What is happening. I’m continuing last week’s shift in format as I’m ranking the Top 100 Starting Pitchers for the rest of the season while including their estimated ROS schedule. Check out last week’s article for a refresher on how this is being done, and now let’s look at an updated strength of schedule table as I’ve made a few changes -remember, I’ve sorted teams into five tiers of Top, Good, Average, Weak, and Bottom.
[table id=38 /]
Here are the small changes I made:
- Washington is now a Weak offense as they have been horrid without Bryce Harper on their squad,
- With Justin Upton heading out of Detroit, the Tigers are a poor team and have moved to the bottom ranks.
- Meanwhile, the Angels have added Upton and have been bumped to the average tier.
Alright, there have been some injuries this week that I didn’t fully update on (Archer, Arrieta, Scherzer, etc.) so keep those in mind as you read this table. Also, this ranking did not take into account any games from September 4th.
[table id=41 /]
- Aaron Nola had to take a hit after three of his last four starts have been far from his normal self. I’m still sticking to my guns and I don’t think this is the end of the line for his 2017 season. Still, arms like Keuchel, Gray, and Godley all have better schedules and deserved the nod above him.
- There’s still no word about Luis Severino’s September schedule, so let’s hope he doesn’t get shut down in the final weeks of the year.
- Both Lance McCullers and Danny Salazar return this week and with great ROS schedules. Keep in mind that their first start may be a little shaky (DLH and all), but thy are still solid plays.
- I’m worried about both Gerrit Cole and Alex Wood down the stretch as they have both shown weakness as of late. Here’s to hoping Wood gets hi velocity up and Cole can overcome three tough matchups in the Cubs, Reds, and Cardinals.
- Garrett Richards returns on Tuesday to face the A’s, though he’ll be limited to just 50 pitches. He’ll also have to face the Astros twice, but there’s major upside at play that can’t be overlooked.
- Six remaining starts from Mark Leiter Jr. makes him an intriguing play for desperate teams, especially when all are lower tiers save for a date against the Dodgers.
- Joining The List this week are Jakob Junis and Rafael Montero. Both pitchers have performed well as of late, and with their average schedules rest of the way, they should be considered.
- Leaving The List this are Brad Peacock, Hyun-Jin Ryu, Matt Moore, Jerad Eickhoff, and Michael Fulmer. The latter two have suffered injuries that have taken them off the field, while Peacock is getting displaced by the new addition of Justin Verlander. The Giants may be going to a six-man rotation, making the inconsistent Moore have only four starts left and not a good option for the road ahead. With a healthy Dodgers rotation incoming, it’s tough to see many starts remaining for Ryu, making him a worse arm to trust in the final month and not worth it to be held over someone like Luis Castillo who has just one start left against the Brewers but with plenty of upside even if it is just one start.
Why are you so low on The Dirty Cheerleader? His ROS schedule isn’t too bad, so I’m surprised to see guys like Manaea and Taillon ranked above him.
Hey man! Sorry I wasn’t able to get back to you before about Nelson.
High WHIP + low IPS = limited ceiling. It is really close with Manaea, Taillon, Roark, Hendricks, etc.
No worries, I know how busy you are! I started him and it turned out quite well.
And that’s what I figured in regards to Pomeranz. I may hold him just based on his ROS schedule, the fact that Manaea doesn’t look quite right, and because Taillon vs. MIL makes me nervous (however, I think his matchup against the Cubs next will be quite telling as to future performance).
Taillon vs the Brewers shouldn’t make you that nervous…
Yo Nick! Thoughts on Brandon Woodruff for a deep league pickup for next week?
He’s expected to have two starts against the Pirates and Marlins and while I think he’s not a bad streaming option for the Pirates, I’d have some hesitation trusting him against the likes of Stanton, Ozuna and Co.
If you need the two starts, you could do worse than Woodruff.
Man this is super helpful. Thanks!
Any plans from any one on the site to write up on the best underrated/lesser owned pitchers to stream for the playoffs?
no Urena? looking at Dan Strailys ROS matchups, seems Jose should make your top 100. or maybe I’m an idiot and should drop him for kirk gibson. thanks-good stuff!
I really dislike Urena, over 5.00 FIP/xFIP, under 7.00 K/9…it’s not a great gamble in my mind even with a decent schedule ahead.
Not sure how you get Maeda’s matchups. Given he’s got ARZ today (9/6) and the LAD six-man rotation, it looks like he’s @SFG (9/12), @PHI (9/19) and SDP (9/25). Not much different, but still.
You’re totally right. Six-man rotation messes it up a little bit and I’ll look into this for Monday’s update.
Great, thanks. But since we started talking about this, it sounds like LAD will go back to a five-man rotation “at some point” to set up for the playoffs, and Maeda might get bumped. Real MLB messing with our fantasy game! Good luck figuring this out!