Justin Wilson

Age 33 RP
  • Born 08/18/1987
  • Bats L
  • Team: New York Mets
2019 Statistics
2020 Prediction
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8.2% Thrown 83.8 MPH 26.3 CSW%
52.8% Thrown 95.1 MPH 27.3 CSW%
39.0% Thrown 90.1 MPH 25.3 CSW%

Wilson showed very good control of the slider as it held a 44.8% zone rate. It wasn’t great at getting swings out of the zone with just a 28.1% chase rate. It returned a decent 13.8% swinging K rate (30.8% whiffs). The batted ball results weren’t too great this past year including a .286 batting average and .354 wOBA (.334 xwOBA). *Note Statcast marks this as a slider and not a Curveball as listed*

GIF made by Mark McElroy. Blurb written by Ryan Amore

Wilson’s fastball averaged a robust 95 mph and showed well above-average spin (83rd percentile). It returned a very good 11.6% swinging K rate (26.7% whiffs) while holding opposing hitters to a meager .290 xwOBA.

GIF made by Mark McElroy. Blurb written by Ryan Amore

Wilson’s cutter averaged just over 90 mph. And while it wasn’t much of a swing and miss pitch returning a modest 11.8% swinging K rate (23.2% whiff rate) it held opposing batters to an outstanding .197 batting average and .229 wOBA (.254 xwOBA). *Note statcast marks this as a Cutter, not a slider as listed*

GIF made by Mark McElroy. Blurb written by Ryan Amore
75.9% Thrown 94.7 MPH
14.6% Thrown 90.9 MPH
9.5% Thrown 83.5 MPH

Wilson’s primary pitch, his fastball, is his most valuable, as he posted a 9.1 pVal last season. Although he held hitters to an elite .188 BA, he had issues with control as he let up a 16% BB rate with pitch. Nonetheless, the fastball is still very solid, and remains his go-to pitch.

Wilson lost control of his cutter last season, and hitters took advantage. He threw the ball in the zone less, and when the cutter was in the zone, batters teed up and smacked it. If he wants to remain a viable pitching option, Wilson should focus on fixing his secondary pitch.

The least used pitch in his arsenal, Wilson’s slider was thrown less than 10% of the time, and for good reason. Hitters made contact 77% of the time, and Wilson walked an unimpressive 12.5% of the batters that faced the pitch.

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