Every Monday during the season, I will be releasing “The List” where I rank the current value of the Top 100 pitchers in fantasy baseball for the rest of the season. Use these rankings to help understand what to expect from pitchers for 2017 and as a tool to gauge trade value in your fantasy leagues. Note: These rankings have been made with H2H 5×5 12-teamers in mind.
Let’s see how the SP landscape has changed:
- Madison Bumgarner is expected out for 6-8 weeks, which means he’ll be out until the end of June. That’s a huge blow for owners and it’s incredibly difficult to place him appropriately on The List. He’ll be creeping up slowly week-to-week and he’s obviously a great target if you think you can afford the stash for a playoff push.
- While I understand Kyle Hendricks is known for slow starts, it looks more like his elite command wasn’t sustainable as he’s already allowing over 40% hard contact thus far. He’s obviously still rosterable, but it’s hard to take him over other players who are performing well.
- Ivan Nova is showing no signs of slowing down and his future schedule is absurdly good. I don’t think he screams Top 35, but he’s putting up a great floor that makes him a solid arm for any staff while avoiding tough matchups.
- The first month for Gio Gonzalez has been excellent and he deserved a major jump above other options that have been in tumultuous waters.
- It’s getting hard to put faith in Kevin Gausman and Daniel Norris given their struggles in the early going. Norris isn’t showing the same velocity he had in September that hinted at an explosive 2017, which Gausman’s Fastball command – the backbone of his approach – isn’t where it should, preventing him from attack with his Splitter. Both pitchers could jump back soon, but they need to show it on the field a few starts first.
- Luis Severino and Zack Wheeler both expressed their upside, especially the former who has been everything we dreamed he would be. There’s still caution for both, but the reward is worth the risk over the options in the 60s and beyond.
- The Dodgers don’t know what to do with Kenta Maeda, who has been all kinds of disappointing this season. I still think the skills are there for success, but it may take a week or two to get there, especially if they plan to skip him once to give him side work.
- Aaron Sanchez, Sonny Gray and Jake Odorizzi are getting closer to returning and earn relative bumps as well.
- Joining this week are a number of pitchers. Jason Vargas’ hot start, while not sustainable, shouldn’t be ignored and be taken as a flier as he pitches well. Brandon McCarthy has displayed his upside fully in his first four starts and can be a good play in 12-teamers, though I wouldn’t expect him to stay healthy and perform well through the season. Chase Anderson is in the same boat, bringing a little more volatility but more strikeouts as well. Chris Tillman is expected to return in the next two weeks and while far from the most exciting fantasy option, he can be a decent floor pitcher to earn some Wins without destroying your ratios. Antonio Senzatela’s excellent debut season should be taken with a grain of salt, but I’m okay starting him given the right circumstances. Finally, I can’t ignore Dan Straily putting up 14 strikeouts, though don’t expect anything close to that in his next outings.
- Leaving The List this week were a number of players, some who just missed the cut, like Jordan Montgomery and Brett Anderson, while Garrett Richards’ injury knocks him out for what could be the whole season, and Matt Andriese, Hisashi Iwakuma, and Wily Peralta aren’t consistent enough to warrant a roster spot.
How do you feel about Bundy’s decreasing velocity?
Don’t love it at all, which is why I labeled Bundy as a sell over the weekend.
Still think he’s worth the risk in the 30s, but I can imagine people favoring him more than that.
Would you feel comfortable trading him for Calhoun?
How far does Nola fall with the recent news?
Heard they DL’d him retroactively to Apr 21 or something close. He might be in line for 2 starts next week if all is well.The 10 DL has changed the landscape.
This included that news as it could just be one start (1-2 they said). I dropped him slightly because of it, but it’s really just one week and change.
8 team AL Only 5×5 standard roto (yahoo)
C – Russell Martin
1b – Moreland
2b – Altuve
SS – Lindor
3b – Machado
If – Healy
Of – Betts
Of – Benintendi
Of – Haniger
Of – Kepler
Until – Gallo
DL – JD Martinez
DL – Wilson Ramos
Bn – Motter
Sp – McCullers
Sp – Stroman
Sp – Liriano
Sp – Devenski
Rp – Chapman
Rp – Bedrosian
Rp – Nate Jones
P – Justin Wilson
P – Keone Kela
Bn – Bundy
Bn – Daniel Norris
Bn – Shoemaker
Bn – Eduardo Rodriguez
Love Benintendi, but fear he may be a better real life player than fantasy, at least for now. Like what Bundys done so far, but like Manaea as well. Not as high on Stroman. What’s really holding me back is that I can keep Benintendi through 2018.
Pull the trigger in the deal or hold?
In a keeper league I wouldn’t do that deal. If you were getting three back for two it would be a different story, but you’re giving up alot and discounting Stroman in the process. Offer Stroman for Manaea if you feel so inclined.
I think if you can keep Benintendi but not Cruz, you don’t make that deal.
Otherwise, I take the Manaea/Cruz side.
Why is Manaea so high? Doesn’t his walk rate make him more of a 40s arm, not top 25?
I don’t trust that the walk rate will stay this high and think it will be closer to 2.50 BB/9 here on out.
Would you give Cueto and deGrom for Kershaw?
I wouldn’t give you Kershaw for that
Think it depends how deep the league is. Deep league would rather have Cuerto and DeGrom
I’d hold Kershaw.
Dylan over Ervin?
Yep. Ervin is not nearly as good as he’s been thus far.
Danny Duffy at 20 is super super bullish. Why?