Welcome back to Sit/Start, where every Saturday here at Pitcher List, we review all expected starting pitcher matchups for the week ahead. There are three labels: Start, Maybe, and Sit.
Starts are sure-fire starts for those particular pitchers. This does not mean that they are incapable of having a bad outing, but I consider them more likely than not to have a good outing if they are designated as a Start. However, the degree of confidence I have in a pitcher to have a strong outing is judged by their number in the tier. For example, I am much more confident that a Start-10 will have a good outing over a Start-7, even though I expect both to perform well.
The same goes for the other tiers. Maybes are starts that are a bit riskier, but depending on your league size or roster requirements, they may need to be used. A Start-10 is a pitcher who I believe will almost definitely have a strong outing, for example, Shane Bieber at the Detroit Tigers. A Sit-1 is a pitcher who under no circumstances you should consider starting.
The first full week is here! These rankings have been made before the majority of these pitchers have made a start. Next week, we will begin to have (more) data to go off of, and these rankings can be informed by more than 2020 and Spring Training. I will try to update the TBDs as they are defined. Take a look below, and see how your rotation shapes up this week. Feel free to question my rankings in the comments, and let’s discuss!
Monday – 4/5 | |||||
Date | Game | Away Pitcher | Sit / Start | Home Pitcher | Sit / Start |
4/5 | MIN at DET | Shoemaker | Maybe-5 | Urena | Sit-1 |
4/5 | TOR at TEX | Matz | Sit-2 | Foltynewicz | Sit-1 |
4/5 | ATL at WSN | Smyly | Start-7 | Scherzer | Start-8 |
4/5 | KCR at CLE | Duffy | Sit-3 | Allen | Sit-2 |
4/5 | BAL at NYY | Lopez | Sit-1 | Montgomery | Start-7 |
4/5 | STL at MIA | Ponce de Leon | Sit-3 | Rogers | Maybe-4 |
4/5 | PIT at CIN | Brubaker | Sit-1 | De Leon | Sit-2 |
4/5 | NYM at PHI | deGrom | Start-9 | Moore | Sit-1 |
4/5 | TBR at BOS | Wacha | Sit-2 | Pivetta | Sit-1 |
4/5 | MIL at CHC | Anderson | Sit-3 | Williams | Sit-1 |
4/5 | HOU at LAA | Garcia | Sit-3 | Quintana | Start-7 |
4/5 | LAD at OAK | May | Maybe-5 | Montas | Sit-3 |
4/5 | CHW at SEA | Rodon | Sit-2 | Sheffield | Maybe-6 |
4/5 | SFG at SDP | DeSclafani | Sit-1 | Morejon | Sit-3 |
Tuesday – 4/6 | |||||
Date | Game | Away Pitcher | Sit / Start | Home Pitcher | Sit / Start |
4/6 | MIN at DET | Happ | Maybe-5 | Mize | Sit-2 |
4/6 | ATL at WSN | Ynoa | Sit-1 | Strasburg | Start-7 |
4/6 | HOU at LAA | Greinke | Start-7 | Canning | Maybe-4 |
4/6 | BAL at NYY | Kremer | Sit-1 | Cole | Start-10 |
4/6 | STL at MIA | Gant | Start-7 | Alcantara | Start-7 |
4/6 | PIT at CIN | Cahill | Sit-2 | Miley | Maybe-5 |
4/6 | NYM at PHI | TBD | Anderson | Sit-1 | |
4/6 | TBR at BOS | Glasnow | Start-8 | Perez | Sit-2 |
4/6 | MIL at CHC | Peralta | Maybe-4 | Alzolay | Maybe-6 |
4/6 | TOR at TEX | Roark | Sit-2 | Dunning | Maybe-6 |
4/6 | ARI at COL | Weaver | Sit-1 | Marquez | Maybe-4 |
4/6 | LAD at OAK | Kershaw | Start-9 | Bassitt | Sit-1 |
4/6 | CHW at SEA | Giolito | Start-10 | Paxton | Maybe-4 |
4/6 | SFG at SDP | Sanchez | Sit-1 | Darvish | Start-9 |
Wednesday – 4/7 | |||||
Date | Game | Away Pitcher | Sit / Start | Home Pitcher | Sit / Start |
4/7 | PIT at CIN | Kuhl | Sit-1 | Castillo | Start-7 |
4/7 | MIN at DET | Maeda | Start-10 | Boyd | Sit-2 |
4/7 | KCR at CLE | Keller | Maybe-4 | Bieber | Start-10 |
4/7 | TBR at BOS | Yarbrough | Maybe-6 | Eovaldi | Maybe-6 |
4/7 | TOR at TEX | Ryu | Start-9 | Gibson | Sit-1 |
4/7 | MIL at CHC | Woodruff | Start-8 | Hendricks | Start-8 |
4/7 | LAD at OAK | Bauer | Start-9 | Luzardo | Maybe-4 |
4/7 | ATL at WSN | Fried | Maybe-6 | Corbin | Maybe-4 |
4/7 | NYM at PHI | Peterson | Sit-1 | Nola | Start-9 |
4/7 | CHW at SEA | Keuchel | Start-8 | Dunn | Sit-1 |
4/7 | SFG at SDP | Gausman | Maybe-5 | Snell | Start-9 |
4/7 | STL at MIA | Flaherty | Start-9 | Lopez | Start-7 |
4/7 | BAL at NYY | Means | Sit-3 | Taillon | Maybe-5 |
4/7 | ARI at COL | Bumgarner | Sit-1 | Senzatela | Sit-2 |
Thursday – 4/8 | |||||
Date | Game | Away Pitcher | Sit / Start | Home Pitcher | Sit / Start |
4/8 | MIA at NYM | Hernandez | Maybe-6 | Walker | Sit-3 |
4/8 | CHC at PIT | Arrieta | Maybe-6 | Anderson | Sit-2 |
4/8 | BOS at BAL | Rodriguez | Maybe-6 | Harvey | Sit-1 |
4/8 | ARI at COL | Kelly | Maybe-4 | Gray | Sit-1 |
4/8 | SEA at MIN | Gonzales | Maybe-6 | Berrios | Start-7 |
4/8 | KCR at CHW | Minor | Sit-1 | Lynn | Start-7 |
4/8 | MIL at STL | Burnes | Start-8 | Wainwright | Maybe-6 |
4/8 | LAA at TOR | Bundy | Start-8 | Stripling | Sit-1 |
4/8 | OAK at HOU | Irvin | Sit-1 | McCullers | Start-7 |
Friday – 4/9 | |||||
Date | Game | Away Pitcher | Sit / Start | Home Pitcher | Sit / Start |
4/9 | NYY at TBR | Kluber | Maybe-6 | Hill | Sit-2 |
4/9 | WSN at LAD | Ross | Sit-1 | Buehler | Start-7 |
4/9 | COL at SFG | Gomber | Maybe-5 | Cueto | Sit-1 |
4/9 | LAA at TOR | Heaney | Maybe-5 | Ray | Sit-1 |
4/9 | DET at CLE | Teheran | Sit-1 | Plesac | Start-8 |
4/9 | PHI at ATL | Wheeler | Start-7 | Morton | Maybe-6 |
4/9 | SDP at TEX | Musgrove | Start-8 | Arihara | Sit-1 |
4/9 | OAK at HOU | Manaea | Maybe-5 | Javier | Sit-2 |
4/9 | CIN at ARI | Mahle | Start-7 | Smith | Sit-1 |
Saturday – 4/10 | |||||
Date | Game | Away Pitcher | Sit / Start | Home Pitcher | Sit / Start |
4/10 | NYY at TBR | German | Maybe-5 | Archer | Maybe-4 |
4/10 | MIA at NYM | Rogers | Maybe-4 | deGrom | Start-10 |
4/10 | SEA at MIN | Kikuchi | Maybe-5 | Pineda | Start-7 |
4/10 | KCR at CHW | Singer | Maybe-4 | Cease | Maybe-4 |
4/10 | MIL at STL | Houser | Maybe-4 | Martinez | Sit-2 |
4/10 | OAK at HOU | Montas | Maybe-4 | Urquidy | Maybe-4 |
4/10 | COL at SFG | Chi Gonzalez | Sit-1 | Webb | Maybe-4 |
4/10 | DET at CLE | Skubal | Sit-3 | Civale | Start-8 |
4/10 | CHC at PIT | Davies | Maybe-6 | Keller | Sit-3 |
4/10 | SDP at TEX | Paddack | Maybe-5 | Lyles | Sit-1 |
4/10 | BOS at BAL | Richards | Maybe-4 | Zimmermann | Sit-3 |
4/10 | LAA at TOR | Cobb | Maybe-4 | Matz | Sit-1 |
4/10 | PHI at ATL | Eflin | Maybe-5 | Anderson | Start-8 |
4/10 | CIN at ARI | Hoffman | Sit-1 | Widener | Sit-1 |
4/10 | WSN at LAD | Scherzer | Start-7 | Urias | Maybe-4 |
Sunday – 4/11 | |||||
Date | Game | Away Pitcher | Sit / Start | Home Pitcher | Sit / Start |
4/11 | BOS at BAL | Pivetta | Sit-2 | Lopez | Sit-1 |
4/11 | CHC at PIT | Williams | Sit-3 | Brubaker | Sit-1 |
4/11 | LAA at TOR | Ohtani | Maybe-5 | Roark | Sit-1 |
4/11 | DET at CLE | Urena | Sit-1 | Allen | Sit-2 |
4/11 | MIA at NYM | Alcantara | Start-7 | TBD | |
4/11 | NYY at TBR | Montgomery | Maybe-6 | Wacha | Sit-1 |
4/11 | SEA at MIN | Flexen | Sit-1 | Shoemaker | Maybe-4 |
4/11 | KCR at CHW | Duffy | Sit-3 | Rodon | Sit-2 |
4/11 | MIL at STL | Anderson | Sit-3 | Ponce de Leon | Sit-2 |
4/11 | SDP at TEX | Morejon | Maybe-4 | Foltynewicz | Sit-1 |
4/11 | COL at SFG | Marquez | Start-8 | DeSclafani | Sit-1 |
4/11 | CIN at ARI | De Leon | Sit-1 | Weaver | Sit-2 |
4/11 | WSN at LAD | Strasburg | Start-7 | May | Maybe-5 |
4/11 | PHI at ATL | Moore | Sit-1 | Smyly | Start-7 |
Lucas – you seem low on sanFran pitchers going against the hapless road Rockies. why is that?