you are well aware of Rockie Road. For those who aren’t familiar, Rockie Road is the notion that the Rockies offense is ATROCIOUS away from Coors Field, which they will be when they visit the Giants on Monday. Anthony DeSclafani struck out 8 Rockies in 6 innings in San Francisco on April 11th and he should see similar success this time around. The Giants’ offense isn’t exactly a juggernaut, but they are more than capable of putting up enough runs to back Tony Disco against a woeful Colorado squad.

Pick: Angels & Giants ML (+164 DK, +160 FD)

 

Kyle Stanzel Overall Record: 11-8-0

Net Money (Assuming all wagers are $100): +$603.82

 

Featured Image by Justin Paradis (@JustParaDesigns on Twitter)

Kyle Stanzel

New Jersey-born and North Carolina-bound, Kyle is as die-hard a Pittsburgh Pirates fan as there is, attending the last ever game at Three Rivers Stadium and the first ever game at PNC Park. Follow him on Twitter @style_kanzel

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