[pitcher_list list_id=”18782″ season=”2018″ include_stats=”1″]
Welcome to The List – The weekly top 100 rankings of starting pitchers in fantasy baseball for the rest of the season. Use this list to help make choices on the waiver wire and as a tool to gauge trade value in your fantasy leagues. These rankings are made with 5×5 H2H standard 12-team leagues in mind.
Let’s talk about how the SP landscape has changed since last week:
- David Price too a drop, which shouldn’t come as much of a surprise given his walk tendencies thus far. I don’t think this is a freefall for him, but his value is clearly on the downward trend while guys like Patrick Corbin, Trevor Bauer, and Sean Manaea should demand more on the market.
- I had no choice to drop Shohei Ohtani (injury questions), Garrett Richards (inconsistent performances) and Jose Berrios (back-to-back poor horrific outings, the Reds? Really?), though keep in mind that it turns into one massive grab bag starting around Charlie Morton and Lance McCullers and going down.
- An oblique injury took Robbie Ray out of his start on Sunday and I have to imagine he’s landing on the DL for a good while, forcing a massive drop.
- Jose Quintana looked like his old self over the weekend, while also averaging 92.5mph in Coors, allowing me to move him back up. Expect good things moving forward.
- Another good jump came from Michael Fulmer who suddenly elected to miss bats – 24 whiffs! – and deserves more attention.
- Jameson Taillon and Mike Clevinger each fell a decent amount, but don’t let the sheer number turn you away from them. I couldn’t deny guys like Miles Mikolas, J.A. Happ, Rick Porcello, and Eduardo Rodriguez there well-deserved jumps, and it makes sense given the lack of strikeouts from Clevinger + the lack of polish from Taillon. Still, they are at the bottom end of a long tier and are still good buy low options.
- There’s been a huge debate about Nick Kingham’s spot, and given his excellent debut with a well-commanded heater and excellent slide piece, I slotted him in the Top 70. Pick him up for his next start of Friday and see what the Pirates do after that.
- In addition to Kingham, there’s plenty of discussion about Caleb Smith who fanned 19 in his last two starts. I’m not sold that his command is here to stay – Kingham’s is better – but he deserves your attention as he gets the Reds in his next outing.
- Once again, Kyle Gibson has earned the spotlight after showcasing a fantastic slider against the Yankees, fanning 10 and becoming a popular pickup for his two starts this week.
- With the demotion of Jack Flaherty, it’s now time to favor Luiz Gohara as the better stash, who looks to be just over a week away from a possible promotion. Given his assumed security in the Braves’ rotation and similar upside, he gets the nod over Flaherty.
- A large number of players made their debuts this week: Walker Buehler was called up and made a quick impression – given Hill’s absence, he needs to be added in 12-teamers. Trevor Cahill and Tyler Skaggs each performed well despite a tough pair of matchups, while Junior Guerra, Brandon McCarthy, and Ivan Nova have proven to be solid streaming options.
Hey Nick, just started reading the site and I must say I’m a big fan. I’m a Taillon owner and I don’t think he is done despite the last two starts but I’m starting to get nervous. Happ is available and has been pretty solid to start the season. Who do you think the better own is long term?
I’m in a pretty competitive 16 team dynasty league and have somehow managed to get my hands on 11 pitchers on this top 100 list but none higher than Dallas Keuchel. Should I be looking to package 2-3 together to move for a top end arm or try and capitalize on depth? Others I own are (Bundy, Edu Rod, Minor, Tyson Ross, Castillo, Kingham, Ryu, Nelson, Reyes and Gohara).
Thanks for all you do!!
Surprised to see Godley rise, has he just been less bad than those around him? Been very average so far
Caleb Smith. No argument whatsoever on the ranking, but what do you make of him? SwStr & Contact rates, especially Z, show a pitcher with a ton of talent. His pitch values on his slider & changeup are both decent, with the former among the league best. Looking under the hood right now, he looks a lot like pre-injury Robbie Ray, or even a current Luis Castillo – but without any of the previous track history to justify it. I feel like he’s one of the bigger upside plays in that cloud of pitchers in the 60s and up. I also feel like he could more likely be last year’s first-half Bundy or Snell. But how much value can a high-K-guy have with bad ratios and a bad team?
Walker Buehler. Again, not commenting about ranking, but more on expectations. Pedigree is awesome, but innings will be limited, as will opportunities. Every inning he pitches at AAA is 1 less inning in the show. On top of that, his SwStr & contact haven’t been wonderful in his 2 starts, though the results kind of have been. Efficiency could use some advancement, but its easy to overlook it as his first couple of MLB starts. What do you expect out of him this year? What would an optimistic ceiling look like?
Pick one SP ROS (10 team redraft 5×5 with QS instead of W): Michael Fulmer, Jose Quintana, Luke Weaver, or JA Happ?
Why did arrieta go up. He isn’t striking anyone out. He has 2 outings with 6+ 1k and 7+ 2k. He is getting pounded by Miami as I write this and he has zero K through 3 ip. His velo is down again from last year. His velo dropped last year from 2016 too. Thx
Gohara or what about Soroka?
I’m really worried about Gohara’s weight problem….Braves don’t seem to address that issue but that must be something they’re worried about….Meanwhile Soroka seems to be more than ready .
What you think?
I like Gohara a lot more. Soroka could turn into a solid asset, but there’s a lot more unknown there than Gohara.
Nick, does Fernando Romero crack the top 100 with his callup? If so, where — assuming he sticks?
Do you believe Corbin’s stats are sustainable ROS? His start to the year is a continuation of his last several starts from last year? Compared to Godley, who puts up better stats ROS?
Sonny Gray had a good start today vs a good offense. Do you think he is a buy low or guy to grab in the free agent pool or should we wait and see more from him?
I’d grab him and bench for his next start. He still hasn’t wowed me on the mound yet, but he did find a way to work out of trouble yesterday, and it was a step forward. Not there yet, though.
Why do you have Corbin ranked 3 spots below Godley, Kuechel and Bundy?
Interesting list. Seems quite fair that the Cubs’ Kyle Hendricks is ranked 39. It is possible he has plateau’d. But if he can improve his pitch efficiency, who knows. I dive deeper into this in my piece today on Hendricks. Since you have completed this article, feel free to check my piece out here: https://www.cubsinsider.com/2018/05/01/chicago-cubs-kyle-hendricks-efficiency/
Did I miss him or do you not have Tyler Chatwood on the list?
I do not. He’s what I call a TEEs (he’s bound for massive regression) who will hurt more than help.