It’s time to worry about Hyun-Jin Ryu after last night’s 4.2 IP, 7 ER, 10 Hits, 1 BBs, 4 Ks implosion against the Diamondbacks. While we knew he wasn’t destined to have a 1.50 ERA for the year – it’s suddenly 2.35 now – to get crushed for 18 ER across three starts wasn’t on the menu, either. This is going to be a quick lead today as the decision is pretty easy for you. Start Ryu if you own him. I don’t think he’s going to get a lot of starts moving forward, though, as this is a clear sign of Ryu’s stamina running low – it’s 157.1 frames now after failing to toss that many since 2013 – and the Dodgers need him ready for the playoffs. Expect some Dodgeritis to hit in September, and let’s cross our fingers we get two more from him.
Let’s see how every other SP did Thursday:
Mike Clevinger – 8.0 IP, 0 ER, 4 Hits, 0 BBs, 10 Ks. Aces Gonna Ace. Clevinger cruised to another Gallows Pole with 23 whiffs and did exactly as he should against the Tigers lineup. Can you name three Detroit batters who started this game? I’m not sure I can, and I watched it.
Robert Dugger – 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 Hits, 1 BBs, 7 Ks. I’m impressed that Dugger was able to pump two-seamers arm-side consistently to both lefties and righties to return a ton of strikes and outs, even from pitches off the edge. His curveball and slider looked solid as well, and he earned this one. Now with the Pirates next, I’d consider him as a streaming pick, but I’m not jumping over things to get it. A deep consideration.
Andrew Kittredge – 1.1 IP, 1 ER, 2 Hits, 1 BBs, 1 Ks. This was followed by just 2.1 frames of Trevor Richards, and that’s all kinds of annoying. I understand why the False Starter movement exists, it’s just such a pain to deal with. I hate it.
Jon Lester – 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 5 Hits, 3 BBs, 4 Ks. Phew. It was a 6 ER clunker last time against the Nats, but this was your toughest matchup left of the year against the Mets, and you did good enough. Now with the Mariners, Padres, Pirates, and Cardinals ahead, Toby should be good enough through it all to keep him rostered.
Lance Lynn – 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 Hits, 2 BBs, 5 Ks. Aces Gonna Ace. It’s not the overwhelming game that we’ve been accustomed to, but we’ll take this decent start in the end. The Yanks will be tougher than the Mariners here, but I think you have to start Lynn blindly the rest of the way.
Daniel Norris – 3.0 IP, 1 ER, 2 Hits, 1 BBs, 4 Ks. The Tigers are limiting Norris to about three frames per game, which completely kills his value. Even worse news is that Drew VerHagen appeared out of nowhere to follow, so anyone that was curious about taking a chance on him today were blindsided. NOT COOL. 4.0 frames of 1 ER and 2 Ks against the Indians ain’t too bad, though, for those wondering.
Chris Paddack – 7.0 IP, 1 ER, 5 Hits, 0 BBs, 8 Ks. Great stuff, Paddack. He’s allowed 19 ER across his previous four starts, but those include 12 ER against the Dodgers and Red Sox. Here we had the Giants, and he went 31/92 CSW as his fastball dominated. See? No problem. It’s not expected for Paddack to survive all his final five starts, but let’s play this week to week. Right now, he has the Diamondbacks on Tuesday, and that works for us.
Chris Bassitt – 4.2 IP, 3 ER, 6 Hits, 1 BBs, 1 Ks. Come on Bassitt, you had a nice matchup against the Royals and you serve us a HAISTFMFWT?! Just one whiff on 62 pitches as he was pulled during trouble in the fifth. Keep in mind, Bassitt is expecting a child soon, which means he may get skipped over for his next start. Plan accordingly.
Jose Berrios – 6.0 IP, 3 ER, 7 Hits, 2 BBs, 8 Ks. It’s a VPQS, and that’s not what you want from your SP2 … but eight strikeouts is cool. 26/101 CSW is blegh as well, and I’m a little sad he didn’t do more against the ChiSox. That 3.57 ERA is inching closer to the 3.80 range we’ve seen the past two years, with his 1.22 WHIP right in line. He is who we thought he was. OKfine, a little better as ERAs as a whole have risen.
Felix Hernandez – 5.0 IP, 3 ER, 5 Hits, 1 BBs, 3 Ks. I didn’t like the slate, and looking around, it seems putting faith in Dugger or T-Ells would have been the only other options. Streaming Record: 88-56. We were close, Felix. We could have had it all.
Merrill Kelly – 4.0 IP, 3 ER, 3 Hits, 4 BBs, 4 Ks. It’s wild to see Kelly earn exactly four or five strikeouts in each of his past seven starts. At least he’s consistent … ly bad and you know to stay away?
Trevor Williams – 7.0 IP, 3 ER, 7 Hits, 0 BBs, 6 Ks. That’s two straight solid outings from T-Ells (formerly T-Dub) as he demands his old nickname. I’m impressed he was able to do this one inside of Coors, and now he gets the Marlins and Giants ahead. I’d consider a pickup here.
Alex Wood – 6.0 IP, 3 ER, 6 Hits, 2 BBs, 8 Ks. We’ve been waiting for Wood to take a firm step forward, and this start may be it, with his first game above 6 Ks and second with at least six frames for the PQS. 37/103 CSW is all kinds of impressive – Marlins or not – as his fastball was too much for the Fish to handle at 28/69 CSW. I wanted to see a little more from his changeup and curveball to really buy into sustained success, but because he’s a Toby and gets a schedule of middling starts moving forward (PHI, ARI, @ARI, @NYM, MIL), this may be worth it as a fringe starter.
Jacob deGrom – 7.0 IP, 4 ER, 5 Hits, 0 BBs, 7 Ks. Aces Gonna Ace, even with 4 ER. That WHIP and 7 Ks help, you know. But seriously deGrom, with Ryu falling a part and possibly missing more starts, another Cy Young looks yours to lose. Just don’t mess this up in September.
Zack Greinke – 5.2 IP, 5 ER, 6 Hits, 1 BBs, 8 Ks. It’s the first proper ER clunker from Greinke, though he has returned two starts combining for three strikeouts along the way. Two HRs soured this one as he ran into trouble in the sixth and was pulled to give us a Philly. Womp womp, he’s obviously a must-start the rest of the way.
Dereck Rodriguez – 5.0 IP, 5 ER, 8 Hits, 0 BBs, 3 Ks. There’s a reason he’s nicknamed D-Rop. It’s not because of his sick beats. They are so sick though. Yes, let’s say sick again. Sick. Just like how I feel when I see D-Rop rostered on a team.
Chi Chi Gonzalez – 0.2 IP, 7 ER, 7 Hits, 1 BBs, 0 Ks. Chi-chi-chi-see-ya!
Glenn Sparkman – 4.1 IP, 7 ER, 9 Hits, 1 BBs, 1 Ks. That was one really good start that you had that one day. Don’t forget that day, Glenn. It will never die.
Dylan Cease – 2.0 IP, 8 ER, 10 Hits, 1 BBs, 3 Ks. On one hand, you weren’t going to start Cease against the Twins anyway. On the other, this is hilariously bad as his fastball command was not what you want, with nothing in his repertoire to turn to when batters just sat heaters. Sliders were juicy as they fell in for a strike and it’s hard to feel confident moving forward. Now it’s Cleveland so at least that’s an easy rejection.
For those unaware, I’m forced to make my streamer picks under the condition of sub-20% owned in Fantasy Pros’ consolidated ownership rates.
Kolby Allard vs. Seattle Mariners – He did well going fastball/cutter last time out, and it could carry over here.
Joe Ross vs. Miami Marlins – Ross has the stuff to take advantage of this great matchup. Framber Valdez vs. Toronto Blue Jays – The Nats are bumping Ross because reasons, so I’ll go with Framber getting the start against the Jays. Logan Webb against the Padres could also be considered as well as Brock Burke against the Mariners.
Day After Tomorrow’s Streamer
Eric Lauer vs. San Francisco Giants – Not much to choose from here, I’ll hope that Lauer can pull himself together for a date inside Oracle Park.
Game of the Day
(Photo by Adam Davis/Icon Sportswire)