The List 6/25: Ranking The Top 100 Starting Pitchers Every Monday

Rank Change Pitcher Previous Best Worst
1 - Max Scherzer 1 1 2
2 - Corey Kluber 2 2 4
3 - Chris Sale 3 2 3
4 - Justin Verlander 4 4 12
5 - Jacob deGrom 5 5 9
6 - Luis Severino 6 4 6
7 +7 Clayton Kershaw 14 1 17
8 +3 Trevor Bauer 11 8 35
9 -2 Gerrit Cole 7 6 31
10 -2 Aaron Nola 8 8 14
11 -2 James Paxton 9 9 18
12 -2 Noah Syndergaard 10 5 12
13 -1 Zack Greinke 12 9 13
14 -1 Blake Snell 13 12 56
15 +3 Jose Berrios 18 15 38
16 - Madison Bumgarner 16 7 46
17 - Carlos Carrasco 17 10 20
18 +1 Stephen Strasburg 19 7 19
19 +1 Lance McCullers 20 18 37
20 -5 Charlie Morton 15 14 52
21 - Miles Mikolas 21 21 63
22 - Dylan Bundy 22 18 50
23 - David Price 23 15 41
24 - J. A. Happ 24 24 71
25 +1 Mike Clevinger 26 25 48
26 -1 Andrew Heaney 25 25 95
27 +1 Patrick Corbin 28 16 55
28 +2 Nick Pivetta 30 24 69
29 +2 Jameson Taillon 31 27 53
30 +5 Ross Stripling 35 30 85
31 -4 Eduardo Rodriguez 27 27 76
32 -3 Carlos Martinez 29 13 32
33 +3 Jack Flaherty 36 33 85
34 -2 Michael Fulmer 32 24 40
35 +2 Rick Porcello 37 25 UR
36 -2 Zack Godley 34 16 41
37 +1 Mike Foltynewicz 38 37 92
38 +1 Tyler Skaggs 39 38 93
39 -6 Tyson Ross 33 32 73
40 - Alex Wood 40 23 44
41 - Garrett Richards 41 23 41
42 - Robbie Ray 42 16 98
43 - Jon Lester 43 34 48
44 - Dallas Keuchel 44 17 48
45 +4 Sean Manaea 49 18 53
46 -1 Gio Gonzalez 45 29 57
47 -1 Kyle Hendricks 46 28 47
48 -1 Jake Arrieta 47 23 48
49 +1 Sean Newcomb 50 49 96
50 +8 Kyle Gibson 58 50 97
51 - Kenta Maeda 51 44 74
52 - Chris Archer 52 17 52
53 - Walker Buehler 53 40 UR
54 - Yu Darvish 54 12 54
55 - Masahiro Tanaka 55 21 55
56 - Jose Quintana 56 22 57
57 +24 Shane Bieber 81 57 81
58 -1 Kevin Gausman 57 54 72
59 +UR Rich Hill UR 35 85
60 +2 Johnny Cueto 62 34 99
61 -2 Luis Castillo 59 18 61
62 +3 Frankie Montas 65 62 89
63 -3 Vince Velasquez 60 60 97
64 +5 Domingo German 69 60 88
65 +1 Jonathan Loaisiga 66 65 66
66 +20 Freddy Peralta 86 63 86
67 +7 Junior Guerra 74 67 93
68 +11 Carlos Rodon 79 68 99
69 +8 CC Sabathia 77 69 96
70 +5 Jon Gray 75 45 75
71 +16 Joey Lucchesi 87 56 87
72 -2 Joe Musgrove 70 65 91
73 +26 Marcus Stroman 99 41 100
74 -6 Jake Junis 68 50 95
75 -3 Tanner Roark 72 54 94
76 -5 Marco Gonzales 71 69 84
77 -4 Reynaldo Lopez 73 49 77
78 - Cole Hamels 78 69 91
79 +9 Sonny Gray 88 30 88
80 +9 Luke Weaver 89 28 89
81 +UR Mike Montgomery UR 81 81
82 +UR Mike Minor UR 53 92
83 -3 Seth Lugo 80 80 87
84 -8 Wade LeBlanc 76 76 84
85 -18 Jaime Barria 67 67 85
86 -4 Zach Wheeler 82 67 88
87 +UR Dereck Rodriguez UR 87 87
88 -4 Chad Kuhl 84 84 98
89 +1 Marco Estrada 90 60 94
90 +2 Nathan Eovaldi 92 84 95
91 +2 Kyle Freeland 93 85 94
92 +2 Tyler Mahle 94 64 94
93 +3 Shohei Ohtani 96 17 96
94 -46 Mike Soroka 48 48 94
95 +2 Jimmy Nelson 97 73 100
96 -33 Michael Wacha 63 44 96
97 -14 Aaron Sanchez 83 50 97
98 - Jeff Samardzija 98 30 99
99 -38 Caleb Smith 61 47 99
100 - Trevor Cahill 100 55 100

Welcome to The List – The weekly top 100 rankings of starting pitchers in fantasy baseball for the rest of the season. Use this list to help make choices on the waiver wire and as a tool to gauge trade value in your fantasy leagues. These rankings are made with 5×5 H2H standard 12-team leagues in mind.

Let’s talk about how the SP landscape has changed since last week:

  • This might be the least moving of any week, not a whole lot has happened to make me make sweeping changes.
  • Trevor Bauer and Clayton Kershaw displace the Top 15 a bit, with Kershaw moving up given his reinstatement from the DL and Bauer well-deserving of the bump. The recent trend of Gerrit Cole after his 8-game out-of-his-mind stretch makes me settle for Bauer right above of him.
  • I should have had Rich Hill around #70 on The List and officially returns around #59 as he showed off his upside right off the bat. Yes, a stumble yesterday reminds us of the headaches, but we should feel good rolling with him moving forward.
  • I went back-and-forth about Shane Bieber’s spot, though in the case that the Indians elect to keep him in the rotation indefinitely, he’s hinting at a Top 50 spot. I also think I underappreciated his slider last week and given that he has a money pitch with his excellent control, he should be owned everywhere. The chance that he sticks is well worth it – if you wait, you won’t get him.
  • Mike Minor has featured increased velocity recently and deserved a spot back on The List. Maybe this turns into something, maybe not. At the very least, start him against the Padres on Wednesday.
  • Freddy Peralta is back in the Brewers rotation and may have a larger stay this time around.
  • Both Marcus Stroman and Joey Lucchesi are back from injury and it’s time to take chances on them given the right matchups.
  • It’s a tough schedule ahead for Jaime Barriaforcing a sizeable drop despite a solid outing against the Jays over the weekend.
  • Wade LeBlanc is as “Vargas Rule” as it gets, though he could be a decent streamer ROS.
  • Others joining The List this week are Dereck Rodriguez and Mike Montgomery, who have each proven that they are solid streaming options.
  • Near misses include Matt Boyd (slowed down production), Nick Kingham & Fernando Romero (Triple-A), Brandon McCarthy (volatile arm), Zach Eflin (just a streaming option), and Dylan Covey (Nine walks in two starts).
Nick Pollack

Founder of PitcherList.com. Rotographs and Washington Post contributor and has worked with CBS Sports, Grantland, and SB Nation. Former pitching coach and Brandeis alum.

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Comments


Tom

Having a tough time understanding how we as readers or fantasy players are supposed to use this list when it changes weekly and sometimes after just one start or in Strabsurg’s case hasn’t even pitched. Hard to formulate trade value when it can change next week. Please help us understand.

Nick Pollack

Sure!

1) Injured guys are weird. I may next week just remove them all and have a separate table saying “here’s where they would be if healthy” and let you decide what that means in your league.

2) He didn’t move, Morton fell.

3) Strasburg being a week closer to returning = a positive as well. Wasn’t taken into consideration, but that’s how it is often for injured guys on here.

Regarding the constant tinkering, I’ve wrestled with the best of doing a weekly update. Should it even be weekly? If it is, how many people should move? It’s not an easy thing to balance and what I’ve settled on is the idea that it’s better to make plenty of small moves in one direction instead of one massive sweeping move.

For example, let’s look at Quintana. He was consensus Top 25 in the preseason, but clearly doesn’t deserve to be there now. He’s in the 50s now. I’ve gradually moved him down in these weekly lists and it feels a lot better than suddenly moving him 30 spots. It also raise the questions of when. At what point should I make that sweeping decision?

Making small adjustments each week helps stabilize the entire list and gives people a solid sense of the market as well. At the end of the day, you’re going to have to make decisions of Player A over Player B and as much as we like to think as a ROS rank that it shouldn’t change after one start from each guy, in many cases deeper in these lists (i.e. not in the Top 20 or so), that is the case, and I adjust accordingly.

I hope that clears everything up with my methodology 🙂

Derek

I think separating the hurt guys into a “this is where they’d be if they were healthy” is a great idea, I almost suggested it myself. Things like amount of DL slots per league, how well youre doing in your league, etc all impact a hurt players value on a case-by-case basis more than a healthy player.

Manley Ramirez

Weekly updates are what makes this site unique and valuable. Anyone looking for stolid “back of the baseball card” type rankings can find that elsewhere.

Tom

I appreciate what you do and the time you put into it. I guess I’m just wondering what I’m supposed to read into a ranking or what value that puts on an SP when it seems the ranking is being made, mostly on the pitchers most recent performance. What is a ranking if you’re not telling us what it mean, i.e. going forward I’d rather have SP8 over SP16. That would work if I knew okay go trade my SP16 for the SP8, then next week that SP8 gets dropped below SP16 after a bad outing. Believe Garrett Richards was an example of this.

Ross

If you stay with the rankings weekly they don’t really change that drastically. Injuries, continued positive or negative trends and performances drive these. For me its just a general baseline. Every league is different and only you can decide how these correlate to your particular league.

theKraken

It is a snapshot of the player’s value as of today in a redraft. That is the simple answer, no? Keep the weekly updates please!

theKraken

It allows Nick to actually address mistakes and get feedback. Monthly ranking or even less frequent doesn’t allow for much of that. There is a certain level of accountability and humility in committing to this weekly.

Ed

On the above, think it would be helpful if the list wasn’t a point in time ranking based on the prior weeks performance, but rather, a ROS or forecast list based on say, upcoming schedule or injury status. All that said, great list, analysis, and website.

Jorge

Isn’t this what it tries to be? I do think sometimes this is inconsistent though, still love it.

Nate

Bieber & German

Who is more likely to stick in the rotation? And who’s the better upside play? Have Severino, Greinke, Carrasco, Snell, Clevinger, Pivetta, Newcomb, and looking for an upside guy to stash on my bench.

Bill

What has Castillo done to remain on this list? He is nothing more than a streaming option at this point.

Max

If you want a ranking of SP’s based on their categorical performance just go to your league players page and sort on Overall. If you want a list of SP’s based on analysis of their stuff and their potential, then come here, that’s why most of us to. If you don’t like either, than DIY. Cheers.

Tim

What’s your basis for putting Newcomb at 49? I know he can struggle to find the strike zone at times, but he’s been rock solid for me all season: 8-2 record, 2.59 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 8.7 K/9. I’m not too familiar with the advanced metrics, though.

Ro

The list is great, there are so many variables defining the outcome of a game. I appreciate the fact that Nick takes the underlying skills of the pitchers in considaration.. it is not a crystal ball but it gives you an indication what tot expect from a pitcher.. as an exemple, Vargas was the first half last year rock solid, look at him now. I use the daily reviews in combination with the list to get a complete picture. Thank you Nick!

Waiver Vulture

Does Ervin Santana make the top 100 if healthy? If so where?
Why so high on rookie Jonathan Loaisiga? Do you expect him to stick and take German’s stop when Tanaka returns?

Perfect Game

Would you take Flaherty over Folty going forward in a standard roto league using QS, K, ERA, WHIP? Not much difference between them in the newest ranking.

Chief

Liking some of the movement here. Some of the deviations on my mental list. Ahem.

Kershaw/Syndergaard not top 20 pitcher until fragile pitcher syndrome is cured.

DeGrom, Severino, Verlander, Bauer, Berrios, Cole, Paxton, Snell, Nola are my 3-12 prolly Bumgarner, Carrasco after that. Greinke kinda getting boring.

McCullers out of top 25.

Mikolas mid-late teens.

I am also loving on Pivetta easily the most perfect rank change on the board.

Stripling on a jetpack ride – early 20s.

Fulmer definitely finding it again.

Alex Wood top 30. Gibson top 40. One is slowly losing my faith the other is slowly gaining faith to be above average against all lineups.

Tyson Ross losing effectiveness when pitch count rises. I am predicting free-fall if they can’t start finding him an extra day now and again.

RIP Soroka, Keuchel, Quintana, Tanaka, Darvish. Soroka unreliable due to injury (might be my #1 dynasty 2018 call up still), the rest are see if anybody likes names and go get the following for cheap…

Jon Gray, Luis Castillo (looking for both to lose a few ticks on SwStr% and increase WeakContact%), Jonathan Loaisiga, Shane Bieber, Freddy Peralta. (One of these guys ends up in the top 30.)

I’ll be watching Minor, Weaver, Wheeler, and Nelson’s progress over the next few weeks rather closely.

Tweety pie

The list is what makes this site, please do not change it. We know you sometimes are over enthusiastic after one great performance from a newbie, but we love all that. Do not go bori;g on us, please

PitcherList Superfan

I’ve been so torn on Corbin. I know that he is going to regress but I just can’t bring myself to drop him for a pitcher like Bundy or Heaney (both FA in my 8 teamer).

What would you do, Nick?

sturock

Please keep the list as is. I use it together with the daily comments and the podcasts. Actually, I don’t always use it. I just enjoy it!

James

Would you stick with Bieber or pick up Gio? He got dropped in my league after yesterday’s clunker. 16-team H2H points league (funky scoring)

Mitch

I wanna know where Eflin is going next week! As of right now with his body of work, I think he deserves to be higher than guys like Estrada, Kuhl, and Musgrove. I’ll definitely be curious to see where you think he belongs. He looked pretty solid against NYY, I grabbed him as soon as I saw the final line. I’ve been iffy on him for a while but after the Nats, Brewers, Yankees, what else does he have to prove? He looks good to me.

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