Here are today’s daily SP Streamer rankings.
Every day of the 2023 baseball season, I’ll be looking at today and tomorrow’s slate of scheduled starting pitchers and ranking their matchups for your fantasy baseball streams.
There’s a lot that goes into this and you can hang out with me on Twitch.tv/pitcherlist to talk about the specific ranks as I make them every weekday morning from 10am – 12pm ET. If you have questions about these ranks, please ask during the morning Twitch AMA. Those are my office hours as I generally don’t answer comments on the site.
There are four tiers to these rankings with 12-teamers in mind:
Auto-Start – Just do it. Don’t overthink this, start the man. This includes “if I have them rostered, I’m starting them” pitchers.
Probably Start – I’m likely starting these arms, though I recognize there is more risk than we’d like there to be. Either it’s a tough matchup for a good-not-elite pitcher or a weak lineup for a volatile arm. These pitchers have a 50% or greater chance of performing well in my view.
Questionable Start – Think of this tier as “I don’t want to start these pitchers in a vacuum, but you could do worse.” Streamers found in this tier are not pitchers I’m targeting and are only if you are in dire need of one. To play it safe with streaming, just start the Probably Start streamers.
Do Not Start – The reward is not worth the risk. Don’t do it. Seriously, these pitchers have a very slim chance of success or sometimes none at all.
Obviously, there will be circumstances where pitchers should move between teams for your situation specifically and these new tiers should act as a little more help than the straight table from last year.
Please keep in mind that streaming is far from a perfect play. In fact, if they work out over half the time, I’d consider it a success. These matchup rankings & streamer picks are going to be wildly different than the actual results throughout the year, so please, have sympathy before the scathing comments and tweets. I’m only trying to help!
Make sure to read the notes if you’re wondering why I’m favoring certain pitchers over others – I won’t get to everyone and hopefully I answer what questions you will have.
There is a second table for tomorrow’s starting pitcher matchups as well, helping everyone get a jump on their nightly pickups. Please note that these matchups are subject to change, though, and there will be times when I have the incorrect pitcher going. I thank you for your future understanding.
Finally, there are my streaming picks of the day, and please keep in mind that I am forced to pick a streamer every day. Those highlighted in Green are that day’s streaming pick in the second tier and I’d roll with them everywhere. Those in Yellow are in the third tier and should be okay if you’re searching for something on a given day, but I don’t recommend streaming unless you’re in need. Finally, those are Red are those I really don’t want to start (they are labeled as “Do Not Start”, after all) but have no other choice. Don’t stream these guys until you are truly desperate. A streaming pick is defined as “rostered in 20% or fewer leagues,” which really emphasizes the point that I’d be happy if over 50% of these worked. I could do the whole sub 30/40% rostered, but there’s no fun in that. You can use the rankings to realize who would be those picks, instead.
(Opener) – Outlines that a pitcher is being opened for that day & the pitcher listed will follow the opener.
As I do my rankings, I thought it would be helpful to showcase a table of how we’re ranking offenses (in Alphabetical order):
I’m sure it’ll change through the year + there are differences to be made about teams vs. LHP or RHP, but it works as a general table that y’all should keep in mind.
Alright, let’s get to it.
This year, with our new daily fantasy baseball projections powered by PLV, I’ll be competing against PL Bot to pick the best streaming option each day.
To get access to PL Bot’s picks each day, sign up for PL Pro here.
The streaming record is determined by “Was this a productive game for 12-teamers if I started them?” Roughly a PQS with a Win and a strikeout per inning with a sub 1.20 WHIP. Close calls are decided by Twitch chat.
Nick’s 2023 Streamer Record: 63-45
My pick yesterday: Matt Manning vs. SDP
PL Bot’s 2023 Streamer Record: 55-53
PL Bot’s Pick yesterday: Matt Manning vs. SDP
Want PL Bot’s pick today? Sign Up for PL Pro here.
With the new formatting for the notes, I’ve made the streaming pick of the day Underlined and Italicized.
Today’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Joe Musgrove @ DET – Aces gonna ace. Against the Tigers!
Jesús Luzardo vs. COL – He gets Rockie Road and that’s so lovely after last week’s hiccup.
Aaron Nola @ CLE – He’s been fantastic in two of his last three. Please find some stability…
Bailey Ober vs. CHW – Oberizzi has been as consistent as anyone as he goes six frames with a WHIP better than 1.20 and generally 1-2 ER.
Lucas Giolito @ MIN – It was a disaster last time that was all kinds of weird and not a sign of trying times ahead.
Hunter Brown @ OAK – Brown has been figuring out his arsenal and the Athletics makes for the best training grounds.
Jordan Montgomery @ CHC – The Bear has been steadily solid over the last two months.
Taj Bradley vs. BAL – He’s fresh off a nine-strikeout game and you’re running with this.
Mitch Keller @ LAA – Keller has been…weird as of late and I really hope the command comes back here and he isn’t forced to go 33% sweepers.
Tarik Skubal vs. SDP – It was a horrific outing last week, yet the skills were great. This start screams redemption.
Tyler Wells @ TBR – Wells struggled last start and now he gets the Rays. It does feel like the wheels may be coming off on what has been a shocking season, but we have to hold steady for now.
Bryan Woo vs. TOR – Woo’s four-seamer was laced last time out and the sinker command wasn’t as great. We saw Bryce come through against the Jays and I think Woo can do the same.
Bryce Elder @ MIL – The Vargas Rule has come to an end, but that doesn’t mean we can’t stream Elder against a mediocre Brewers lineup.
Luis Severino vs. KCR – It doesn’t feel safe starting Severino, but he did just earn nine whiffs on sliders + cutters last time out and this is the Royals.
MacKenzie Gore vs. SFG – He’s a Cherry Bomb through and through.
Tyler Anderson vs. PIT – Here’s a deep streaming option with a decent chance at stealing a Win.
Nick Pivetta (Opener) vs. NYM – He just earned double-digit strikeouts with some of the best slider command I’ve ever seen from him. So you’re saying it was likely a fluke. I don’t want to be right.
Jameson Taillon vs. STL – He just cruised through the Yankees and maybe he can repeat it against the Cardinals. I’m not confident he’s going to be able to squeeze everything out of his arsenal, though.
Luis Medina vs. HOU – It’s an odd moment for Medina, who has been able to earn plenty of whiffs off his breakers across his last two starts – first just his slider, then the curve & slider combined last time out. I wonder if there’s a strikeout ceiling play here.
Carlos Carrasco @ BOS – The velocity is there and he was able to get some changeup and slider whiffs last time, albeit against the White Sox. I don’t think the reward is worth the chase, but if you’re in dire need of six innings, Carrasco has a shot.
Emmet Sheehan @ TEX – If Sheehan can whip out a strong slider or changeup, the fastball could do the rest…but it’s the Rangers. Likely best to bench.
Do Not Starts
Alek Manoah @ SEA – His start against the Padres was far more indicative of his skill set than the results against the Tigers. I’m avoiding everywhere.
Luke Weaver vs. ARI – He had increased velocity last time, maybe there’s something there…?
Jordan Lyles @ NYY – I really don’t like any of this tier (typical, but even moreso today), which means Lyles’ opportunity to go six frames + facing a weak Yankee lineup outlines a higher ranking than usual.
Martín Pérez vs. LAD – There’s a chance, but Pérez hasn’t been locked in for a bit and it’s the Dodgers. AVOID.
UPDATE: Alex Faedo vs. SDP – Don’t chase it, but if Faedo has his best slider, there’s a chance for a solid number of strikeouts.
Julio Teheran vs. ATL – lol.
Chris Flexen @ MIA – Huh,
I guess he’s getting a chance to start proper again for the Rockies. He went 4.1 IP in his tune up with Colorado last week in Triple-A, maybe this is a sneaky stream…UPDATE: It’s unclear what is going on in this game with openers and relievers.
Anthony DeSclafani @ WSN – I don’t think he goes very long as he was ousted without going three innings last time out + his stuff isn’t great. UPDATE: It’s unclear what is going on in this game with openers and relievers.
Cleveland Bullpen vs. PHI – He’s back! And I imagine not going very long. UPDATE: It’s unclear what is going on in this game with openers and relievers.
Tomorrow’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Luis Castillo @ MIN – Aces gonna ace. Duh.
Yu Darvish vs. PIT – His new approach is golden and all I want is for him to keep doing it.
Kenta Maeda vs. SEA – His splitter was so dang good last time, I wonder if he’ll lean more on sliders for whiffs this time around.
Logan Allen vs. KCR – The clear streaming pick of the day after fanning eight last time and getting the Royals. I was even tempted to put him in the top tier as I don’t see a reason why you wouldn’t start Allen here…but he doesn’t carry the same consistent ceiling as the others.
Tarik Skubal vs. SFG – His skills last start were not representative of the player underneath. Keep starting Skubal.
Cristopher Sánchez vs. BAL – He’s on a solid groove, though the Orioles can be a tough offense to deal with these days. I’m still going for it with his great changeup and hard to barrel sinker.
José Berríos @ LAD – It’s Berríos and his wonderful hot stretch…and also the Dodgers.
Nathan Eovaldi @ HOU – His velocity drop is absolutely TERRIFYING and it’s the Astros and yet, he’s survived thus far…? This could be the game that makes us all go “Oh right, of course he allowed 7 ER.”
Dean Kremer @ PHI – He was dominating until hitting a bump last time out as his four-seamer and cutter command was out of whack. I’ll give him another shot here before demoting him to the third tier.
Graham Ashcraft @ MIL – It’s the Brewers, but Ashcraft doesn’t have good cutter command. I really don’t like any of these as sneaky options for Monday and would rather pass alltogether.
Ryne Nelson vs. STL – Is the cutter really that good of a secondary pitch? I don’t think it is.
Brandon Bielak vs. TEX – It’s Texas and yet Bielak just cruised in Colorado. I don’t buy it in the slightest, but hey, there’s a chance, obviously.
Ross Stripling @ DET – He was able to go five frames last time out, though he’s still on a limited pitch count and doesn’t have his changeup of old. I hate it but recognize he could be taking steps forward as he faces a Tigers team highly susceptible to right-handed changeups.
Do Not Starts
Colin Rea vs. CIN – Rea has had some magic here and there, but the reward isn’t high enough to combat the clear risk facing the hot Reds crew.
Quinn Priester @ SDP – I wasn’t impressed by his debut and don’t see a reason to chase this one, even if debuts are rarely indicative of their future performance.
Patrick Corbin vs. COL – It’s Rockie Road and Corbin is featuring a better slider annnnnnd I don’t care.
Ryan Yarbrough @ CLE – Sure, he has a chance, but velocity is down and the Fratty Pirate is not the guy you want to roll with.
Karl Kauffmann @ WSN – Who? Yeah, I know. He has a chance to go five away from Coors…? Okay I’ll stop.
Michael Grove vs. TOR – It’s the Jays, even if I have some affinity for Grove with his slider.
Dakota Hudson @ ARI – He’s not at the point where we think there’s a shot at 5-6 frames, which would still come with a horrible WHIP.
Featured Image by Kurt Wasemiller (@KUWasemiller on Twitter / @kurt_player02 on Instagram)