The List 7/8 – Ranking The Top 100 Starting Pitchers Every Week

The List

Rank Change Pitcher Labels
1 T1 - Max Scherzer
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
2 - Justin Verlander
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
3 - Chris Sale
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
4 - Gerrit Cole
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
5 - Jacob deGrom
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
6 - Blake Snell
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
7 T2 - Hyun-Jin Ryu
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
8 - Walker Buehler
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
9 - Luis Castillo
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
10 - Charlie Morton
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
11 - Trevor Bauer
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
12 - Aaron Nola
Aces Gonna Ace
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
13 - Stephen Strasburg
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
14 - Zack Greinke
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
15 - Clayton Kershaw
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
16 +2 Patrick Corbin
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
17 +2 Mike Clevinger
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
18 -2 David Price
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
19 UR Caleb Smith
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
20 +1 Matt Boyd
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
21 T3 -4 Jose Berrios
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Cherry Bomb
22 -2 James Paxton
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
23 - Shane Bieber
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Cherry Bomb
24 -2 Lucas Giolito
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
25 -1 Mike Minor
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
26 - Brandon Woodruff
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
27 +2 Lance Lynn
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
28 -1 Chris Paddack
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
Stash Option
29 T4 -1 Mike Soroka
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
30 +4 Kenta Maeda
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
31 +4 Madison Bumgarner
Ace Potential
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
32 +6 Domingo German
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
33 -3 Zack Wheeler
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
34 -9 Noah Syndergaard
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
35 T5 +1 Andrew Heaney
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
36 +1 Kyle Hendricks
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
37 -5 Griffin Canning
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
38 -5 Jack Flaherty
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
39 - Kyle Gibson
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
40 - Masahiro Tanaka
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
41 - Brendan McKay
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
42 - Yonny Chirinos
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
43 - German Marquez
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
44 - Robbie Ray
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
45 +5 Eduardo Rodriguez
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
46 +5 Joe Musgrove
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
47 +7 Sonny Gray
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Cherry Bomb
Ratio Focused
48 -3 Max Fried
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
49 +3 Anibal Sanchez
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
50 -4 Zac Gallen
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Stash Option
51 -3 Yu Darvish
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
52 -5 Ross Stripling
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
53 T6 -4 Zach Eflin
Strikeout Upside
Toby
Ratio Focused
54 +2 Wade Miley
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
55 - Joey Lucchesi
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
56 +4 Dinelson Lamet
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
57 - Jon Gray
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
58 +5 Marcus Stroman
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Cherry Bomb
Toby
Ratio Focused
59 -6 Dylan Cease
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Stash Option
60 -2 Nick Pivetta
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
61 +5 Tyler Mahle
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
62 -3 Zach Plesac
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
63 -1 Elieser Hernandez
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
64 +1 Jon Lester
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
65 -1 Miles Mikolas
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
66 +1 Dallas Keuchel
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
67 +1 Chris Archer
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
68 +16 Bryse Wilson
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
69 T7 +1 Jose Quintana
Injury Risk
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
70 +4 John Means
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
71 - Matt Strahm
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
72 +11 Michael Pineda
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
73 +9 J. A. Happ
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
74 -13 Jordan Lyles
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
75 -6 Sandy Alcantara
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
76 +5 Jason Vargas
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
77 -5 Dakota Hudson
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
78 -3 Mike Fiers
Toby
Ratio Focused
79 -2 Merrill Kelly
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
80 -2 Tanner Roark
Toby
Streaming Option
81 -8 Trevor Williams
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
82 +3 Steven Matz
Strikeout Upside
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
83 +3 Anthony DeSclafani
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
84 +4 Martin Perez
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
85 T8 -6 Tommy Milone
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
86 +4 Jordan Yamamoto
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
87 +4 Zach Davies
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
88 +7 Julio Teheran
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
89 +7 Dylan Bundy
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
90 -14 Chris Bassitt
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Streaming Option
91 UR CC Sabathia
Injury Risk
Low Ips
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
92 UR Andrew Cashner
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
93 -13 Trevor Richards
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
94 -5 Adrian Sampson
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
95 +2 Drew Pomeranz
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
96 +2 Vince Velasquez
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
97 -3 Rick Porcello
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
98 UR Adam Wainwright
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
99 - Michael Wacha
Injury Risk
Toby
Ratio Focused
100 UR Yusei Kikuchi
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused

Labels Legend

Aces Gonna Ace
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low IPS
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
Stash Option

 

Fringe Starters

 

Pitcher Why They Missed The Cut
Jesus Luzardo I’ve moved stashes to Fringe Pitchers. Luzardo would be Top 50 if up now.
Danny Duffy Not the worst option and one of the last off The List
Daniel Norris There isn’t enough upside to chase this
Gio Gonzalez On the IL with “dead arm” – He’s a Toby
Jake Odorizzi On the IL with a blister issue – Top 45 SP
Carlos Carrasco On the IL with leukemia, likely out all year (get well soon) – Top 20 SP
Corey Kluber On the IL with a forearm injury – Top 10 SP
Jameson Taillon On the IL with an elbow injury – Top 25 SP
Tyler Glasnow On the IL with forearm strain – Top 25 SP
Luke Weaver On the IL with a forearm strain – Top 35 SP
Brad Peacock On the IL with a shoulder injury – Top 60 SP
Rich Hill On the IL with flexor strain – Top 40 SP
Pablo Lopez On the IL with back injury – Top 60 SP
Spencer Turnbull On the IL with a shoulder injury – Top 60 SP
Cole Hamels On the IL with an oblique injury – Top 45 SP
Jake Arrieta Likely to hit the IL with a bone spur – He’s a fringe Toby in the first place
Daniel Mengden One of the last cut – he’s a Toby at best
Frankie Montas Suspended 80 games
Mike Foltynewicz Demoted to Triple-A – Top 60 SP
Mitch Keller Demoted to Triple-A – Top 60 SP
Jimmy Nelson Demoted to bullpen
Trent Thornton The strikeout upside is interesting, but it’s too low of a floor
Jake Junis Too volatile to trust despite a tinge of strikeout upside
Luis Severino The recent injury news sets him back to mid-August hopefully. He’ll be Top 15 then.
Alex Wood I’m just going to wait until he’s back to properly rank him. Most likely in the 50s.
Danny Salazar Not sure when he returns, he’d be a Top 60 SP when he starts again
Jhoulys Chacin Even his recent stretch isn’t worth the floor
Ivan Nova Just not enough upside and while he’s a decent streamer, it’s never for a high ceiling.

 

What is happening!

It’s another week and another edition of the Top 100 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball.

Before I dive into the player notes, here’s an outline of how I’m handling The List this season:

  • Previous/Best/Worst columns removed
    • These took a heavy chunk of loading time and ultimately provided very little value. The change arrows themselves are all that’s needed
  • Tiers added
    • As much as I hate making tiers (When do they start and end? How big are the cliffs?), ya’ll have been asking for them and I’m here for all of you. Please understand how hard it is to accurately place them and don’t get too worked up about it.
  • Labels added
    • There’s often confusion as to why a pitcher is a spot or two above or below another. These labels should help understand what each pitcher brings to the table, showing that some pitchers may be better or worse for what you need.
    • Hover over them (or tap on mobile) to see each label’s name next to the pitcher.
    • Ratio Focused = Their value lies in you chasing their ERA/WHIP more than strikeouts and Wins.
    • TobyBoring arm that doesn’t excite you, but you stare at the waiver wire and accept that he just okay enough. You don’t like that he’s around the office, but he gets his work done.
    • Cherry Bomb = Volatile pitchers who are either “super sweet” or “blow up in your face.” Heed warning.
    • Ace Potential = I define an ace as: 3.40 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 24% K rate, 6.0 IPS. It’s why you see some surprising names as having the upside of an ace.
  • Fringe Starters added
    • There are always a handful of starters I badly want to add to The List but I don’t have enough room. I’ll always have this table at the end for a collection of starters – in no order – that I also heavily considered, as well as why they could be relevant
    • This will be where IL Players will land. I’ll mention where they would slot when healthy.

Please let me know how you feel about these changes and I’m looking forward to another fun year assessing the wonderful entity that is the SP Landscape.

On to the notes! Remember, these ranks are for 12-teamers in H2H categories leagues.

 

Player Notes

 

  • This might be the least significant edition of the year, with very few changes overall, especially in the Top 50. Caleb Smith returned from the IL and deserves a Top 20 spot and with both Patrick Corbin and Mike Clevinger properly getting adjusted, David Price gets an unfortunate and undeserved drop.
  • It’s time to serve Noah Syndergaard some punishment for his lack of execution, falling to #34 despite his Top 10 upside. I can see Zack Wheeler getting into a more consistent groove, giving him the slight edge, while Kenta Maeda, Madison Bumgarnerand Domingo German each seemingly stronger plays
  • I elected to shove all other “must own” arms into Tier 5 and as I sat trying to find a good place to end the tier, I eventually let it go until Eflin, who doesn’t present Top 35 upside.
  • It gets really dicey beginning in the 50s and honestly, if you believe that someone in the 60s or 70s deserves more love, I don’t blame you. Tier 6 is all about trying to find someone who could theoretically demand a Top 50 spot, with the names after getting much less convincing quickly.
  • Bryse Wilson is one of borderline Tier 6 names as he has the stuff to make a larger impact, but hasn’t flexed his muscles yet in the bigs. There’s talent there, but it may not be worth your time to chase while he figures it out.
  • With Michael Pineda showcasing 94 mph velocity, we have to start considering him again. Matt Strahm actually pitched plenty better than his recent shellacking, if you can believe it, and there’s still time for J.A. Happ to provide for your team.
  • I had to give a drop to Jordan Lyles who really hasn’t looked good since coming off the IL. It could change soon, but for now, he gets a drop.
  • CC Sabathia, Andrew Cashner, Adam Wainwrightand Yusei Kikuchi are all far away from being dependable assets, but they each have a hint of being something decent at the moment, so sure, why not, welcome to The List.
  • The magic surrounding Trevor Richards and Chris Bassitt is beginning to fade. Look for other options on the wire if you’re still holding on.

(Photo by Justin Paradis – @FreshmeatComm)

Nick Pollack

Founder of PitcherList.com. Rotographs and Washington Post contributor and has worked with CBS Sports, Grantland, and SB Nation. Former pitching coach and Brandeis alum.

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Comments


chris

Why the continuous love for Andrew Heaney? The K rate is nice but his peripherals seem in line with how he’s pitching with an era around 5.00. Am I missing something?

Also any indicators on this strange breakthrough for Lance Lynn, any reason in particular he suddenly looks like a top 30 SP this season with the 9+ k/9

Love the work you guys do. Keep up the good work and thanks in advance.

Frankie

Does Wheeler’s ranking have any of the trade rumors baked in? Or is this strictly based on him finishing the year with the Mets?

John

In your notes on Carrasco you state he is likely done for 2019, so you feel it is safe now to drop in redraft? Not worth the hold just in case?

Ed

Someone in my dynasty league (keep as many as you want w/contracts) dropped Carrasco. I have been sitting on #1 waiver priority. Should I use it on him. Contract is through 2022. Thanks.

Kyle

I would go get him, Ed. As Nick says, the guy is Top 20 when healthy. Worth a shot for sure.

rainmaker

Also, what does ratio focused mean? I always imagined it meant someone like Keuchel who pitched to weak contact but I see it combined quite often with K upside. Why does Pomeranz and Cashner get the label but not Lyles or Musgrove?

Haddy

Trevor Williams at 81 seems about 60 spots too low to me. Or at least that’s what I will keep telling myself since I recently traded Yordan Alvarez for him straight up in a dynasty league.

Brad R

I’m curious each week why you continue to give the Cherry Bomb label to Chirinos.

Five guys on my team I have zero quibbles with where you rank them and with my staff overall, but this just does not feel accurate.

If we are defining a “bomb” as a start with a 6+ ERA he’s had 2 all year. He’s had 6 straight quality starts, with the lowest Gsc being 51. 10 of his 12 starts are above 50.

Isn’t this the profile of a Toby and possibly reaching Spiderman levels? Ratio focused QS machine that has a low ceiling (will never be much past 8 k/9) on Ks sounds exactly like a Toby

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