Every Monday during the season, I will be releasing “The List” where I rank the current value of the Top 100 pitchers in fantasy baseball for the rest of the season. Use these rankings to help understand what to expect from pitchers for 2017 and as a tool to gauge trade value in your fantasy leagues. Note: These rankings have been made with H2H 5×5 12-teamers in mind.
Let’s see how the SP landscape has changed:
- The big news today is that Jameson Taillon received surgery for suspected testicular cancer. Shocking news to say the least and I sincerely hope he recovers well. No idea what the timetable means fantasy wise and I’ve pushed him down the 60s for now, but that pales in comparison to the gravity of the news. Sometimes we forget that this is all just a game and I can’t imagine what he’s going through. Here’s to hoping it’s just a scare and he’s fully recovered shortly.
- Luis Severino made another jump up to #22 after debilitating the Cubs. After him, it’s a major tier drop as there really isn’t a solid upside play or an arm that doesn’t come without major warts that has the same path to upside than the ones above him.
- While it was against the Red Sox, Ervin Santana took a hit this week as I don’t expect his hot to start to continue. I’d rather take blossoming pitchers like Michael Pineda and Drew Pomeranz instead.
- Despite all my outward distaste of Jeff Samardzija, I always give credit where it’s due. Loose Lips has the peripherals to perform better than he has and his last start earns him a big boost given the second half of The List is filled with questionable arms.
- Robbie Ray also gets a major boost, though it was a very unnerving one. On one hand, his ERA and DIPS numbers all point to a 3.50 ERA pitcher, even with a poor walk rate. On the other that WHIP isn’t going to be favorable and his batted ball numbers are terrible. We’re talking 50% hard and 10% soft contact. Nevertheless, he has more tangible upside than the arms behind him and gets the boost.
- Charlie Morton deserves the major rise in the ranks as he continues to produce a hefty amount of Ks with a 3.07 xFIP to boot. 40% hard contact is holding him back from a larger boost.
- Even with Rich Hill returning soon, it’s difficult to believe he’ll eclipse 100 innings this season given how the Dodgers will be careful pushing him far in games and how clearly fragile he is. Still, there’s value when he does pitch and he remains Top 70.
- Cole Hamels, J.A. Happ, and Ian Kennedy fell a bit due to injuries. Happ was ranked too high last week as I misread a source saying he’d return sooner than expected. Hamels’ oblique injury will keep him off the field for a considerable amount of time and Kennedy’s hamstring makes him a tough play when he was marginal add in a 12 teamer in the first place.
- Joe Ross heads to the minors, docking him plenty of points. Even though he’s droppable, he’s one of the better N/A stashes around, outside of Jose Berrios.
- Joining The List this week are a lot of TEEs arms that could be useful in deeper leagues while they are hot and while I don’t expect them to keep it up – Scott Feldman, Derek Holland, Miguel Gonzalez, Alex Cobb – you might as well favor them over comparable arms that aren’t performing up to snuff. Other new additions include Tyler Chatwood who is proving he could be a good stream under the right conditions, and a pair of upside arms in Trevor Cahill and Patrick Corbin. The former is going Curveball heavy and showing great strikeout potential in a small sample size, while the latter changed his arm slot and is getting better results (I’m willing to throw a start in Coors out the window).
- Leaving The List this week are a good amount of names. Adam Wainwright has a ton of hard contact and even if his FIP/xFIP are below 4.00, it’s tough bet on any given night. Things haven’t gotten easier for CC Sabathia, Trevor Bauer is too much of a coin toss, The Anderson – Chase Anderson and Brett Anderson – have lost their hot hands, Hyun-Jin Ryu got injured because he’s Ryu, and Amir Garrett was optioned to the minors.