Every Monday during the season, I will be releasing “The List” where I rank the current value of the Top 100 pitchers in fantasy baseball for the rest of the season. Use these rankings to help understand what to expect from pitchers for 2017 and as a tool to gauge trade value in your fantasy leagues.
Let’s see how the SP landscape has changed:
- Even with his solid outing on Sunday, I’ve reconsidered my stance on Jake Arrieta as his sporadic command is reducing my confidence that he can return to be a solid #2 for your squad. There is no question, he should be owned and will perform well, but there are other guys that are showing more consistency and have room to grow that deserve to be ahead of Arrieta.
- The second half schedule of Jeff Hoffman and Jon Gray are much better than anticipated, with 75% of their outings looking favorable, even with Coors as their home field. Considering the question marks surrounding the players behind them, they get a jump to the mid 40s.
- We’ve gotten to the point that we simply can’t overlook other options if owning Johnny Cueto. He should be owned in all 12-teamers, but he’s no longer a desirable asset as we wait for him to kick it into gear.
- So I guess Kenta Maeda is back in the Dodgers rotation? It’s a difficult call between Rich Hill and Maeda as Hill was as dominant as we’ve ever seen him over the weekend while Maeda has had more constant production during his starts. Dave Roberts, why do you do this to me.
- Around #60 becomes the “why not?” portion of The List where it’s all about possible streamers and high upside plays. Charlie Morton is returning this week, making him a good stash play, along with Luis Castillo, who could see great things in the second half. The rankings at this point fluctuate often as it’s about finding the hot lottery ticket to chase instead of getting consistent production.
- Many more DL moves have shifted the ranks, including Danny Duffy returning on Tuesday. Trevor Cahill finally returns and while DLH clearly applies, he’s not a bad stash play.
- Others making their way into the Top 100 this week are Luke Weaver, Nick Pivetta, Jerad Eickhoff, and Kevin Gausman. Weaver was called up by the Cardinals and most likely will be in relief but could find a way to start in time. Pivetta has proven himself as a streaming option while his teammate Eickhoff returns this week. Gausman has improved in his last three starts and while I’m not buying a full on recovery, it is to be noted.
- Leaving The List this week are Drew Smyly, Matt Strahm, Chase Anderson, Joe Biagini, and Jordan Zimmermann. The former trio all were hit with serious injuries that make them not worth a roster spot – 4-6 weeks for Anderson is too long to consider a stash half way. Biagini’s time in the rotation is set to end with Aaron Sanchez’s return and JZ just isn’t worth your time.
Nice list…as usual. Wacha at 71? Seems a bit much…. do you see Weaver, who’s gonna be pitch/inning count regulated, taking Wacha’s spot? Given Wacha is a 5-6 inning guy.
I have Vargas. I know he’s ranked lower than Duffy but he’s been so consistent. Do you really think it’s worth dropping Vargas for Duffy?
Follow up, when would you make the switch if you did? I have Kersh, Wood, Paxton, Manaea, and Vargas on my roto 12 team and I lead the league in almost all pitching stats so I want to make sure it’s the right move.
I absolutely love this site and it’s my go to for rankings throughout the season. I have to say though I think Robbie Ray needs to be higher on the list. I’ll admit the walks hold him back a bit but a 3.06 ERA and top 5 in Ks makes me believe he should sit in the 20-25 range at the lowest.
Your site is my primary resource, thanks for the help!
How does this trade look? Trading away JA Happ and Archer for Kluber. Am I giving away too much? This is H2H Points. My other pitchers are: Scherzer, Tanaka, Nola, Nelson, Berrios, Paxton, J Montgomery, Fulmer and Morton on the DL.
With that many arms, dealing for Kluber is the right thing to do. I’d try to swap Tanaka for Happ if possible, but I think that deal is good for you.
You seem to be one of the only experts out there properly dealing with Cueto’s underperforming season. I had a chance to off load him for Straily last week (when you had them as even). I ended up holding. The thought was potential upside for ROS. As the season rolls on, he will become a spot start based on matchups guy for me.
I hope he can get back into form.
I think Luis Castillo is gonna be your Folty 2016.
Let’s hope not, but there are a few reasons why I think this won’t be like my love for Folty in 2015:
– Better mechanics
– Better Fastball command + consistent velocity
– Better #2 pitch (his Changeup)
It’s still super early for Castillo, but I think this is a little different than Folty.
Hopefully he keeps those walks down like that last start. He’s got pretty good track record in the minors for limiting walls. I just worry about that ballpark tied to potential for poor control. Crazy swinging strike ratios so far…unrelated why isn’t Godley owned everywhere? Only 57%? Keep up the good work. Love how the site has grown over last few years.
Thanks man! Yeah, crazy to see my baby grow over time!
I think last night’s start against the Dodgers will be the last push to get him over 66%. We’ll see.
Can you fill me in on J.A. Happ? He’s almost cracking the top 25 and I’m not entirely sure why. His FIP sits almost a full run over his ERA, the HR rate is concerning, and his LOB is at an absurd 81%. The only encouraging stat I can find is that he averages almost a K per inning. Is there something here that I’m missing?