Beeks’ changeup carried a neat 19.6% K-BB rate in 2019, mostly on the back of a microscopic 1.7% walk rate. The change was tagged for six home runs, good for a 23.1% HR/FB rate, and Beeks struggled to coax whiffs on the heels of a 21.1% swinging-strike rate in 2018, dipping to a less encouraging 12% in his second season.
Beeks’ curveball is responsible for the brightest spot on the lefty’s Statcast page, boasting a healthy 64th-percentile spin rate. But the pitch’s peripherals don’t inspire much confidence otherwise, from a strikeout rate falling 14.1% from his 2018 effort to a below average swinging-strike rate (7.9%) and chase rate (26.8%).
Beeks possesses an underwhelming four-seamer, and an icy-blue Statcast page highlights just how bleak the heater’s prospects are, sporting 26th-percentile velocity and a dismal 7th-percentile spin rate. Gains that Beeks made by trimming his fly-ball rate (down from 50% in 2018 to 30.3% last season) were given back up with a 17.7% spike in line drive percentage. Matching 15.2% strikeout and walk rates didn’t help, either.
A season removed from being Beeks’ go-to secondary option, the southpaw backed off from his cutter in 2019, proving true the old adage about doing more with less. Its usage may have sank in Beeks’ sophomore campaign (from 20% in 2018 to 5.7% last year), but its pVAL (4.5) rose, along with its strikeout rate (32.1%, up from 9.5%) and ground-ball rate (60%, up from 38.2%).
Beeks’ primary pitch, his four-seamer got hit pretty hard in his first season, which produced a -5.8 pVal. The pitch was an extreme fly-ball pitch (50 FB%) and had a relatively high 17.9 HR/FB%, which resulted in a .300 ISO and .431 wOBA.
Beeks’ cutter had some bright spots despite allowing a .316 BAA and only having a 9.5 K%. The pitch had a 52.6 Zone% to go along with a 36.6 O-swing and a 12.1 SwStr%. Those swing rates should’ve produced a much higher K% than 9.5, so there’s certainly room for Beeks’ cutter to grow in 2019.
Beeks got nice results from his curveball in 2018. The pitch sported a .184 BAA, 34.1 K% and a 56.5 GB%. However, one sign of concern was a 100.0 Z-Contact%, so when the pitch was in the zone, batters were able to put the ball in play.
Beeks’ changeup was his best pitch in 2018 with a 2.8 pVal. The pitch had some really nice rates that should perform well in 2019. The pitch produced a 21.1 SwStr% and a 44.6 O-swing%, which means his 18.0 K% should tick up in 2019. The pitch also allowed a 69.4 GB% and a 33.3 IFFB%.