Pedro Baez

Age 32 SP
  • Born 03/11/1988
  • Bats R
  • Team: Los Angeles Dodgers
2019 Statistics
W-L
7-2
IP
69.2
ERA
3.10
WHIP
0.95
K
69
K%
25.1
2020 Prediction
Coming Soon
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2018
2019
Changeup
31.7% Thrown 86.2 MPH 27 CSW%
Four-Seamer
50.9% Thrown 95.8 MPH 27.9 CSW%
Slider
17.5% Thrown 86.3 MPH 30.3 CSW%

Baez’s changeup sits at 86 mph with some good fade. It doesn’t drop as much as you’d expect, but still missed bats at a 28% clip in 2019. Baez peppers the arm-side of the plate with this pitch, mostly using it against lefties.

GIF made by Rich Holman. Blurb written by Joe Drake

Baez sits 95-96 mph with his fastball, which has some nice ride and a touch of run. He locates it up, in, and above the zone, and absolutely dominates hitters with it. In 2019, it earned a 34% whiff rate with a .260 wOBA.

GIF made by Rich Holman. Blurb written by Joe Drake

The slider is Baez’s least-used pitch at 17%. He uses it almost exclusively against righties, burying it glove-side for strikeouts and ground balls. While it doesn’t have a ton of movement, at 86 mph, it gets enough to miss bats (34% whiffs) and bad contact (.220 wOBA). Not too shabby.

GIF made by Rich Holman. Blurb written by Joe Drake
2018
2019
Four-Seamer
32.4% Thrown 96.1 MPH
Two-Seamer
30.4% Thrown 95.9 MPH
Slider
22.2% Thrown 88.0 MPH
Changeup
15.0% Thrown 86.7 MPH

A pure flamethrower earlier in his career, Baez tailed back his fastball in favor of more sliders and changeups. Although not a bad pitch, it’s also not his bread-winner despite hurling it at an average velocity of 96 mph. He matched his career’s 95 wRC+ when utilizing the heater in 2018, but it continued to spawn a high dose (26.9%) of line drives. Don’t be surprised if he follows the same blueprint after a stellar season.

After jettisoning the sinker entirely in 2017, Baez turned to it just a dozen times last season. He’s not missing much after permitting a 133 wRC+ with the pitch in 2016.

Baez included far more sliders in his pitching menu last season, upping 2017’s 16.7% usage rate (previously a career high) to 22.8. It didn’t quite yield massive dividends. In fact, it was his only offering with a negative pVal (1.0). Yet it remained a strong strikeout weapon by manifesting a hearty 18.4% swinging-strike rate.

Baez enjoyed resounding success with his changeup, which ceded an 8 wRC+ and 53.3% contact rate. He deployed the improved offering (14.9%) more than ever, and yet opponents whiffed on a quarter of their swings. Baez and the Dodgers will hope to see more of the same dominance going forward.

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