Ryan Tepera

Age 33
  • Born 11/03/1987
  • Bats R
  • Team: Chicago Cubs
2019 Statistics
2020 Prediction
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5.9% Thrown 85.4 MPH 15 CSW%
5.0% Thrown 82.4 MPH 47.1 CSW%
56.8% Thrown 93.6 MPH 20.7 CSW%
32.4% Thrown 88.2 MPH 27.3 CSW%

Tepera introduced his changeup in 2018 and only used it 6.2% of the time last season. Only 2 mph slower than his cutter and 7 mph slower than his fastball/sinker, the change did little to fool opposing hitters. Its 91.3 mph exit velocity against was the highest of his repertoire.

GIF made by Mark McElroy. Blurb written by James Schiano

Once upon a time, Tepera threw his slider 16.8% of the time for a 33.3% strikeout rate without allowing a walk. That time was not last year, as he, for whatever reason, has thrown his slider less than 6% of the time each of the last four seasons, as it has accumulated a 45% strikeout rate since 2016.

GIF made by Mark McElroy. Blurb written by James Schiano

A series of injuries coupled with age have taken a bite out of Tepera’s fastball velocity (down from 95.8 mph in 2015 to 93.4 mph last season). The pitch is entirely unimpressive, a big reason why he dropped its usage from 30.8% to 19.4% in 2019.

GIF made by Mark McElroy. Blurb written by James Schiano

Tepera’s most effective offering, his cutter had a K-BB% greater than 30% from 2016-2018. Elite. At the outset of last season, he was throwing it for a career-low 28.9% in April and May before a right elbow inpingement shelved him until September. Upon returning, he was back to throwing it 37.3% of the time. A clean bill of health this season should let Tepera’s cutter get back on track.

GIF made by Mark McElroy. Blurb written by James Schiano
34.8% Thrown 89.0 MPH
30.5% Thrown 95.0 MPH
30.3% Thrown 94.9 MPH
2.6% Thrown 81.6 MPH
1.8% Thrown 89.2 MPH

The cutter usage by Tepera decreased last year thanks to the wRC+ doubling against it. The cutter continues to be a very good strikeout pitch for Tepera, but it is generating less swings outside the zone.

Tepera has increased his sinker usage as a result of throwing his cutter less often. The sinker allowed just a .214 batting average against it and the contact on pitches in the zone dropped nearly eight percentage points. The sinker generates ground balls and can continue to be a useful pitch for Tepera.

Tepera lost some horizontal and vertical movement on his four-seam this past season, rendering it less effective on contact. It did generate more swings and misses, but a 157 wRC+ against shows he needs to locate this pitch better. Tepera should decrease the usage of this pitch as he already deploys two plus fastballs.

The slider has never been a large part of Tepera’s arsenal, but with an increase in spin rate last season, Tepera may want to explore increasing the use of this pitch as a secondary strikeout pitch. In limited action, it has generated nearly a nearly 50% chase rate with over 20% swinging strikes.

The changeup is hardly even thrown by Tepera. It has more arm-side run than vertical drop, but still generates ground balls and can be used to keep hitters off balance with his extremely heavy high-velocity arsenal.

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