Refusing To Stand Pat
(Photo by Wilfred Perez/Icon Sportswire)
There are times that I’m conflicted about what to do with a pitcher and right now I’m there with Patrick Corbin. His numbers are still elite after his 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 3 Hits, 4 BBs, 7 Ks line against the Dodgers Wednesday night, though for the second straight start he’s averaging 89mph on his fastball. Keep in mind, Corbin was averaging 93.1mph on his four-seamer in his first six starts, the games where he was truly dominant. These last two have returned a 13.6% walk rate with a 4.34 SIERA despite the solid shallow numbers and it screams sell high to me. A massive four point drop on his fastball is not something to ignore and is a massive element of his success as it makes his slider more devastating with a larger speed differential and having less time to react. Given that Corbin still holds a 2.12 ERA with a 2.62 SIERA and 34.5% K rate overall, I think it’s time for you get him on the market. One start is a fluke, two starts is an indication. More times than not, that turns into a third start and we all know that creates a trend.
Let’s see how every other SP did Wednesday:
Jaime Barria – 5.1 IP, 0 ER, 5 Hits, 1 BBs, 7 Ks. I thought I was going to lead with Barria today. Then I watched it. Then I realized this is not the tree to sit under and yell loudly up at the branches. He sports a ~90mph fastball with cut-action on it, a decent changeup and slider…and that’s about it. I’m impressed that he was able to pull this off in Coors, but I just don’t see a pitcher primed with enough command to make me think he can do this often. Sorry, I won’t be singing a song about Barria after just meeting him.
Nick Pivetta – 5.0 IP, 0 ER, 4 Hits, 0 BBs, 7 Ks. The end line is wonderful and I’m sure you’re breathing a sigh of relief after his last outing…but I watched this one and wasn’t all too impressed. The Pivetta we want is the one using his breaking pitches to get the job done and they were pretty mediocre in this outing. Fortunately, his four-seamer was able to do the dirty work, but when things go south, it’s at the hands of the heat. I don’t like the idea of banking of his fastball often, which means I need to see Pivetta get his curveball and slider working again next time for me to keep his lofty rank.
Julio Teheran – 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 4 Hits, 0 BBs, 7 Ks. The dude can’t stop killing it and I hate it but I have to respect it. I’m an emotional man, not a blind man. No, he hasn’t found a third pitch yet and the overall numbers here aren’t so hot – 89mph heater, 5 whiffs (0 called) across 27 sliders – but you have to keep rolling if you have him. I’d sell if someone believes in this longterm.
Jaime Garcia – 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 3 Hits, 5 BBs, 3 Ks. 5 Walks and 3 strikeouts? Jaime, you know just how to ruin a perfectly fine evening.
Wade LeBlanc – 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 Hits, 0 BBs, 3 Ks. This game was against the Jays in Canada. Wade LeBlanto.
Joey Lucchesi – 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 6 Hits, 1 BBs, 6 Ks. Definitely not a Fuhgeysi as Joey has given us no reason to drop him just yet. I think it will only take one or two before this bandwagon comes to a screeching halt – as much as a wagon can – but this was against the Nats and you have to keep on rolling.
Sal Romano – 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 Hits, 1 BBs, 7 Ks. It’s a bit weird to see seven punchouts with just six whiffs. It’s also weird to see that this start raised his K rate to a monstrous 14.4% mark. That 3.83 ERA? Yeah it comes with a 5.16 SIERA. Next!
Zach Wheeler – 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 Hits, 3 BBs, 7 Ks. Solid recovery from Wheeler, but it was against the Reds and I have no faith that you can repeat it against a decent offense.
Alex Wood – 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 5 Hits, 3 BBs, 4 Ks. On one hand, Wood gave you just 90mph. On the other, that was still more than his opponent Patrick Corbin and Wood squeaked out another helping outing (save for the 1.60 WHIP…). I guess you just keep going with it even if I think it spells an inevitable descent into mediocrity.
Bartolo Colon – 5.0 IP, 2 ER, 6 Hits, 1 BBs, 4 Ks. The Groan Ranger churned out another one here. I can’t deny that there is some magic at play here with Colon, but if you want to rely on his .211 BABIP and 9.8% soft contact, by all means.
Reynaldo Lopez – 7.1 IP, 2 ER, 3 Hits, 2 BBs, 6 Ks. ATTA BOY LOPEZ. His fastball was just as good as ever – he’s amazing at busting left-handers up-and-in – and he was more comfortable with his changeup in this one than the last few starts. Slider was decent as well, but still a little lacking. Nevertheless, I wonder if we were being too harsh on ReyLo as that fastball does set a wonderful foundation. He has an easy schedule coming up and if he keeps moving in this direction, I don’t see why he can’t keep giving you at least six frames per start.
Daniel Mengden – 6.2 IP, 2 ER, 6 Hits, 0 BBs, 4 Ks. I love this. He had 20% called strikes and did damage with his heater against the Astros and it makes me feel comfortable rolling with him…once he gets past his next start against the Sawx. Then we can add away for this Toronto start.
Andrew Cashner – 6.0 IP, 3 ER, 6 Hits, 2 BBs, 3 Ks. We already Cashed Out and Andrew gives us a PQS. Yep, still staying away.
Francisco Liriano – 4.0 IP, 3 ER, 4 Hits, 4 BBs, 3 Ks. Yep, there’s the Liriano we all know and hate.
Eric Skoglund – 6.1 IP, 3 ER, 5 Hits, 1 BBs, 3 Ks. Oh Skoglund. Yes I’ll say your name every time I write about because I simply love it. Not your actual pitching performances, though, you represent the wire as much as Bubbles and I don’t think that’s ever going to change.
Tyler Anderson – 5.0 IP, 4 ER, 6 Hits, 1 BBs, 3 Ks. Ehhhhh I was kinda hoping Anderson could live up to his 30% K rate in Coors against the Angels, but he just wasn’t feeling it here. Don’t take the blue pill, though, and keep rolling with him in decent matchups moving forward.
Junior Guerra – 5.0 IP, 4 ER, 6 Hits, 2 BBs, 9 Ks. Yes, it’s a terrible ERA and WHIP, but Guerra featured 20 whiffs and it came mostly via 15 whiffs across 71 heaters. That’s incredibly impressive. So impressive that I find it hard to trust. Like really hard. I consider him a streamer, maybe a roster spot in a deep 12-teamer, but there’s too much risk here.
Masahiro Tanaka – 5.1 IP, 4 ER, 8 Hits, 2 BBs, 3 Ks. Tanaka was actually looking solid in this one, then a solo shot in the 5th followed by Chad Green allowing an inherited runner to score in the sixth turned it into a dud. So it goes, keep rolling with Tanaka as he doesn’t get the Sawx every night.
Trevor Williams – 5.0 IP, 4 ER, 7 Hits, 2 BBs, 3 Ks. Williams has been a TEEs and after this one, it’s a 3.13 ERA with a 5.32 SIERA. Remember, the K/BB is terrible – 15.8%/10.9% – and .223 BABIP + 80.9% LOB rates still have ways to go. Stop holdin’ like Caulfield.
Rick Porcello – 5.1 IP, 5 ER, 8 Hits, 3 BBs, 3 Ks. The Porcello train finally had a layover in the Bronx, which is a popular place for arms to take a break and stop the hype for a moment. Yeah, we all kinda wanted to see Porcello tough it out even against one of the best lineups out there, but go easy on the kid.
Chris Stratton – 4.2 IP, 5 ER, 5 Hits, 4 BBs, 7 Ks. With few great options out there, I banked on Stratton pulling it off against the Phils and while those 7 Ks help, the rest puts you in the hole for the week. Womp womp. I think I pass on Stratton as a streamer for a little bit. Streaming Record 22-13.
Ryan Yarbrough – 5.0 IP, 5 ER, 6 Hits, 0 BBs, 7 Ks. Oh right, Yarbough, the band Jimmy Page was in before turning it into Led Zeppelin. You may see those 7 Ks and think he can turn this over under sideways down start into a whole lotta love for your squad, but it’s what should never be.
Wei-Yin Chen – 3.0 IP, 9 ER, 7 Hits, 2 BBs, 1 Ks. Wei-Yin gave you a bit of Chen music with this outing and we all hate getting some Chen music. It’s like if jazz infused with Polka and country. Jalktry. No one likes Jalktry.
Andrew Suarez vs. Pittsburgh Pirates – He’s been pitching well in his first three starts of the year and it could carry over against the Pirates.
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