It’s Tuesday, which means Matt is here to talk about Holds. Consider these rankings about 60% based on projected hold totals and 40% based on skill and ratios. Holds are pretty volatile. A lot of times the best strategy in hold leagues is to focus on ERA and WHIP, roll out as many setup men as you can and let the holds naturally trickle in.
In the near future I’m going to add more detail to point out arms with very high k/9 for leagues that actually use K/9 and daily rotos with IP limits, arms that will likely trend up as the season rolls on and are better targets in h2hs, and the horses that get a boost in points leagues. Maybe even add a little tag for lefty specialists if you are desperate for holds and stream like a mad man based on bullpen usage and matchups. Please don’t hesitate to make any requests or critiques in the comments.
14. Felipe Rivero (Washington Nationals)
15. Darren O’Day (Baltimore Orioles)
18. Seung Hwan Oh (St. Louis Cardinals)
24. Bryan Shaw (Cleveland Indians)
27. Pedro Baez (Los Angeles Dodgers)
34. Yimi Garcia (Los Angeles Dodgers)
42. Oliver Perez (Washington Nationals
47. Jose Alvarez (Los Angeles Angels)
59. Xavier Cedeño (Tampa Bay Rays)
64. Trevor Bauer (Cleveland Indians)
Injured Setup Men – Romo and Carson Smith are DL slot worthy in some cases but don’t tie your hands with roster flexibility if you don’t have to.
SAVES – I have minimal faith in Doolittle or Jepsen so the value of these two hinges on your league setup. Both are tier 2 talents, I trust Madson more.
DROPS – Not a huge drop from tier 4 to these guys but at the moment I’m bailing completely.
Stephen Geltz (Tampa Bay Rays)
– Tony Watson has been pretty shaky in his 6.1 IP. More walks than strikeouts, getting hurt by the long ball. Likely just an ugly small sample size but Neftali Feliz currently has more holds and there is some cause for concern. Not selling low, we’ll give him another week to settle in.
– Joe Smith and Bryan Shaw have been reliable 8th inning guys for a while but 2016 has not treated them well. Less worried about Smith. Control has been an issue for Shaw in the early going but the long ball is the real culprit. After a couple 70+ IP seasons the Indians eased his workload a bit last year however his hr/fb ballooned to 13.8% and early on in 2016 that trend has continued for the soft tosser.
– This week featured a decent amount of movement and tweaks in general. Brad Brach and Miguel Castro are two quality additions. Justin Wilson and Mark Lowe look like a great lefty/righty duo in Detroit.
– Pat Neshek has looked pretty good so far but I’m still not that comfortable after he imploded in the second half. He hasn’t been a reliable 50+ IP guy and 35 is getting up there in age.
– I’m hopping on the Hansel Robles bandwagon. Collins hasn’t used him as the official high leverage arm after Jeurys Familia but I think his stuff is far superior to Addison Reed and in time he’ll gain more and more high leverage opps.