David Price

Age 35
  • Born 08/26/1985
  • Bats L
  • Team: Los Angeles Dodgers
2019 Statistics
2020 Prediction
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25.9% Thrown 84.1 MPH 30 CSW%
2.6% Thrown 80.5 MPH 31.2 CSW%
52.6% Thrown 91.9 MPH 28.7 CSW%
18.9% Thrown 88.6 MPH 33.3 CSW%

Price’s changeup lost over 1 mph in average velocity and that change left it’s mark of the pitch’s effectiveness in 2019. That being said it still boasted really great peripherals as thanks to a 44.0 O-Swing%, 40.7 Zone% and an 18.9 SwStr%, it still qualified as a money pitch. I’d be expecting better fortune for this pitch in 2020 especially when you factor in it’s .329 BABIP.

GIF made by Nate Watt. Blurb written by Daniel Port

Thrown just 47 times in 2019, Price’s curveball was a very effective pitch when he threw it outside the zone as evidenced by it’s 50.0 O-Swing%, 19.2 SwStr% and 36.4 K%. Unfortunately when it ended up inside the box it had a 100% contact% and this limited the pitch to a misleading 1.7 pVAL as it could have been much better.

GIF made by Nate Watt. Blurb written by Daniel Port

Price’s fastball has been losing roughly 1.0 mph a year since 2017 and yet that hasn’t stood in the way of the pitch’s success. In 2019 it managed to accumulate 7.7 pVAL while holding opposing hitters to a .217 AVG and .636 OPS.

GIF made by Nate Watt. Blurb written by Daniel Port

Price’s Cutter was a useful strikeout pitch in 2019 as it wracked up a 34.7 K% which represents an 11.7% increase from 2018! Utilizing its great movement vertically, it was able to hold opponents to a .263 AVG and a 99 wRC+.

GIF made by Nate Watt. Blurb written by Daniel Port
34.2% Thrown 92.7 MPH
27.9% Thrown 88.6 MPH
22.2% Thrown 85.3 MPH
12.8% Thrown 92.7 MPH
2.9% Thrown 79.1 MPH

Price’s sinker was his primary offering on the year despite pulling back on his usage about halfway through the season. It was never going to draw a ton of swings and misses, yet somehow he did get a disproportionate amount of strikeouts by sinker. He was also able to limit batters to an admirable .173 batting average against while keeping the ball on the ground.

Price’s cutter went through quite a change in usage throughout the year, dropping off over the first half of the season and climbing back to a middle ground in the second half. When he managed to paint the corners and not leave too much of the ball over the lower-middle lower part of the zone, he had success limiting damage and getting a few strikeouts. Home runs were still a problem, and he could benefit from giving in less and trying to get a few more chases on the pitch.

Price’s changeup usage was consistent in most counts as his third offering. The pitch did get a solid amount of chases, whiffs, and ground balls to give make it a valuable tool for Price, but with difficulty keeping it in the zone and in the park, his overall effectiveness was limited.

Price’s four-seamer is not his primary offering, even among fastballs, and we saw the continuing trend of decreased usage down to 11.8% by the end of the season. His results on the pitch tended to fluctuate over the year, due to the fact that he didn’t allow many hits on a .179 batting average against. But when he did allow hits, a 20% HR/FB rate haunted him for a career-high .256 ISO mark. With decreased rise on the pitch, it’s possible we’ll see less of the four-seamer in the future.

Price’s knuckle curve is a show-me pitch, and deservedly so, as it’s a little harder than league average with less movement. The results were less than stellar, resulting in a .500 batting average against alongside a 60% HR/FB rate because he tended to leave it right down the middle. The pitch could be phased out of his arsenal soon, as his usage plummeted by the end of the season.

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