The List 7/29 – Ranking The Top 100 Starting Pitchers Every Monday

The List

Rank Change Pitcher Labels
1 T1 +1 Justin Verlander
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
2 +1 Gerrit Cole
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
3 +1 Chris Sale
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
4 +1 Jacob deGrom
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
5 T2 +2 Hyun-Jin Ryu
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
6 +2 Walker Buehler
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
7 +2 Luis Castillo
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
8 +3 Clayton Kershaw
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
9 +3 Zack Greinke
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
10 +3 Charlie Morton
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
11 +3 Stephen Strasburg
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
12 +4 Patrick Corbin
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
13 +4 Mike Clevinger
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
14 -4 Trevor Bauer
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
15 +3 Shane Bieber
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
16 -1 Aaron Nola
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
17 T3 +2 David Price
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
18 +2 Caleb Smith
Aces Gonna Ace
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
19 +2 Matt Boyd
Aces Gonna Ace
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
20 +6 Lance Lynn
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
21 +1 Jose Berrios
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
22 +1 Lucas Giolito
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
23 +1 Domingo German
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
24 +1 Madison Bumgarner
Ace Potential
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
25 T4 +2 Noah Syndergaard
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
26 +2 Chris Paddack
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
Stash Option
27 +5 Sonny Gray
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
28 +3 Kyle Hendricks
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
29 - James Paxton
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
30 - Mike Minor
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
31 UR Zack Wheeler
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
32 T5 +1 Kenta Maeda
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
33 +1 Mike Soroka
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
34 +2 Jack Flaherty
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
35 - Yu Darvish
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
36 +1 Robbie Ray
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
37 UR Brendan McKay
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
38 T6 +5 Eduardo Rodriguez
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
39 +1 Griffin Canning
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
40 -2 Yonny Chirinos
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
41 +7 German Marquez
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
42 +5 Wade Miley
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
43 +1 Marcus Stroman
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
44 +2 Kyle Gibson
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
45 -6 Jake Odorizzi
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Toby
46 +5 Dinelson Lamet
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
47 T7 +13 Jose Urquidy
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
48 +8 Reynaldo Lopez
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
49 +8 Asher Wojciechowski
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
50 +8 Anthony DeSclafani
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
51 +3 Zac Gallen
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Stash Option
52 - Zach Plesac
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
53 UR Max Fried
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
54 -1 Jon Gray
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
55 -6 Chris Archer
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
56 -14 Masahiro Tanaka
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
57 +2 Kevin Gausman
Injury Risk
Quality Starts
Toby
58 -3 Dylan Cease
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Stash Option
59 -18 Joe Musgrove
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
60 +1 Michael Pineda
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
61 +1 Joey Lucchesi
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
62 T8 +5 Dallas Keuchel
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
63 +3 Anibal Sanchez
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
64 +5 Mike Fiers
Toby
Ratio Focused
65 UR Alex Wood
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
66 -16 Merrill Kelly
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
67 -3 Tyler Beede
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Streaming Option
68 -5 Miles Mikolas
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
69 -1 Jon Lester
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
70 +1 J. A. Happ
Injury Risk
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
71 +1 Jose Quintana
Injury Risk
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
72 T9 UR Brad Keller
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
73 +14 Steven Matz
Strikeout Upside
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
74 +14 Julio Teheran
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
75 +23 Trevor Williams
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
76 -2 Ryan Yarbrough
Playing Time Question
Toby
Streaming Option
77 UR Aaron Sanchez
Strikeout Upside
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
78 UR Elieser Hernandez
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
79 -14 Jordan Lyles
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
80 UR Pedro Payano
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
81 +3 Jeff Samardzija
Injury Risk
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
82 +19 Marco Gonzales
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
83 -6 Jake Junis
Strikeout Upside
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
84 -9 Cal Quantrill
Playing Time Question
Toby
Streaming Option
85 +15 Gio Gonzalez
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
86 +9 Danny Duffy
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
87 T10 -8 Andrew Cashner
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
88 -3 Zach Davies
Strikeout Upside
Low Ips
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
89 +4 Tanner Roark
Toby
Streaming Option
90 -17 Zach Eflin
Strikeout Upside
Toby
Ratio Focused
91 +5 Martin Perez
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
92 -9 Jordan Yamamoto
Playing Time Question
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
93 -15 Adam Wainwright
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
94 -5 Chris Bassitt
Strikeout Upside
Playing Time Question
Streaming Option
95 UR Jason Vargas
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
96 UR Mike Leake
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
97 -11 Dylan Bundy
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Streaming Option
98 +1 Jake Arrieta
Quality Starts
Toby
Ratio Focused
99 -7 Tommy Milone
Strikeout Upside
Cherry Bomb
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
100 UR Kyle Freeland
Ace Potential
Strikeout Upside
Quality Starts
Ratio Focused

Labels Legend

Aces Gonna Ace
Ace Potential
Injury Risk
Strikeout Upside
Low IPS
Quality Starts
Playing Time Question
Cherry Bomb
Toby
Ratio Focused
Streaming Option
Stash Option

 

Fringe Starters

 

Pitcher Why They Missed The Cut
Jesus Luzardo I’ve moved stashes to Fringe Pitchers. Luzardo would be Top 50 if up now.
Daniel Norris There isn’t enough upside to chase this
Nick Pivetta Demoted to the bullpen
Max Scherzer On the IL with a back injury – The #1 SP when he returns
Andrew Heaney On the IL with a shoulder injury – Top 40 SP
John Means On the IL with biceps injury – Top 80 SP (he’s a Toby)
Tyler Mahle On the IL with a hamstring injury – Top 70 SP
Spencer Turnbull On the IL with back injury – Top 70 SP
Carlos Carrasco On the IL with leukemia – Top 20 SP
Corey Kluber On the IL with a forearm injury – Top 10 SP
Jameson Taillon On the IL with an elbow injury – Top 25 SP
Tyler Glasnow On the IL with forearm strain – Top 25 SP
Luke Weaver On the IL with a forearm strain – Top 35 SP
Brad Peacock On the IL with a shoulder injury – Top 60 SP
Rich Hill On the IL with flexor strain – Top 40 SP
Pablo Lopez On the IL with back injury – Top 60 SP
Cole Hamels On the IL with an oblique injury – Top 45 SP
Brandon Woodruff On the IL with an oblique injury – Top 30 SP
Daniel Mengden One of the last cut – he’s a Toby at best
Frankie Montas Suspended 80 games
Matt Strahm Demoted to bullpen…for now.
Michael Wacha Demoted to bullpen
Mike Foltynewicz Demoted to Triple-A – Top 60 SP
Mitch Keller Demoted to Triple-A – Top 60 SP
Jimmy Nelson Demoted to bullpen
Daniel Poncedeleon I wonder if he can really put it together instead of being a major liability
Trent Thornton The strikeout upside is interesting, but it’s too low of a floor
Marco Gonzales Just not enough upside to chase his poor floor
Luis Severino The recent injury news sets him back to mid-August hopefully. He’ll be Top 15 then.
Danny Salazar Not sure when he returns, he’d be a Top 60 SP when he starts again
Jhoulys Chacin Even his recent stretch isn’t worth the floor
Ivan Nova Just not enough upside and while he’s a decent streamer, it’s never for a high ceiling.

 

What is happening!

It’s another week and another edition of the Top 100 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball.

Before I dive into the player notes, here’s an outline of how I’m handling The List this season:

  • Previous/Best/Worst columns removed
    • These took a heavy chunk of loading time and ultimately provided very little value. The change arrows themselves are all that’s needed
  • Tiers added
    • As much as I hate making tiers (When do they start and end? How big are the cliffs?), ya’ll have been asking for them and I’m here for all of you. Please understand how hard it is to accurately place them and don’t get too worked up about it.
  • Labels added
    • There’s often confusion as to why a pitcher is a spot or two above or below another. These labels should help understand what each pitcher brings to the table, showing that some pitchers may be better or worse for what you need.
    • Hover over them (or tap on mobile) to see each label’s name next to the pitcher.
    • Ratio Focused = Their value lies in you chasing their ERA/WHIP more than strikeouts and Wins.
    • TobyBoring arm that doesn’t excite you, but you stare at the waiver wire and accept that he just okay enough. You don’t like that he’s around the office, but he gets his work done.
    • Cherry Bomb = Volatile pitchers who are either “super sweet” or “blow up in your face.” Heed warning.
    • Ace Potential = I define an ace as: 3.40 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 24% K rate, 6.0 IPS. It’s why you see some surprising names as having the upside of an ace.
  • Fringe Starters added
    • There are always a handful of starters I badly want to add to The List but I don’t have enough room. I’ll always have this table at the end for a collection of starters – in no order – that I also heavily considered, as well as why they could be relevant
    • This will be where IL Players will land. I’ll mention where they would slot when healthy.

Please let me know how you feel about these changes and I’m looking forward to another fun year assessing the wonderful entity that is the SP Landscape.

On to the notes! Remember, these ranks are for 12-teamers in H2H categories leagues.

 

Player Notes

 

  • With Max Scherzer and Blake Snell both hitting the IL this week, that means EVERYONE GETS A NET POSITIVE! Well, not everyone, but take note of the innate (+2) handed out outside of Tier 1.
  • Not a whole lot of movement in the Top 25 save for Trevor Bauer getting a bit of a demotion given his volatility and Lance Lynn making moves to the Top 20 as he hasn’t stopped his strikeout production. One more start til an AGA there.
  • I introduced another tier after the third since there are a good amount of names that should be Tier 3, but have been disappointing one way or another, while still clearly separating themselves from Tier 5. Kyle Hendricks is the only exception of just being a really good steady arm, just without the strikeout upside to lift him higher. And let’s also hope Sonny Gray continues his rise each week.
  • Zack Wheeler and Brendan McKay return to The List this week. Wheeler is back from injury and could be dealt this week, which would boost his value save for a trade to the worst team (ala Marcus Stromanseriously?). I debated with the Discord community about adding McKay, but with Snell’s IL stint you have to think McKay returns this week and I should stress the importance of owning the southpaw.
  • Tier 6 saw some movement with German Marquez impressing in two road starts (please don’t die in Coors) while Jake Odorizzi is losing his footing in Minnesota. Here’s to the latter getting another QS in the near future.
  • The fun stuff is in Tier 7…which may surprise some people, especially with today’s main image. I’m loving what all three of Jose Urquidy, Reynaldo Lopezand Asher Wojciechowski are doing, but the fact of the matter is that Urquidy’s hypothetical schedule is miles better than what ReyLo and Woj get matched up with. It’s a pity – I really want Woj to be the savior of the second half – but with a rugged schedule ahead for the pair (and ReyLo’s slight decline in velocity last time), Urquidy looks to be the better choice.
  • When I said fun tier, I was ignoring the drops to Joe Musgrove, Masahiro Tanakaand Chris ArcherThese three just can’t seem to find a rhythm and while I believe each has a better skillset than they are displaying, it may be headache the rest of the way.
  • Many are curious what to make of Alex Wood and for now, he’s a glorified Toby. That’s cool, maybe sit him for his next start against the Braves and start with confidence – if he impresses, awesome! Now we feel even better about him.
  • Tiers 8 and 9 are two distinct categories: Tier 8 = the “Why not, maybe this pans out” group. Tier 9 = If you need a desperate stream or in a deep league these won’t kill you.
  • Brad Keller had a ridiculous 2 tick boost in fastball velocity last time out and I’m curious if it sticks. Julio Teheran has defied everything for a sub 3.50 ERA thus far. Steven Matz just threw a 99 pitch CGSHO Maddux. Trevor Williams is suddenly getting whiffs on sliders. Aaron Sanchez used his fastball the least of any game this year and had 10 strikeouts. Elieser Hernandez is back in the Marlins rotation. Jordan Lyles is now a Brewer and could succeed. Pedro Payano is better than you think he is (since you likely have no idea who he is). And so on.
  • Jason Vargas, Mike Leakeand Kyle Freeland all got the call this week to hit the Top 100, though don’t get any ideas. They are all far off from being consistent producers.

(Photo by Justin Paradis – @FreshmeatComm)

Nick Pollack

Founder of PitcherList.com. Rotographs and Washington Post contributor and has worked with CBS Sports, Grantland, and SB Nation. Former pitching coach and Brandeis alum.

sdf

Comments


PitcherList Superfan

Hey Nick!

I’m trying to decide between Giolito and Lynn ROS in my shallow 8 teamer that doesn’t do trades. I currently own Giolito, but Lynn is still available on waivers. Their rankings have been back and forth the last few weeks with Giolito being higher last week and Lynn being higher the week before.

Who would you rather own ROS?

Brad R

With Quintana sitting at 71, is he now droppable for a guy like Asher in a points league with QS as a stat?

More importantly what should I expect going forward from him vs a guy like Asher (especially regarding volatility)

Craig

Nick please help…Stripling/Urias not on either the main list or the fringe/stash list… trying to rank their value now.

Nick Pollack

Strip you can drop.

Urias isn’t a target of mine quite yet. I think the Dodgers will get one more starter today and Urias will never get properly stretched out.

Colin MacKenzie

Hey Nick! Where do you see the ceiling being for the three guys at the top of Tier 7? (Urquidy, Lopez, Woj). I see they don’t have the “Ace Potential” label next to them, so does that mean you’d cap their ceiling around the mid 30s? Thanks in advance!

rainmaker

So when does Sale get moved down a tier? I have DeGrom in a QS league and I would laugh if offered Sale for him straight up. Last 30 days it’s 2 W 46 K 1.09 1.00 4 QS vs 2 W 41 K 5.86 1.37 2 QS

Nick Pollack

I want to see one more start from Sale, but likely deGrom will go above him…but not into Tier 2. Strikeouts are too legit and the ERA should not be this high.

Leave a Comment


Your email address will not be published.