Every day of the 2022 baseball season, I’ll be looking at today and tomorrow’s slate of scheduled starting pitchers and ranking their matchups for your fantasy baseball streams.
There’s a lot that goes into this and you can hang out with me on Twitch.tv/pitcherlist to talk about the specific ranks as I make them every weekday morning from 9am – 12am ET. If you have questions to these ranks, please ask during the morning Twitch AMA. Those are my office hours as I generally don’t answer comments on the site.
There are four tiers to these rankings with 12-teamers in mind:
Auto-Start – Just do it. Don’t overthink this, start the man.
Probably Start – I’m likely starting these arms, though I recognize there is more risk than we’d like there to be. Either it’s a tough matchup for a good pitcher or a weak lineup for a volatile arm.
Questionable Start – There are situations where I’d take the chance, either with strong enough upside on the ability side, or a poor offense that a pitcher could take advantage of.
Do Not Start – The reward is not worth the risk. Don’t do it.
Obviously, there will be circumstances where pitchers should move between teams for your situation specifically and these new tiers should act as a little more help than the straight table from last year.
Please keep in mind that streaming is far from a perfect play. In fact, if they work out over half the time, I’d consider it a success. These matchup rankings & streamer picks are going to be wildly different than the actual results throughout the year, so please, have sympathy before the scathing comments and tweets. I’m only trying to help!
Make sure to read the notes if you’re wondering why I’m favoring certain pitchers over others – I won’t get to everyone and hopefully I answer what questions you will have.
There is a second table for tomorrow’s starting pitcher matchups as well, helping everyone get a jump on their nightly pickups. Please note that these matchups are subject to change, though, and there will be times when I have the incorrect pitcher going. I thank you for your future understanding.
Finally, there are my streaming picks of the day, and please keep in mind that I am forced to pick a streamer every day. Those highlighted in Green are in the second tier and I’d roll with them everywhere. The most common are those in Yellow in the third tier and should be decent if you’re searching for something on a given day. Finally, those are Red are those I really don’t want to start (they are labeled as “Do Not Start”, after all) but have no other choice. Don’t stream these guys until you are truly desperate. A streaming pick is defined as “rostered in 20% or fewer leagues,” which really emphasizes the point that I’d be happy if over 50% of these worked. I could do the whole sub 30/40% rostered, but there’s no fun in that. You can use the rankings to realize who would be those picks, instead.
As I do my rankings, I thought it would be helpful to showcase a table of how we’re ranking offenses. Dave Swan does an incredible job of showcasing future SP matchups every 2-3 weeks in this article, and I’ve elected to use his offense ranks to share with all of you here:
I’m sure it’ll change through the year + there are differences to be made about teams vs. LHP or RHP, but it’s a great general table that y’all should keep in mind.
Alright, let’s get to it.
2022 Streamer Record: 3-1
Today’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
- With all the aces going earlier in the rotation, we have only two auto-starts in Alex Wood and Alek Manoah for Monday – even if they aren’t facing weak opponents. I trust Manoah to provide strikeouts if nothing else, while Wood (even with his rocky final outing of the spring) should be strong against the Padres.
- Generally with few ace plays, it means there are sneaky arms to grab who may not be rostered heavily. Monday is no exception.
- If I felt Ranger Suárez was fully worked up and able to over 75 pitches, I’d likely have him in the top tier against the Mets. For now, he sits in the second as we’ll still likely start him.
- Luis Patiño surprisingly is rostered in just 10% of leagues, allowing him to be our streaming pick of the day. I have some concerns that he’ll be limited by the Rays in this one, but that concern carries across essentially everyone in today’s rankings. That aside, he faces the paltry Athletics offense and could be a great play for a Win.
- I struggled to properly rank Dakota Hudson, Nick Martínez, and Michael Lorenzen, three alternative streaming options. Hudson and Lorenzen could each cruise through pedestrian lineups, while I believe Martínez has the ability to go 5+ frames comfortably through the year. If he were facing the Marlins, he’d be the pick of the day.
- In the third tier, everyone here is worthy of a deep stream if you need it. I wonder how the Taylor Hearn vs. Austin Gomber game will play out – are the Rangers actually a great offense? – as Hearn could benefit from Rockie Road in a pitcher-friendly park.
- I’d also keep an eye on Elieser Hernandez and Carlos Hernández. Elieser was served the tougher draw, but his slider could make for a solid outing against the Angels.
- Meanwhile, if Carlos’ command is in order, he could carve up the Guardians with ease with 96+ mph heaters and two whiff-heavy breakers.
- In the final tier, I’m curious how Jameson Taillon will look with his sldier and curveball, but I don’t want to touch this against the mighty Blue Jays.
- Will Dylan Bundy’s velocity sit above 90? Will he heavily lean on sliders? I’m highly skeptical of both and the Mariners could punish him quickly.
- Lastly, I’m terrified of Taijuan Walker’s diminished velocity paired with a barking knee. I’d avoid him until further notice.
Tomorrow’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
- How would you rank the top tier of pitchers today? As far as matchups go, the bottom three arms should all be above the top three, but they have yet to make a start this year, suggesting they’ll be limited moreso than the others.
- On the other side of it, Shane Bieber labored against the Royals with dramatically lower spin rates and velocity and it could carry into Cincinatti. Yu Darvish gets the toughest draw with the Giants and didn’t have his best command despite allowing zero hits against the Sneks.
- That means Tyler Mahle gets the nod against the poor Guardians, despite his atrocious history of home/road splits as he’ll get the pearl in Cincy. Let’s hope he can begin putting his notorious curse behind him.
- At the top of the second tier is Alex Cobb as he faces the Padres. I’m not sure how many pitches he’s set to go, but we’re all excited to see his increased velocity pair with his nasty splitter. Should be fun.
- Zac Gallen makes his first start of the year against the tough Astros, but with his increased velocity in his final tuneup, I think he can be beneficial here. Sadly, it’s likely just 65 pitches or so given only 51 thrown a week ago.
- It was a fantastic debut of the season for Tylor Megill, but the Phillies are a massive step above the Nationals and could give him some trouble.
- The streaming pick of the day is Eric Lauer as he squares off against Baltimore. Sadly, I don’t think he has much of a chance to go 5+ frames given a small delay to his spring, but he’s reportedly sitting 94+ mph after already gaining velocity last year to 92+. I’m excited to see what he’s capable of.
- Don’t forget about Jesús Luzardo either as he’s now sitting two ticks higher with an emphasis on curveballs. Let’s hope those spring marks carry over against the Angels.
- In the questionable tier, it’s filled with all the fun arms making their first starts. Literally. All three of these are worth a flier in your 12-teamers, but give them a start or two to figure it out first.
- I’d expect Matt Brash to have the highest chance of going more than four frames, but the floor is lower with the White Sox on the other side. It’s why I prefer Jordan Hicks if I’m going to lean one way. Tommy Romero is an assumption I’m making as he’d slide into Ryan Yarbrough’s rotation spot, but I wouldn’t expect him going deep in this either.
- Then there’s this bottom tier. Oh my is it a lot. It’s the #5 spot for a lot of teams and you really just don’t want to go diving into this.
- If I had to pick someone, I guess it’s Patrick Corbin as he goes against Atlanta, simply because he already has another start behind him and he could go six frames on a great night. Not for me, though.
Featured Image by Drew Wheeler (@drewisokay on Twitter)
Why are ranks across different articles inconsistent? For example, Patino is a probable start here, but listed as a sit in “Sit/Start Week 2: Reviewing All Starting Pitcher Matchups From 4/11-4/17.” Also, if you can’t start him vs the lowly A’s offense, why have him at all?