Top 150 Pitching Prospects

There’s nothing more maddening than ranking pitching prospects, but some are dumb enough to try. Putting these things together feels like an optimistic angel on one shoulder, a pessimistic devil on the other, and you are stuck in the middle. So these stream of consciousness turmoils are shared here. Under the players’ will be a line starting with “A:” signifying what the angel was telling me, and a “D:” signifying what the little devil was telling me. Sometimes they contain wise things, sometimes not so much.

As it was this offseason, only players’ video-reviewed during full-season action are included. There are undoubtedly plenty of omitted players worthy of a spot here, I just haven’t seen them yet. Andrew Painter had one horrible quality broadcast, useless to us, so he’s not here. Tink Hence and Inohan Paniagua of the Cardinals haven’t been broadcast. Jaden Hill is yet to make his pro debut. I’ve never seen Matthew Allen pitch, nor the Pirate’s exciting young two-way prospect Bubba Chandler. The MLB draft is right around the corner as well, which will surely have worthy arms. Please don’t be shy about hitting me up with players you find deserving. Some of the highly ranked prospects below are there because of things learned from such discord. If you want to better understand how I try and value players, here’s a link to the big offseason review with a set of rules at the beginning of the first installment. (link)

Rank	Prev	+/-	Pitcher	Org	H	Age	Level	FanTrax Ros%
1	1	–	Shane Baz	TB	RHP	23	MLB	96
A: It doesn’t get any better than this regarding stuff meets execution for a prospect.
D: Staying on the mound becomes a problem and TB’s five and dive saps value.
2	3	1	Grayson Rodriguez	Bal	RHP	22	AAA	64
A: The unicorn-rich arsenal propels to fantasy ace.
D: A lack of athleticism impedes potential as the arsenal never gets optimized.
3	4	1	Daniel Espino	Cle	RHP	21	AA	42
A: The power, off-the-charts slider, and execution meld to overpowering ace.
D: The body is overloaded. Health and lack of execution thwart the upside.
4	UR	N/A	Ricky Tiedemann	Tor	LHP	19	A+	24
A: Lefty Espino-esque with an impossible angle for both side hitters.
D: The ability to power through the minors impedes the development of a more MLB-caliber attack.
5	5	–	Nick Lodolo	Cin	LHP	24	MLB	71
A: The rich arsenal from a killer angle leads to a fantasy ace.
D: Health track record isn’t impressive. No evidence he’s got the horsepower.
6	42	36	Taj Bradley	TB	RHP	21	AA	33
A: The next Rays grown fantasy ace with plus arsenal meets plus execution. No one has been more consistent.
D: The next Rays five and dive sapping fantasy value.
7	UR	N/A	Gavin Williams	Cle	RHP	23	AA	29
A: The power+finesse+horsepower+execution prototype.
D: The bully will get punched and struggle to make adjustments.
8	15	7	Eury Perez	Mia	RHP	19	AA	39
A: The high brow ingredients marinate into a generational arm.
D: All the colors mix to gray, and the length is too high maintenance impeding elite consistency.
9	7	-2	Max Meyer	Mia	RHP	23	AAA	62
A: The slider is a gift from the heavens and a ticket to fantasy stardom.
D: Chance to be a good reliever.
10	24	14	Cade Cavalli	Was	RHP	23	AAA	43
A: The former power bully completes his transformation into a sophisticated MLB ace.
D: The secondary feel will never be consistent enough.

Rank	Prev	+/-	Pitcher	Org	H	Age	Level	FanTrax Ros%
11	11	–	Josh Winder	Min	RHP	25	MLB	37
A: That stellar execution we saw in 2021 hasn’t even gotten back yet.
D: Command is not as good as you thought and the arsenal needs it to play.
12	14	2	Matthew Liberatore	StL	LHP	22	MLB	46
A: St. Louis’ prudently grooming a fantasy darling for years to come.
D: The arsenal goods aren’t there.
13	17	4	Edward Cabrera	Mia	RHP	24	AAA-r	72
A: The MLB ace just needs more courage. Execution is hiding there.
D: He’s a MASH unit and too inconsistent to optimize the stuff.
14	10	-4	Cole Winn	Tex	RHP	22	AAA	34
A: The MLB ace stuff and pitch ability are soaking up nutrients.
D: What’s easy on your eyes is easy on hitters’ eyes too.
15	18	3	Caleb Kilian	ChC	RHP	25	AAA	28
A: The sophisticated power arsenal meets execution machine.
D: He can’t handle the speed of the big league game between the ears.
16	6	-10	Cody Morris	Cle	RHP	25	AAA	24
A: We just had to wait a tad longer for the next Cleveland-grown fantasy stud.
D: The health and horsepower will never be there.
17	32	15	Hunter Brown	Hou	RHP	23	AAA	23
A: The stallion has been wrangled and this is the next Astro fantasy success.
D: He’s a backend ace at best, the command isn’t going to be there consistently.
18	100	82	Mike Burrows	Pit	RHP	22	AAA	9
A: The trajectory of arsenal gains and execution gains are as steep as anyone.
D: You’re falling for a good half a season.
19	55	36	Brayan Bello	Bos	RHP	23	MLB	52
A: The arsenal is as good as most anyone’s and he’s in charge of it.
D: The execution is more cubic zirconian than diamond.
20	UR	N/A	Gavin Stone	LAD	RHP	23	AA	18
A: The changeup is morphing into a cheat code and he’s going to plant himself in that rotation.
D: Not enough juice to force his way into the Dodger rotation.

Rank	Prev	+/-	Pitcher	Org	H	Age	Level	FanTrax Ros%
21	89	67	Kyle Muller	Atl	LHP	24	AAA	30
A: All of the ingredients have finally come together.
D: You saw this will never be MLB-caliber execution.
22	16	-6	Logan T. Allen	Cle	LHP	23	AAA	18
A: An execution machine with good to great stuff turns fantasy stud.
D: He’s going to get passed up by more tantalizing profiles in the organization.
23	28	5	Bobby Miller	LAD	RHP	23	AA	38
A: The arsenal is too rich to fail and capable of fantasy ace. Execution is coming around.
D: He might win spreadsheets, but he isn’t winning MLB games as a starter.
24	64	40	DL Hall	Bal	LHP	23	AAA	38
A: All the fantasy ace stuff is getting wrangled.
D: Execution never gets better than relief quality and he doesn’t have the horsepower to start.
25	UR	N/A	Wilmer Flores	Det	RHP	21	AA	11
A: The command is there to turn into an execution+good stuff monster.
D: Never gets past “strike-thrower”.
26	UR	N/A	Jackson Jobe	Det	RHP	19	A	36
A: Luxury of a cheat code slider to ride while the rest sharpens into an ace-caliber asset.
D: Rides one-pitch heavy attack into MiLB production and short changes his development.
27	UR	N/A	Ben Kudrna	KC	RHP	19	A	7
A: A greener power+finesse+horsepower+execution prototype.
D: Do you really wanna roll the dice this much on a Royals teenage pitcher?
28	UR	N/A	Antoine Kelly	Mil	LHP	22	A+	8
A: The fastball/breaking ball from the left angle is another Brew Crew K machine.
D: Screws will never tighten enough and the attack is too shallow.
29	54	25	D.J. Herz	ChC	LHP	21	A+	13
A: Lefty strikeout machine, with plus offerings across the board executed at a high level.
D: Big leap of faith he gets to and maintains the requisite execution (of OK stuff).
30	76	46	Kyle Harrison	SF	LHP	20	AA	33
A: The highbrow raw stuff will find itself in the hands of a pitcher soon.
D: Two-pitch throwers don’t make for great fantasy assets.

Rank	Prev	+/-	Pitcher	Org	H	Age	Level	FanTrax Ros%
31	21	-10	Bryce Elder	Atl	RHP	23	AAA	15
A: The mad scientist finds the consistent command to dissect MLB hitters.
D: The caliber of arsenal paired with wildness in the zone, equals streamer at best.
32	8	-24	Jordan Balazovic	Min	RHP	23	AAA	27
A: There’s fire in a crafter’s hands to sustain fantasy success.
D: The fastball command never comes back and its lack of quality sinks him.
33	93	60	Ryan Pepiot	LAD	RHP	24	AAA	31
A: Arsenal is loaded with MLB strikeout upside.
D: This is a contemporary Dodger tease. Execution/efficiency never getting there.
34	UR	N/A	Yosver Zulueta	Tor	RHP	24	AA	8
A: The fantasy ace caliber arsenal is just getting unleashed.
D: If this comes together, just be happy with a solid RP.
35	UR	N/A	Andrew Abbott	Cin	LHP	23	AA	11
A: This is what Buerhle would have been with more velocity.
D: The stuff isn’t good enough to match the attack at the big league level.
36	35	-1	Blake Walston	Arz	LHP	20	AA	23
A: A foundation and passion to grow into a big-time fantasy asset.
D: The fastball isn’t good enough.
37	25	-12	Emerson Hancock	Sea	RHP	23	AA	36
A: The secondaries polish to form a rich fantasy starter’s toolbox.
D: The secondaries won’t get dangerous enough.
38	36	-2	Owen White	Tex	RHP	22	AA	16
A: Ample arsenal in the hands of a heady pitcher could go really far.
D: He can’t execute breakers well enough.
39	22	-17	Brandon Williamson	Cin	LHP	24	AA	24
A: The top-shelf mix of stuff (particularly the fastball)+execution comes back after settling in new surroundings.
D: The second half of 2021 was an outlier.
40	UR	N/A	Ty Madden	Det	RHP	22	A+	18
A: There are top-shelf weapons to build into a fantasy stud.
D: The “lauded” tools can’t even get swing and miss in high-A.

Rank	Prev	+/-	Pitcher	Org	H	Age	Level	FanTrax Ros%
41	UR	N/A	Chris Murphy	Bos	LHP	24	AAA	2
A: The full, growing arsenal with K upside in a real pitcher’s hands is our cup of tea.
D: Is the fastball good or a home run machine?
42	UR	N/A	Tanner Bibee	Cle	RHP	23	AA	5
A: All the secondary quality and precision we can ask for grew a requisite fastball.
D: He isn’t going to stand out amongst the crowd enough.
43	UR	N/A	Ken Waldichuk	NYY	LHP	24	AAA	26
A: Special enough to earn a Yankee rotation spot/automatic fantasy juice with that spin.
D: This is Yankee trade bait/inning eater at best.
44	37	-7	Jake Eder	Mia	LHP	23	AA	18
A: Well-harnessed dominant stuff will pick up right where it left off.
D: This is a reliever who had a good stretch in the minors.
45	40	-5	Dax Fulton	Mia	LHP	20	A+	11
A: A giant reserve of talent is prudently growing into a top lefty in the game.
D: The gains needed in way of execution are too large to bet on here.
46	56	10	Cole Henry	Was	RHP	22	AAA	18
A: There’s a high-level sharpshooter in here.
D: The violent delivery sabotages it all.
47	UR	N/A	Jack Leiter	Tex	RHP	22	AA	50
A: The special fastball is the stem cell of a future star.
D: It’s an overrated fastball with a name attached to it.
48	20	-28	Sixto Sánchez	Mia	RHP	23	IL	58
A: The #1 pitching prospect in the land talent hasn’t gone anywhere.
D: Is this guy even committed to being a pro?
49	43	-6	Mick Abel	Phi	RHP	20	A+	34
A: The entirety of the arsenal reaches GrayRod heights.
D: The amount of growth needed in way of execution is lotto ticket odds.
50	19	-31	Joey Estes	Oak	RHP	20	A+	8
A: Part two of the insane progression will resume. Let the kid settle. He was tipping pitches.
D: Batman needs Robin. Trade killed the dream.

Rank	Prev	+/-	Pitcher	Org	H	Age	Level	FanTrax Ros%
51	UR	N/A	Gordon Graceffo	StL	RHP	22	AA	15
A: Ample tools and high-level utilization of them turn fantasy stud.
D: The secondaries aren’t good enough to bring the dream to fruition.
52	UR	N/A	Michael McGreevy	StL	RHP	21	AA	13
A: This rich skillset will get all the fertilizer needed with St. Louis.
D: The arsenal lacks a calling card.
53	UR	N/A	Max Castillo	Tor	RHP	23	AAA	7
A: Let the optics fool others, this is the biggest fantasy sleeper on the list.
D: This is a starting pitcher list, and he’s not that.
54	44	-10	Jordan Wicks	ChC	LHP	22	A+	15
A: Let the pitching to development progress and you’re getting a top-of-the-rotation asset.
D: That changeup isn’t as good as you thought and he’s scrambling now.
55	52	3	Quinn Priester	Pit	RHP	21	AA	33
A: A top-shelf arsenal will lead to fantasy darling.
D: Too much growth is needed and the shine of the stuff chips away every IL stint.
56	UR	N/A	Reese Olson	Det	RHP	22	AA	11
A: The arsenal’s tightening, leading to fantasy star.
D: The violent delivery sabotages it all.
57	46	-11	Brailyn Marquez	ChC	RHP	23	IL	23
A: The top-shelf arsenal will be back soon, doing what it did to MLB hitters in 2020.
D: Are we even gonna get a reliever out of this? What’s happening?
58	UR	N/A	Connor Phillips	Cin	RHP	21	AA	6
A: There’s a future MLB strikeout leader here.
D: You really wanna value a reliever this much?
59	UR	N/A	Mason Montgomery	TB	LHP	21	A+	8
A: The deception from the left side is strikeout city.
D: This is Rays’ “gimmicky” piecemeal stuff.
60	UR	N/A	Graham Ashcraft	Cin	RHP	24	MLB	48
A: Huge gains made expanding arsenal and he’s got that potential cheat code cutter.
D: The one-trick pony tried, but the results are speaking for themselves.

Rank	Prev	+/-	Pitcher	Org	H	Age	Level	FanTrax Ros%
61	39	-22	Jared Jones	Pit	RHP	20	A+	7
A: The growth of a dangerous arsenal meeting requisite execution requires patience.
D: You’re asking for a lot to go right.
62	UR	N/A	Hayden Juenger	Tor	RHP	21	AA	1
A: The top-shelf arsenal is turning into a more than capable starter.
D: They’re grooming a multi-inning reliever.
63	69	-6	Hayden Wesneski	NYY	RHP	24	AAA	15
A: He’s still adding to the attack, consistency will come.
D: Did he get traded yet? This isn’t a Yankee rotation mainstay.
64	UR	N/A	Josh Winckowski	Bos	RHP	23	MLB	30
A: The trajectory of the over-the-top-angled stuff is headed toward fantasy wealth.
D: Not enough juice.
65	84	19	Brandon Pfaadt	Arz	RHP	23	AA	9
A: The fastball leads the way to elite MLB strikeout numbers.
D: This is a home run factory.
66	62	-4	Randy Vasquez	NYY	RHP	23	AA	7
A: The curveball is the cheat code foundation of a fantasy stud.
D: The curveball is nice, but it’s a weapon in the hands of a reliever.
67	34	-33	Ethan Small	Mil	LHP	25	AAA	29
A: The lefty fastball/big changeup combo settles into the next Brewers SP success story.
D: You’re dated. He can’t spin one and it’s time to move on.
68	94	26	Cole Ragans	Tex	LHP	24	AAA	7
A: He’s barely gotten started and already dominating the PCL.
D: Fastball/changeup lefties can be had for a dime a dozen times.
69	UR	N/A	Davis Martin	CWS	RHP	25	AAA	3
A: Out of nowhere, he’s doing just as much as all the big names breaking in.
D: AAAA arm.
70	38	-32	Ryne Nelson	Arz	RHP	24	AAA	14
A: He’s coming out of the growing pains, and that big fastball is ready to carry him again.
D: The RP to SP transition has hit its wall.

Rank	Prev	+/-	Pitcher	Org	H	Age	Level	FanTrax Ros%
71	46	-25	Jonathan Bowlan	KC	RHP	25	R-r	6
A: This is the plus stuff meets execution you covet.
D: Give it up. Lack of health has already killed this dream.
72	87	15	Joey Cantillo	Cle	LHP	22	AA	9
A: This is what you want Detmers to be more like in terms of more weapons.
D: Not enough punch to find fantasy success.
73	UR	N/A	Chase Silseth	LAA	RHP	22	AA	18
A: The splitter is going to grow into a strikeout monster.
D: Not enough in attack to reach fantasy stud.
74	65	-9	Luis Medina	NYY	RHP	23	AA	20
A: The dream of wrangling the ace stuff is happening.
D: Don’t fall for this blip. Never going to throw strikes enough to start.
75	UR	N/A	Jhony Brito	NYY	RHP	24	AAA	1
A: Ascending as fast as anyone with high end execution of a now legit 3-pitch attack.
D: Tough sell he finishes jumping all the other talent there.
76	UR	N/A	Will Warren	NYY	RHP	23	AA	1
A: A spin master headed toward a Yankee rotation spot and plenty of strikeouts.
D: There are plenty of more polished spin doctors ahead of him in New York to make this worth it.
77	45	-32	Ryan Murphy	SF	RHP	22	AA	7
A: Quietly the best all-around pitching prospect in the touted Giants’ system.
D: There’s not enough punch in the arsenal for the bigs.
78	UR	N/A	Tekoah Roby	Tex	RHP	20	A+	2
A: This is under-the-hood perfection in the making.
D: This is spreadsheet love, not enough execution to make a legitimate MLB starter bet.
79	83	4	Freddy Tarnok	Atl	RHP	23	AA	7
A: Big fastball and nasty curveball have tightened up and the breakout is upon us.
D: Too shallow an arsenal to succeed with his command.
80	UR	N/A	Forrest Whitley	Hou	RHP	24	AAA	32
A: Better late than never. One of the top pitching prospects in baseball is back.
D: He was already showing he couldn’t execute well enough before the injury.

Rank	Prev	+/-	Pitcher	Org	H	Age	Level	FanTrax Ros%
81	105	24	Tommy Henry	Arz	LHP	24	AAA	3
A: He’s figured out how to handle righties and results in PCL=MLB results.
D: Streamer at best.
82	27	-55	Will Bednar	SF	RHP	22	A	22
A: The Giants will groom their big investment centered around a cheat code slider.
D: This isn’t a body you lay down big SP bets on. MASH.
83	UR	N/A	Calvin Ziegler	NYM	RHP	19	A	4
A: The passion+foundation of tools is as exciting a projectable bet as any single-A arm.
D: The arsenal isn’t electric enough for this kind of bet now.
84	UR	N/A	Ky Bush	LAA	LHP	22	AA	9
A: Highbrow FB/SLD combo is the ticket and the acumen is there to add weapons.
D: The attack is a dollar short.
85	68	-17	Drew Rom	Bal	LHP	22	AA	3
A: The execution of the arsenal sets him apart.
D: The profile isn’t going to translate well to the bigs.
86	UR	N/A	Mason Black	SF	RHP	22	A+	5
A: Two high-end fastballs and a big sweeper will pass everyone up in the system.
D: Sure, the backend ace upside is nice.
87	50	-37	Drey Jameson	Arz	RHP	24	AA	20
A: The power fastball essentially creates more big MLB K weapons.
D: This is a starting pitcher list, not a thrower list.
88	33	-55	Alex Santos II	Hou	LHP	20	A	6
A: Both sides of the spectrum grow into plus MLB SP as the spin keeps getting better.
D: Repeatability and commitment aren’t there.
89	74	-15	Xzavion Curry	Cle	RHP	24	AAA	13
A: The in-fashion fastball is going to take him a long way while other offerings sharpen.
D: The heavy create-a-fastball attack is going to fade fast in MLB.
90	66	-24	Justin Martinez	Arz	RHP	20	A	1
A: Get that top-shelf arm talent before it booms when he gets back.
D: There have been no signs this is headed where you hope.

Rank	Prev	+/-	Pitcher	Org	H	Age	Level	FanTrax Ros%
91	UR	N/A	A.J. Smith-Shawver	Atl	RHP	19	A	1
A: A premium ball of clay in great hands is headed to the top of Atlanta’s list.
D: Settle down.
92	UR	N/A	Andrew Hoffman	Atl	RHP	22	A+	1
A: Did Atlanta even know the high acumen upside here.
D: Rank the player, not the system. Don’t go crazy. He’s got nothing to play up in the zone.
93	UR	N/A	David Festa	Min	RHP	22	A+	3
A: Arsenal and developmental trajectory pointed toward big dynasty value coming soon.
D: Skinny loose cannons don’t deserve this kind of value.
94	UR	N/A	Brandon Walter	Bos	LHP	25	AAA	10
A: Developing the whole package needed to run through MLB lineups.
D: Lofty goals, but the talent is capped. Too many offerings MLB hitters will crush.
95	UR	N/A	Spencer Arrighetti	Hou	RHP	22	A+	0
A: The under (and over) hood darling is a contemporary MLB K machine.
D: The execution of all the high-brow tools isn’t getting to MLB SP caliber.
96	UR	N/A	Jared Shuster	Atl	LHP	23	AA	16
A: Volvos are going to be the new fantasy secret weapon. Get the ratio glue and QSs.
D: There is zero reason to invest here when you can get this on the wire whenever.
97	UR	N/A	Taylor Dollard	Sea	LHP	23	AA	3
A: This is a different look for MLB hitters who aren’t going to get pitches to hit.
D: The different profile works in the Texas League, but is too gimmicky for MLB.
98	UR	N/A	Bryce Miller	Sea	RHP	23	A+	5
A: A rich full starter’s arsenal is growing and getting harnessed.
D: Big college nasty is striking out high-A hitters. Big deal. The honeymoon’s already over.
99	UR	N/A	Cristian Mena	CWS	RHP	19	A+	2
A: All the ability to attack in a diverse manner you could ask for from a teenager.
D: The fastball will impede any big-time fantasy juice.
100	UR	N/A	Royber Salinas	Atl	RHP	21	A+	9
A: There’s MLB wipeout stuff tightening up to K monster level.
D: DeMarcus Evans once started in the minors and struck everyone out too.

Rank	Prev	+/-	Pitcher	Org	H	Age	Level	FanTrax Ros%
101	23	-78	Bryce Jarvis	Arz	RHP	24	AA	16
A: Some of the most impressive outings we’ve seen will become more frequent.
D: We’re still doing this? He doesn’t have it in him to be consistent enough. Period.
102	UR	N/A	Chayce McDermott	Hou	RHP	23	A+	1
A: Potential to be your type; full set of weapons used well, plus big velocity.
D: Secondary command isn’t going to get there.
103	UR	N/A	Ryan Feltner	Col	RHP	25	AAA	8
A: The uptick in stuff just needs a little more time to stick in the MLB.
D: Pedestrian Rockies SP = fantasy death.
104	UR	N/A	Norge Vera	CWS	RHP	22	A+	10
A: The big fastball is a cheat code that leads to more breaker production.
D: Make these kinds of bets on bigger arsenals.
105	71	-34	Jay Groome	Bos	LHP	23	AA	16
A: Ground himself into a lefty with a big bag of weapons he can optimize.
D: This is not exciting enough stuff.
106	UR	N/A	J.R. Carver	Arz	RHP	22	A+	0
A: Your prototype; two-axis weapons, high-level execution with budding swing and miss.
D: He can have his days, but the talent isn’t as rich as you hope.
107	UR	N/A	Victor Lizarraga	SD	RHP	18	A	1
A: This is the advanced consistency and pitch ability so many young arms lack.
D: Another one of these profiles destined to be nice, not great.
108	UR	N/A	Victor Juarez	Col	LHP	19	A	1
A: Doogie Howser/Dr. Frankenstein phenom-wizardry stuff good enough to master Coors.
D: You’re on drugs.
109	UR	N/A	Anthony Solometo	Pit	LHP	19	A	9
A: You like lefty nasty from these kinds of lefty angles, so what’s the problem?
D: This was a far-fetched Pirate dream. Put your risk bucks elsewhere.
110	47	-63	Alec Marsh	KC	RHP	24	AA	6
A: Write him off and it’s all tightened up putting up big MLB fantasy numbers next year.
D: Be happy if this gets wrangled to the point of helping in a MLB pen.

Rank	Prev	+/-	Pitcher	Org	H	Age	Level	FanTrax Ros%
111	UR	N/A	Porter Hodge	ChC	RHP	21	A	0
A: Foundation of full arsenal+budding pitchability+consistency=SP on the rise.
D: There’s a talent cap here and the arsenal gets MLB pedestrian at best.
112	UR	N/A	Jack Kochanowicz	LAA	RHP	21	A	3
A: The secondary command is coming along to create a rich starter’s toolbox.
D: The delivery has chronic issues.
113	61	-52	Andry Lara	Was	RHP	19	A	10
A: Just needs time and there are good signs. Big frontline stuff to grow into.
D: Body’s gonna be a problem but not as much as his inability to pitch.
114	UR	N/A	Ben Brown	Phi	RHP	22	A+	1
A: Big frame, big pitches, and legit execution create a pleasantly surprising fantasy asset.
D: This is already losing appeal and the fragile 22-year-old isn’t even in high minors yet.
115	108	-7	Simeon Woods-Richardson	Min	RHP	21	AA	26
A: Two big secondaries have exuded versatility and there’s a SP here with swing and miss upside.
D: There’s a reason he’s been traded this much. The repeatability is RP level at best.
116	97	-19	Mitchell Parker	Was	LHP	22	A+	1
A: High-end pitch ability with undersold weapons. This is your jam.
D: If this becomes an average MLB arm, you’re lucky.
117	UR	N/A	Frank Mozzicato	KC	LHP	19	A	15
A: The high-end lefty starter roots will grow into fantasy ace.
D: High-end lefty skills don’t grow in Kansas City.
118	UR	N/A	Zach Thompson	StL	LHP	24	AAA	21
A: All the first-round stuff is settling in to grab a St. Louis rotation spot.
D: The good stuff only flashes.
119	UR	N/A	Nick Nastrini	LAD	RHP	22	A+	4
A: The first-round caliber arsenal gets polished with the Dodgers.
D: Dodgers Groundhog’s Day. They have like four of these types better than him.
120	UR	N/A	Ryan Rolison	Col	LHP	24	IL	10
A: Big softer-tossing lefty who can spin it well might actually be a great fit in Colorado.
D: Coors.

Rank	Prev	+/-	Pitcher	Org	H	Age	Level	FanTrax Ros%
121	101	-20	Carmen Mlodzinski	Pit	RHP	23	AA	7
A: The Tasmanian devil’s toolbox is deep and he’s adding the K punch+polish.
D: This is too good a try at a back-end ace to mess around with starting.
122	UR	N/A	Kyle Nicolas	Pit	RHP	23	AA	3
A: One uptick in the execution of the high-end arsenal and it gets exciting.
D: He’s got the weaponry…to use in spurts as a reliever.
123	75	-48	Nick Swiney	SF	LHP	23	A+	5
A: This is the killer lefty changeup+ability to spin one you wish others could be.
D: The breaker’s quality is lacking and the whole thing is too loose.
124	51	-73	Angel Zerpa	KC	LHP	22	AA	3
A: Aggressive, all pressure on the hitter attack leads to K and efficiency rarity these days.
D: Small likelihood the stuff works with the attack at an MLB SP level.
125	UR	N/A	Mitch Bratt	Tex	LHP	19	A	1
A: Full starter’s arsenal in the making with MLB strikeout appeal.
D: He won’t spot breakers well enough to be the lefty threat you hope.
126	UR	N/A	Coleman Crow	LAA	RHP	21	AA	1
A: Cheat code pitch complimented+budding full arsenal makes for a dang good MLB SP.
D: Not enough velocity or other weapons to break past a RP outcome.
127	UR	N/A	Mike Vasil	NYM	RHP	22	A+	0
A: Full starter’s arsenal he can use in a variety of ways.
D: Too much going on in the big frame to execute consistently. Short a big weapon.
128	UR	N/A	Josue Panacual	NYY	RHP	20	A+	0
A: Plenty of crooked stuff executed well to start for the Yankees.
D: Lack of velocity is going to relegate him to a specialty reliever role.
129	UR	N/A	Justin Jarvis	Mil	RHP	22	A+	0
A: Nice size with a full starter’s arsenal moving in the right direction.
D: Consistent execution is a tall order here.
130	UR	N/A	Trent Palmer	Tor	RHP	23	AA	1
A: Slingshot Fastball/splitter attack has gotten more dynamic.
D: Great toolbox for a reliever. Not so much a starter.

Rank	Prev	+/-	Pitcher	Org	H	Age	Level	FanTrax Ros%
131	UR	N/A	Robert Gasser	SD	LHP	23	A+	4
A: Big slider can carry what might be a very poor man’s Harrison-type gamble.
D: One trick ponies can do well in high-A, but this isn’t an MLB SP gamble you want.
132	UR	N/A	Sem Robberse	Tor	RHP	20	A+	2
A: This is the young advanced guy who’s one uptick in stuff away from big value
D: Not getting swing and miss juice here.
133	UR	N/A	Noel Vela	SD	LHP	23	A+	0
A: Three dangerous weapons with plus spin from the left side holding MLB K juice.
D: Lefty reliever could happen, but the execution isn’t getting there.
134	UR	N/A	Joe Rock	Col	LHP	21	A+	1
A: Growing, legit, three-pitch attack from a lengthy left-hand slot holds fantasy appeal.
D: Rockies pitching prospects aren’t a fantasy thing.
135	UR	N/A	Wikelman Gonzalez	Bos	RHP	20	A	4
A: The running mates will catch up to the fastball with easy velocity.
D: The secondary execution is going in the wrong direction.
136	53	-83	Peyton Battenfield	Cle	RHP	24	AAA	21
A: This dream is a cousin of Joe Ryan’s MLB success.
D: I’m gonna go nap now.
137	95	-42	Cole Wilcox	TB	RHP	23	IL	15
A: He’ll catch up quickly upon return with plenty of resources to ride the FB/SLD to MLB SP.
D: No third pitch. No health. No dice.
138	UR	N/A	Robinson Pina	LAA	RHP	23	A+	1
A: Three-pitch attack holds legit MLB K upside.
D: Attack lacks the dimension and precision to carve out a starter’s role.
139	UR	N/A	Luis Devers	ChC	RHP	22	A+	1
A: Budding SP profile with swing-and-miss stuff on the come-up.
D: Sitting in single-A cruising by with the FB/CHG because that’s all he really has.
140	UR	N/A	Marco Raya	Min	RHP	19	A	3
A: The roots of a big fastball are planted, and the spin game is ahead of its time.
D: The fastball has velocity but isn’t good. Be happy with a RP from the tiny frame.

Rank	Prev	+/-	Pitcher	Org	H	Age	Level	FanTrax Ros%
141	77	-64	Slade Cecconi	Arz	RHP	23	AA	13
A: When it all settles, the high-end arsenal will lead to fantasy stud.
D: Where’s the elite repertoire been? And he’s on the mend again. Let it go.
142	UR	N/A	Edinson Batista	Hou	RHP	20	A	0
A: He’s better than the Astros’ current crop of spin doctors were at this age.
D: Yes, spinning it well at single-A works. Don’t reach. Rank the player, not the system.
143	UR	N/A	Emmet Sheehan	LAD	RHP	22	A+	1
A: Coveted contemporary fastball will rutter the development into Dodgers’ starter.
D: There’s a nice pitch he can maybe ride into a reliever role.
144	92	-52	Aaron Davenport	Cle	RHP	22	A+	0
A: Dangerous secondaries+improving fastball+the whole thing taming down is exciting.
D: The high octane delivery wreaks of RP execution at best.
145	UR	N/A	Juan Carela	NYY	RHP	20	A	1
A: There’s a potential cheat code pitch brewing with compliments behind it.
D: A bunch of poorly commanded, good sliders in A-ball isn’t anything to get excited about.
146	UR	N/A	Shane Drohan	Bos	LHP	23	A+	1
A: Some breaking ball polish away from significant dynasty juice.
D: Another lefty who can’t spin it.
147	88	-59	Jean Pinto	Bal	RHP	21	A+	1
A: Advanced command of all kinds of frisbees has an exciting outcome.
D: The lack of quality fastball sabotages the whole dream.
148	UR	N/A	Nick Zwack	NYM	LHP	23	A+	0
A: Aggressive execution monster with the subtly deceptive hard stuff to get Ks.
D: This thing hits a wall hard in the uppers levels.
149	UR	N/A	Jose Butto	NYM	RHP	24	AA	4
A: The fantastic FB/CHG combo is a solid MLB SP foundation to go from.
D: Weapon shy of a legit MLB starter.
150	UR	N/A	Adrian Chaidez	Hou	RHP	23	AA	0
A: Big FB/giant CHG differential+Houston’s help spinning one turns fantasy stud.
D: Be happy if the college RP goes MLB RP.

Feature image by Michael Packard (@CollectingPack on Twitter)

23 responses to “Top 150 Pitching Prospects”

JOSUE says:

July 8, 2022 at 11:12 AM

what about Matt Allan?

- Nate Handy says:
  
  July 8, 2022 at 11:32 AM
  
  I mentioned him in the intro and why he isn’t on the list.
  
Burrowed in ER says:

July 8, 2022 at 1:14 PM

Mike Burrows has had some clunkers in AAA. You expect him to bounce back im guessing? You’re one of my favorite dynasty authors so thank you!

- Nate Handy says:
  
  July 8, 2022 at 1:33 PM
  
  Thanks! That’s mighty kind of you. I’m not shocked he’s hit some bumps at his new level. In a way, good, I’m glad. I happen to think the caliber of AAA lineups is a significant difference than AA. He’s still a guy amidst some big time progression. So again, not shocked, not concerned unless he doesn’t learn or can’t tighten it up to get good hitters out consistently. I’ve become fairly skeptical of certain types of pitcher’s lack of production, in AAA especially. Guys like Liberatore, Winn, Cavalli, Burrows, and hopefully Balazovic, those challenges bring about good things or are even brought upon themselves as they challenge themselves to get better. Now if we’re talking guys like maybe Jameson, Nelson, Hall…their lack of statistical production might mean a little more to me. Burrows has some relatively new weaponry, and there’s prudence and time that can come along with learning how to use it.
  
- Nate Handy says:
  
  July 8, 2022 at 1:34 PM
  
  I know one of his lines was sneaky bad/good. He was lights out for 4 and then got blown up in the 5th. Is thata good or bad outing? I lean great sign.
  
Eric says:

July 8, 2022 at 9:12 PM

Andrew Hunter?

- Nate Handy says:
  
  July 8, 2022 at 9:29 PM
  
  Do tell. I can’t say I know who that is.
  
  - Eric says:
    
    July 9, 2022 at 9:54 PM
    
    Meant Andrew Painted, and I see now you mentioned him earlier. My bad!
    
    - Nate Handy says:
      
      July 9, 2022 at 10:12 PM
      
      Oh yeah him. I definitely heard of him. He was actually broadcast today. Probably going to watch it and include it in my weekly review article on Monday.
      
Me says:

July 9, 2022 at 3:58 AM

What happened to Trevor hooth? ? Sorry I had to

Bob says:

July 9, 2022 at 10:09 AM

I see Griff McGarry is not included. Is that because you did not see him or because you feel he doesn’t merit being in your top 150?

- Nate Handy says:
  
  July 9, 2022 at 10:35 AM
  
  I have watched a few outings. Cut up some video and shared some thoughts in a weekly review a little ways back. He was definitely considered and could easily be on here. End of the day for me, as this is my best go at hunting starting pitchers, I’m not sold he finds the consistent execution to get a MLB SP try. Of course it can tighten up and that changes the game big time. No denying the K possibilities, but he’s just too far in the direction of the type I’m not valuing much. Yet anyways. Joe Boyle, same story. If this wasn’t a strict SP hunt, they’d both be in there.
  
Sean says:

July 9, 2022 at 1:14 PM

No Gunnar Hoglund. Still recovering so not able to rank?

- Nate Handy says:
  
  July 9, 2022 at 3:31 PM
  
  Yeah. Haven’t been able to see him yet.
  
patrick.vereb@gmail.com says:

July 9, 2022 at 1:57 PM

Thoughts on Matt Canterino MIN? He was rolling through 34 IP before begin shut down (again).

- Nate Handy says:
  
  July 9, 2022 at 3:34 PM
  
  The likelihood of him being able to stay on the mound long enough to start was too low for me to put on a SP hunt. Think the wheels were already in motion to try and go a multi inning reliever with him. And tbh, he’s never really been one of my favorites. Too much going on for my tastes.
  
CW says:

July 12, 2022 at 10:52 AM

Have you seen Mason Erla?

- Nate Handy says:
  
  July 12, 2022 at 10:58 AM
  
  No, not yet anyways. Do tell. I’ve probably spent more time watching Rocket City arms than any other team that I admittedly get a little worried I’m doing it too much. Angels just have so many new guys on the full season scene I wanna see what’s cooking.
  
  - CW says:
    
    July 12, 2022 at 11:07 AM
    
    I like his size and the fastball appears to have a high spin rate sitting at 94-96. I’m uncertain on the offspeed stuff and need to watch another start. Only reason he was on my radar is he’s a fellow Michigan State grad.
    
    - Nate Handy says:
      
      July 12, 2022 at 11:17 AM
      
      Right on. Sparty? Gross. Go Bucky :)
      
      - CW says:
        
        July 12, 2022 at 11:45 AM
        
        We can still be friends
        
        
        CW says:
        
        July 14, 2022 at 12:33 PM
        
        Erla pitching tonight
John says:

July 18, 2022 at 3:23 PM

Nate, check out Noah Cameron. KC A+. Would love to hear your thoughts. Great work here.

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Top 150 Pitching Prospects

Nate Handy

23 responses to “Top 150 Pitching Prospects”

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