The List 7/29 – Ranking The Top 100 Starting Pitchers Every Monday

Nick Pollack released his weekly update, ranking the Top 100 Starting Pitcher rankings for fantasy baseball.

[pitcher_list_new list_id=”34582″]

 

Fringe Starters

 

PitcherWhy They Missed The Cut
Jesus LuzardoI’ve moved stashes to Fringe Pitchers. Luzardo would be Top 50 if up now.
Daniel NorrisThere isn’t enough upside to chase this
Nick PivettaDemoted to the bullpen
Max ScherzerOn the IL with a back injury – The #1 SP when he returns
Andrew HeaneyOn the IL with a shoulder injury – Top 40 SP
John MeansOn the IL with biceps injury – Top 80 SP (he’s a Toby)
Tyler MahleOn the IL with a hamstring injury – Top 70 SP
Spencer TurnbullOn the IL with back injury – Top 70 SP
Carlos CarrascoOn the IL with leukemia – Top 20 SP
Corey KluberOn the IL with a forearm injury – Top 10 SP
Jameson TaillonOn the IL with an elbow injury – Top 25 SP
Tyler GlasnowOn the IL with forearm strain – Top 25 SP
Luke WeaverOn the IL with a forearm strain – Top 35 SP
Brad PeacockOn the IL with a shoulder injury – Top 60 SP
Rich HillOn the IL with flexor strain – Top 40 SP
Pablo LopezOn the IL with back injury – Top 60 SP
Cole HamelsOn the IL with an oblique injury – Top 45 SP
Brandon WoodruffOn the IL with an oblique injury – Top 30 SP
Daniel MengdenOne of the last cut – he’s a Toby at best
Frankie MontasSuspended 80 games
Matt StrahmDemoted to bullpen…for now.
Michael WachaDemoted to bullpen
Mike FoltynewiczDemoted to Triple-A – Top 60 SP
Mitch KellerDemoted to Triple-A – Top 60 SP
Jimmy NelsonDemoted to bullpen
Daniel PoncedeleonI wonder if he can really put it together instead of being a major liability
Trent ThorntonThe strikeout upside is interesting, but it’s too low of a floor
Marco GonzalesJust not enough upside to chase his poor floor
Luis SeverinoThe recent injury news sets him back to mid-August hopefully. He’ll be Top 15 then.
Danny SalazarNot sure when he returns, he’d be a Top 60 SP when he starts again
Jhoulys ChacinEven his recent stretch isn’t worth the floor
Ivan NovaJust not enough upside and while he’s a decent streamer, it’s never for a high ceiling.

 

What is happening!

It’s another week and another edition of the Top 100 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball.

Before I dive into the player notes, here’s an outline of how I’m handling The List this season:

  • Previous/Best/Worst columns removed
    • These took a heavy chunk of loading time and ultimately provided very little value. The change arrows themselves are all that’s needed
  • Tiers added
    • As much as I hate making tiers (When do they start and end? How big are the cliffs?), ya’ll have been asking for them and I’m here for all of you. Please understand how hard it is to accurately place them and don’t get too worked up about it.
  • Labels added
    • There’s often confusion as to why a pitcher is a spot or two above or below another. These labels should help understand what each pitcher brings to the table, showing that some pitchers may be better or worse for what you need.
    • Hover over them (or tap on mobile) to see each label’s name next to the pitcher.
    • Ratio Focused = Their value lies in you chasing their ERA/WHIP more than strikeouts and Wins.
    • Toby = Boring arm that doesn’t excite you, but you stare at the waiver wire and accept that he just okay enough. You don’t like that he’s around the office, but he gets his work done.
    • Cherry Bomb = Volatile pitchers who are either “super sweet” or “blow up in your face.” Heed warning.
    • Ace Potential = I define an ace as: 3.40 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 24% K rate, 6.0 IPS. It’s why you see some surprising names as having the upside of an ace.
  • Fringe Starters added
    • There are always a handful of starters I badly want to add to The List but I don’t have enough room. I’ll always have this table at the end for a collection of starters – in no order – that I also heavily considered, as well as why they could be relevant
    • This will be where IL Players will land. I’ll mention where they would slot when healthy.

Please let me know how you feel about these changes and I’m looking forward to another fun year assessing the wonderful entity that is the SP Landscape.

On to the notes! Remember, these ranks are for 12-teamers in H2H categories leagues.

 

Player Notes

 

  • With Max Scherzer and Blake Snell both hitting the IL this week, that means EVERYONE GETS A NET POSITIVE! Well, not everyone, but take note of the innate (+2) handed out outside of Tier 1.
  • Not a whole lot of movement in the Top 25 save for Trevor Bauer getting a bit of a demotion given his volatility and Lance Lynn making moves to the Top 20 as he hasn’t stopped his strikeout production. One more start til an AGA there.
  • I introduced another tier after the third since there are a good amount of names that should be Tier 3, but have been disappointing one way or another, while still clearly separating themselves from Tier 5. Kyle Hendricks is the only exception of just being a really good steady arm, just without the strikeout upside to lift him higher. And let’s also hope Sonny Gray continues his rise each week.
  • Zack Wheeler and Brendan McKay return to The List this week. Wheeler is back from injury and could be dealt this week, which would boost his value save for a trade to the worst team (ala Marcus Stromanseriously?). I debated with the Discord community about adding McKay, but with Snell’s IL stint you have to think McKay returns this week and I should stress the importance of owning the southpaw.
  • Tier 6 saw some movement with German Marquez impressing in two road starts (please don’t die in Coors) while Jake Odorizzi is losing his footing in Minnesota. Here’s to the latter getting another QS in the near future.
  • The fun stuff is in Tier 7…which may surprise some people, especially with today’s main image. I’m loving what all three of Jose Urquidy, Reynaldo Lopezand Asher Wojciechowski are doing, but the fact of the matter is that Urquidy’s hypothetical schedule is miles better than what ReyLo and Woj get matched up with. It’s a pity – I really want Woj to be the savior of the second half – but with a rugged schedule ahead for the pair (and ReyLo’s slight decline in velocity last time), Urquidy looks to be the better choice.
  • When I said fun tier, I was ignoring the drops to Joe Musgrove, Masahiro Tanakaand Chris ArcherThese three just can’t seem to find a rhythm and while I believe each has a better skillset than they are displaying, it may be headache the rest of the way.
  • Many are curious what to make of Alex Wood and for now, he’s a glorified Toby. That’s cool, maybe sit him for his next start against the Braves and start with confidence – if he impresses, awesome! Now we feel even better about him.
  • Tiers 8 and 9 are two distinct categories: Tier 8 = the “Why not, maybe this pans out” group. Tier 9 = If you need a desperate stream or in a deep league these won’t kill you.
  • Brad Keller had a ridiculous 2 tick boost in fastball velocity last time out and I’m curious if it sticks. Julio Teheran has defied everything for a sub 3.50 ERA thus far. Steven Matz just threw a 99 pitch CGSHO Maddux. Trevor Williams is suddenly getting whiffs on sliders. Aaron Sanchez used his fastball the least of any game this year and had 10 strikeouts. Elieser Hernandez is back in the Marlins rotation. Jordan Lyles is now a Brewer and could succeed. Pedro Payano is better than you think he is (since you likely have no idea who he is). And so on.
  • Jason Vargas, Mike Leakeand Kyle Freeland all got the call this week to hit the Top 100, though don’t get any ideas. They are all far off from being consistent producers.

(Photo by Justin Paradis – @FreshmeatComm)

Nick Pollack

Founder of Pitcher List. Worked with MSG, FanGraphs, CBS Sports, and Washington Post. Former pitching coach and Brandeis alum. Wants every pitcher to be dope.

  • Avatar PitcherList Superfan says:

    Hey Nick!

    I’m trying to decide between Giolito and Lynn ROS in my shallow 8 teamer that doesn’t do trades. I currently own Giolito, but Lynn is still available on waivers. Their rankings have been back and forth the last few weeks with Giolito being higher last week and Lynn being higher the week before.

    Who would you rather own ROS?

  • Avatar Brad R says:

    With Quintana sitting at 71, is he now droppable for a guy like Asher in a points league with QS as a stat?

    More importantly what should I expect going forward from him vs a guy like Asher (especially regarding volatility)

  • Avatar Craig says:

    Nick please help…Stripling/Urias not on either the main list or the fringe/stash list… trying to rank their value now.

    • Nick Pollack Nick Pollack says:

      Strip you can drop.

      Urias isn’t a target of mine quite yet. I think the Dodgers will get one more starter today and Urias will never get properly stretched out.

  • Avatar Colin MacKenzie says:

    Hey Nick! Where do you see the ceiling being for the three guys at the top of Tier 7? (Urquidy, Lopez, Woj). I see they don’t have the “Ace Potential” label next to them, so does that mean you’d cap their ceiling around the mid 30s? Thanks in advance!

  • Avatar theKraken says:

    Why is owning McKay imprortant? Seems pretty meh to me.

  • Avatar Bill says:

    ROS-Canning or Yarborough.

  • Avatar Alex says:

    How do you view Manaea moving forward? Looks like he’ll be back before too long.

  • Avatar Steve Faveri says:

    Nick is bieber for real? Can you see a way that we rank him as a top 12 sp heading into next season?

  • Avatar Pedro says:

    Ros, canning or gallen?

  • Avatar Pedro says:

    How far up do you move gallen after trade? Canning still a better option?

    • Nick Pollack Nick Pollack says:

      Gallen doesn’t move based on the deal, but based on him surviving Minnesota.

      I still prefer Canning, though.

  • Avatar rainmaker says:

    So when does Sale get moved down a tier? I have DeGrom in a QS league and I would laugh if offered Sale for him straight up. Last 30 days it’s 2 W 46 K 1.09 1.00 4 QS vs 2 W 41 K 5.86 1.37 2 QS

    • Nick Pollack Nick Pollack says:

      I want to see one more start from Sale, but likely deGrom will go above him…but not into Tier 2. Strikeouts are too legit and the ERA should not be this high.

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