Welcome to the no-spin zone: Bailey’s curveball bottoms out in Statcast’s 0th percentile for curve spin rate. Continuing a recent trend of squashing his walk rate is encouraging — the newly-minted Twin’s curve wasn’t responsible for a single free pass in 2019 — but it’s hard to get excited when that 0% BB rate is paired with a .353/.361/.735 triple-slash.
Bailey gets his four-seamer over the plate at a consistent 93 mph, finding the zone a remarkable 60.6% of the time. The heater is stuck with a tepid 14th-percentile spin rate, but along with Bailey’s revelatory splitter, it was one of two pitches in the veteran’s arsenal to notch a positive pVAL, netting 7.0 a season removed from notching a disastrous -12.1 pVAL.
A move to Oakland saw a spike in Bailey using his best pitch, his splitter, which carries a 5.8 pVal. He threw the pitch over 700 times, generating a healthy 20.1% SwStr and a 60% groundball rate whilst drastically reducing walks and posting a 3.65 FIP for the A’s compared to 4.48 in KC.
Bailey leans on a slider-heavy approach when facing right-handed batters, although the hard slider (averaging just under 88 mph) didn’t help the veteran escape trouble often: Bailey could only muster a 12.5% strikeout rate as batters slashed .338/.386/.450 against the offering.